Toplam Tahmin
774
Doğru
411
Yanlış
363
Başarı Oranı
%53.10
YAYLA - Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm
Tahmin ID: #128556 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 24.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 23.5200 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.08
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 23.5342 TL | %0.06 |
| 20.07.2026 | 23.5333 TL | %0.00 |
| 21.07.2026 | 23.5389 TL | %0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 23.5467 TL | %0.03 |
| 23.07.2026 | 23.5383 TL | %-0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %41.79 | %4.56 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %31.34 | %5.11 | 134 |
| 4 Gün | %24.43 | %5.88 | 131 |
| 5 Gün | %32.31 | %6.31 | 130 |
| 1 Gün | %42.54 | %3.52 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 30.00 | 28.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 30.00 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 30.00 | 27.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 30.00 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 30.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 30.00 | 28.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 29.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 27.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 27.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 33.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 33.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 31.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 30.80 | 31.00 | -6.06 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 31.40 | 32.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 31.60 | 32.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 32.00 | 31.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 31.80 | 31.00 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 31.40 | 30.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 31.40 | 30.00 | -3.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 31.20 | 29.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 30.80 | 29.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 30.20 | 28.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 28.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 29.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 28.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 28.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 28.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 27.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 26.39 | 26.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 26.19 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 25.39 | 23.00 | -8.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 24.58 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 24.26 | 24.38 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 24.15 | 25.44 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 23.97 | 24.74 | 2.49 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 24.32 | 24.74 | 2.49 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 24.67 | 25.18 | 1.78 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 24.74 | 25.18 | 1.78 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 24.68 | 25.18 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 24.72 | 23.76 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 24.53 | 23.80 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 24.39 | 23.54 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 24.15 | 23.64 | 0.42 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 23.83 | 23.20 | -1.86 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 23.61 | 22.48 | -3.10 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 23.34 | 22.40 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 23.04 | 21.82 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 22.69 | 21.20 | -2.84 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 22.22 | 21.84 | 3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 21.83 | 21.84 | 3.02 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 21.57 | 21.84 | 3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 21.33 | 21.84 | 3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 21.21 | 21.84 | 3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 21.21 | 21.84 | 3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 21.33 | 24.02 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 21.90 | 23.00 | -4.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 22.25 | 22.92 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 22.59 | 22.36 | -2.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 22.81 | 22.48 | 0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 22.95 | 21.56 | -4.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 22.48 | 22.42 | 3.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 22.36 | 23.20 | 3.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 22.42 | 23.00 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 22.55 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 22.64 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 22.91 | 23.10 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 23.04 | 23.96 | 3.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 23.19 | 23.70 | -1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 23.33 | 24.32 | 2.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 23.59 | 24.16 | -0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 23.86 | 24.16 | -0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 24.08 | 24.20 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 24.13 | 25.00 | 3.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 27.50 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 24.55 | 27.50 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 25.18 | 26.40 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 25.63 | 28.18 | 6.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 26.43 | 27.30 | -3.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 26.87 | 28.50 | 4.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 27.56 | 30.60 | 7.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 27.77 | 30.60 | 7.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 28.18 | 29.30 | -4.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 28.24 | 28.56 | -2.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 28.64 | 28.56 | -2.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 28.63 | 28.56 | -2.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 28.66 | 27.92 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 28.56 | 29.00 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 28.67 | 30.40 | 4.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 28.90 | 14.26 | -53.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 28.70 | 27.52 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 28.49 | 27.50 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 28.00 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 28.22 | 27.20 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 27.73 | 27.20 | -2.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 27.86 | 27.20 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 27.53 | 24.80 | -8.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 26.99 | 26.54 | 7.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 26.63 | 27.38 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 26.33 | 27.38 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 26.03 | 27.40 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 26.30 | 27.16 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 26.72 | 26.42 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 26.76 | 25.60 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 26.56 | 25.36 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 26.34 | 24.30 | -4.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 25.72 | 24.08 | -0.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 25.15 | 22.62 | -6.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 24.38 | 22.78 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 23.84 | 22.86 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 23.29 | 22.60 | -1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 27.34 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 24.01 | 24.88 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 24.43 | 25.00 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 24.85 | 24.30 | -2.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 25.15 | 24.30 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 25.05 | 23.70 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 24.46 | 23.70 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 24.23 | 23.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 23.98 | 23.70 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 23.88 | 23.12 | -2.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 23.65 | 23.38 | 1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 23.49 | 23.60 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 23.48 | 22.94 | -2.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 23.35 | 25.22 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 23.65 | 24.76 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 24.07 | 24.76 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 24.34 | 23.90 | -3.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 23.40 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 24.49 | 23.44 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 24.14 | 23.66 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 23.79 | 23.72 | 0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |