Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
457
Yanlış
321
Başarı Oranı
%58.74
ULUFA - Ulusal Faktoring
Tahmin ID: #128534 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 1.8100 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 1.7900 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.05
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 1.7900 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1.7896 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1.7895 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1.7886 TL | %-0.05 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1.7890 TL | %0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %37.59 | %13.91 | 133 |
| 5 Gün | %35.11 | %15.31 | 131 |
| 1 Gün | %59.26 | %9.54 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %49.25 | %11.37 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %39.55 | %12.75 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 3.22 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 9.19 | 3.83 | -88.36 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.34 | 3.81 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.50 | 3.81 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 9.67 | 3.95 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.95 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 3.95 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.96 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 4.06 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.99 | 4.26 | 2.40 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4.08 | 4.25 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.11 | -3.29 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.27 | 3.89 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.24 | 4.69 | 9.84 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.74 | 1.07 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.37 | -7.81 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.43 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.48 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.44 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.45 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 4.39 | 4.68 | 5.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.69 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.86 | 3.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.57 | -5.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 4.38 | -4.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.45 | 1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.45 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.80 | 7.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 4.52 | 4.65 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.65 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.86 | 4.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.71 | 4.80 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 4.76 | -0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4.77 | 4.74 | -0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 4.90 | 3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 4.90 | 3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4.79 | 4.97 | 1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4.82 | 5.08 | 2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 4.58 | -9.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 4.58 | -9.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 4.66 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.45 | -4.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.77 | 4.15 | -6.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.59 | 4.11 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.17 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.17 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.10 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.09 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 4.09 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.09 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.13 | 0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.10 | -0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.23 | 3.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.12 | -2.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.13 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.12 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 3.96 | -3.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 3.84 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 3.84 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 3.84 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.98 | 3.66 | -4.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.88 | 3.78 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.87 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 3.87 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.81 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.87 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.87 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.90 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 3.85 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.78 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.82 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 1.86 | -51.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3.44 | 1.87 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 1.95 | 4.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2.66 | 1.95 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 1.96 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 1.90 | 1.93 | -1.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 1.93 | 1.92 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1.93 | 1.89 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1.94 | 1.89 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1.93 | 1.87 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1.92 | 1.87 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 1.91 | 1.85 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 1.89 | 1.83 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 1.87 | 1.80 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 1.85 | 1.81 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 1.84 | 1.79 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1.81 | 1.79 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 1.80 | 1.76 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 1.80 | 1.72 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 1.76 | 1.73 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.67 | -3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |