Toplam Tahmin

778

Doğru

453

Yanlış

325

Başarı Oranı

%58.23

ULKER - Ülker Bisküvi

Tahmin ID: #128533 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 97.9000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 99.0500 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.11
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 99.0274 TL %-0.02
20.07.2026 99.0382 TL %0.01
21.07.2026 99.0137 TL %-0.02
22.07.2026 98.9953 TL %-0.02
23.07.2026 98.9451 TL %-0.05
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
1 Gün %39.26 %14.28 135
5 Gün %45.04 %18.63 131
4 Gün %43.18 %15.39 132
2 Gün %42.54 %15.41 134
3 Gün %51.49 %15.76 134
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 114.00 107.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 114.00 107.00 -1.83 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 114.00 108.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 114.00 108.00 0.93 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 113.80 108.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 113.60 108.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 113.20 112.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 112.80 112.00 3.70 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 113.00 115.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 113.40 115.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 114.00 116.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 114.80 116.00 0.87 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 115.80 114.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 116.20 114.00 -1.72 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 116.00 118.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 115.60 118.00 3.51 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 116.00 122.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 116.20 122.00 3.39 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 119.80 134.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 124.00 134.00 -0.74 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 127.20 125.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 129.60 125.00 -3.85 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 131.00 129.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 129.00 129.00 3.20 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 127.60 128.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 127.20 128.00 -0.78 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 127.00 130.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 127.80 130.00 1.56 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 128.80 129.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 129.20 129.00 -0.77 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 129.40 130.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 129.40 130.00 0.78 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 129.60 133.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 129.60 133.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 129.60 133.00 2.31 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 129.80 133.00 2.31 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 130.60 135.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 131.20 135.00 1.50 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 132.20 134.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 133.20 134.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 134.20 134.00 -0.74 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 134.60 134.00 -0.74 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 134.80 138.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 134.60 138.00 2.99 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 135.00 135.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 135.40 135.00 -2.17 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 135.40 133.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 135.60 133.00 -1.48 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 135.40 131.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 134.60 131.00 -1.50 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 133.40 135.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 132.60 135.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 131.80 135.00 3.05 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 131.40 135.00 3.05 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 132.40 137.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 133.80 137.00 -1.44 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 135.00 138.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 136.20 138.00 0.73 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 135.20 130.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 132.80 130.00 3.17 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 131.20 129.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 129.80 129.00 -0.77 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 128.20 126.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 128.80 126.00 -2.33 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 128.80 126.00 -2.33 ✅ 0.50
26.02.2026 1 128.03 126.00 0.00 ✅ 0.62
27.02.2026 1 126.67 123.00 -2.38 ✅ 0.48
02.03.2026 1 125.13 121.00 -1.63 ✅ 0.61
03.03.2026 1 122.78 117.00 -3.31 ✅ 0.49
10.03.2026 1 116.00 119.90 4.62 ✅ 0.63
10.03.2026 1 115.93 119.90 4.62 ✅ 0.62
13.03.2026 1 115.30 109.00 -1.45 ❌ 0.63
16.03.2026 1 114.96 109.20 0.18 ✅ 0.58
18.03.2026 1 114.79 112.20 0.45 ✅ 0.66
19.03.2026 1 114.85 112.50 0.27 ✅ 0.57
23.03.2026 1 113.74 112.60 0.09 ✅ 0.50
24.03.2026 1 114.02 110.80 -1.60 ❌ 0.45
25.03.2026 1 113.82 111.30 0.45 ✅ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 113.32 110.60 -0.63 ❌ 0.68
27.03.2026 1 112.38 111.50 0.81 ❌ 0.58
28.03.2026 1 111.81 112.50 0.90 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 111.24 112.50 0.90 ❌ 0.61
28.03.2026 1 111.08 112.50 0.90 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 111.19 112.50 0.90 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 111.50 112.50 0.90 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 111.47 112.50 0.90 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 111.69 117.80 4.71 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 112.89 116.90 -0.76 ✅ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 113.85 119.60 2.31 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 115.26 117.20 -2.01 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 116.43 117.90 0.60 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 117.48 114.90 -2.54 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 116.98 117.00 1.83 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 117.01 117.90 0.77 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 116.77 120.10 1.87 ❌ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 117.30 119.30 -0.67 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 117.73 119.30 -0.67 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 118.60 120.30 0.84 ❌ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 119.22 120.80 0.42 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 119.73 121.90 0.91 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 120.16 124.80 2.38 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 121.11 123.90 -0.72 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 122.22 123.90 -0.72 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 123.01 123.70 -0.16 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 123.69 122.00 -1.37 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 123.77 123.90 1.56 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 123.22 123.90 1.56 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 123.02 124.00 0.08 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 123.04 121.00 -2.42 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 122.51 122.80 1.49 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 122.65 123.90 0.90 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 123.08 125.90 1.61 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 123.11 125.90 1.61 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 123.11 127.00 0.87 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 123.68 129.10 1.65 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 124.50 129.10 1.65 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 124.46 129.10 1.65 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 125.11 130.30 0.93 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 126.36 130.40 0.08 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 127.64 130.00 -0.31 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 128.22 128.10 -1.46 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 128.54 127.10 1.03 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 128.54 123.00 -3.23 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 127.18 119.90 -2.52 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 125.19 119.20 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 123.25 119.20 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 122.23 119.20 -0.58 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 120.66 111.80 -6.21 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 118.36 117.70 5.28 ✅ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 117.85 117.40 -0.25 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 117.34 117.40 -0.25 ✅ 0.45
01.06.2026 1 116.41 115.90 0.09 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 115.75 118.00 1.81 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 116.46 115.20 -0.17 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 115.91 115.80 0.52 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 115.53 116.00 0.17 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 115.61 115.50 -0.43 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 115.53 114.50 -0.87 ❌ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 115.34 111.10 -2.97 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 114.55 113.20 1.89 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 114.05 116.70 3.09 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 114.20 115.90 -0.69 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 114.03 117.00 2.01 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 114.51 109.80 -6.15 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 96.91 107.10 304.15 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 95.04 103.90 -2.99 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 93.62 102.20 -1.64 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 91.73 102.20 -1.64 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 90.12 102.40 0.20 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 105.22 102.40 0.20 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 104.19 102.00 -0.39 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 101.97 99.30 -2.65 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 100.43 99.50 0.20 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 99.86 98.45 -1.06 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 99.14 100.10 1.68 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 98.59 99.30 -0.80 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 99.36 99.30 -0.80 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 99.29 99.60 0.30 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 99.41 97.25 -2.36 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 99.63 97.30 0.05 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 99.21 97.00 -0.31 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 98.54 96.00 -1.03 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 97.90 99.05 3.02 ❌ 0.60