Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
435
Yanlış
343
Başarı Oranı
%55.91
TURSG - Türkiye Sigorta
Tahmin ID: #128529 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 6.5800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 6.6500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.06
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 6.6491 TL | %-0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 6.6473 TL | %-0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 6.6525 TL | %0.08 |
| 22.07.2026 | 6.6511 TL | %-0.02 |
| 23.07.2026 | 6.6538 TL | %0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %40.30 | %18.03 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %34.33 | %19.35 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %40.46 | %22.72 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %32.58 | %22.04 | 132 |
| 1 Gün | %48.89 | %16.22 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 11.33 | 11.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 11.50 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.80 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 11.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 12.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 11.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 12.16 | 12.25 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 12.15 | 12.25 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 12.25 | 13.47 | 4.42 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 12.56 | 13.03 | -3.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.63 | -2.29 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 13.33 | 13.54 | -0.66 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 13.31 | -1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 13.73 | 12.58 | -5.48 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 13.55 | 12.61 | 0.24 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 13.24 | 12.90 | 2.30 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 13.09 | 12.77 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.93 | 12.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.83 | 12.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.87 | 12.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 12.89 | 12.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 12.87 | 12.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 12.87 | 12.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 12.84 | 12.70 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 12.83 | 12.70 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 12.83 | 12.64 | -0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 12.81 | 12.65 | 0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 12.77 | 12.70 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 12.76 | 12.46 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 12.69 | 12.90 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 12.71 | 13.40 | 3.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 12.84 | 13.42 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 12.98 | 13.18 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 13.11 | 13.18 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 13.25 | 13.51 | 2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 13.35 | 13.77 | 1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 13.42 | 13.93 | 1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 13.52 | 14.71 | 5.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 14.60 | -0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 14.09 | 14.60 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 14.32 | 14.49 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 14.47 | 14.06 | -2.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 14.51 | 14.07 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 14.38 | 14.07 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 14.26 | 13.75 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 14.09 | 13.78 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 13.96 | 13.68 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 13.87 | 14.06 | 2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 13.86 | 14.01 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 13.87 | 14.01 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 13.92 | 14.10 | 0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 13.98 | 14.12 | 0.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 14.05 | 14.12 | 0.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 14.07 | 14.12 | 0.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 14.08 | 14.88 | 5.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 14.24 | 14.57 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 14.34 | 14.54 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 14.44 | 14.15 | -2.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 14.53 | 14.75 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 14.64 | 13.71 | -7.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 14.42 | 13.70 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 14.25 | 13.45 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 14.07 | 13.45 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 13.91 | 13.45 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 13.66 | 12.11 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 13.34 | 13.07 | 7.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 13.22 | 12.95 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 13.09 | 12.95 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 12.87 | 12.36 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 12.65 | 12.78 | 3.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 12.74 | 12.80 | 1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 12.69 | 12.79 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 12.62 | 12.78 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 12.65 | 12.55 | -1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 12.69 | 12.56 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 12.68 | 12.89 | 2.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 12.70 | 12.89 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 12.72 | 6.65 | -48.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 11.50 | 6.54 | -1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 10.26 | 6.56 | 2.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 9.07 | 6.45 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 7.79 | 6.46 | 0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 6.48 | 6.30 | -2.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 6.41 | 6.36 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 6.39 | 6.32 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 6.33 | 6.32 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 6.31 | 6.30 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 6.31 | 6.30 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 6.31 | 6.14 | -2.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 6.29 | 6.17 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 6.27 | 6.05 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 6.22 | 6.10 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 6.17 | 6.04 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 6.11 | 6.00 | -0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 6.08 | 6.00 | -0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 6.05 | 6.02 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 6.04 | 6.10 | 1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 6.04 | 6.21 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 6.07 | 6.35 | 2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 6.13 | 6.36 | 0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 6.26 | 6.65 | -0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |