Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
394
Yanlış
384
Başarı Oranı
%50.64
TRHOL - TRHOL
Tahmin ID: #128516 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 1,661.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 1,658.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.12
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 1,656.5316 TL | %-0.09 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1,654.9647 TL | %-0.09 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1,655.3828 TL | %0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1,656.8822 TL | %0.09 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1,656.0918 TL | %-0.05 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %18.66 | %62.88 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %34.07 | %49.80 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %24.43 | %53.32 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %15.91 | %32.65 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %23.13 | %41.17 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 790.00 | 719.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 790.00 | 719.00 | -10.01 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 790.33 | 648.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 790.50 | 648.00 | -9.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 774.80 | 583.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 759.20 | 583.00 | -10.03 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 729.40 | 525.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 699.40 | 525.00 | -9.95 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 668.80 | 571.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 654.00 | 571.00 | -9.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 626.60 | 620.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 613.40 | 620.00 | 8.58 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 610.20 | 682.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 607.60 | 682.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 617.40 | 749.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 639.80 | 749.00 | 9.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 675.80 | 765.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 701.80 | 765.00 | 2.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 710.60 | 720.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 707.00 | 720.00 | 7.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 711.40 | 678.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 702.20 | 678.00 | -4.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 686.40 | 678.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 687.80 | 678.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 689.00 | 723.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 682.20 | 723.00 | 6.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 684.40 | 686.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 693.20 | 686.00 | -5.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 695.00 | 682.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 697.00 | 682.00 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 698.40 | 673.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 690.80 | 673.00 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 681.40 | 665.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 679.00 | 665.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 676.60 | 665.00 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 674.80 | 665.00 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 671.80 | 679.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 670.60 | 679.00 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 672.00 | 658.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 673.40 | 658.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 674.80 | 658.00 | -3.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 677.40 | 658.00 | -3.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 675.80 | 655.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 671.60 | 655.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 666.60 | 641.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 661.60 | 641.00 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 654.00 | 703.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 650.60 | 703.00 | 9.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 659.00 | 738.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 668.20 | 738.00 | 4.98 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 684.40 | 728.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 703.40 | 728.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 722.20 | 728.00 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 729.40 | 728.00 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 736.80 | 731.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 737.20 | 731.00 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 736.00 | 739.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 735.00 | 739.00 | 1.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 737.80 | 743.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 740.40 | 743.00 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 756.20 | 824.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 773.40 | 824.00 | 0.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 791.80 | 800.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 806.20 | 800.00 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 815.93 | 800.00 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 814.63 | 811.00 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 812.92 | 809.00 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 793.99 | 729.00 | -9.89 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 779.25 | 750.00 | 2.88 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 773.39 | 770.50 | 2.73 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 775.14 | 819.00 | 6.29 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 772.91 | 783.00 | -1.76 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 783.84 | 783.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 790.59 | 780.50 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 793.13 | 780.50 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 785.32 | 780.50 | -0.32 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 791.58 | 815.00 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 798.16 | 799.50 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 802.05 | 810.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 807.37 | 819.00 | 1.11 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 813.28 | 817.50 | -0.18 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 810.93 | 815.50 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 810.53 | 897.00 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 829.10 | 969.50 | 8.08 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 860.86 | 975.00 | 0.57 | ❌ | 0.54 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 893.16 | 964.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 924.05 | 964.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 955.53 | 964.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 970.81 | 964.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 971.50 | 964.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 971.73 | 964.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 969.29 | 980.00 | 1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 970.74 | 1046.00 | 6.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 985.56 | 1051.00 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 1001.36 | 1001.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 1006.63 | 996.50 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 1013.83 | 972.00 | -2.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 1012.80 | 1030.00 | 5.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 1010.13 | 1108.00 | 7.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 1021.65 | 1149.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 1051.22 | 1221.00 | 6.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 1081.78 | 1221.00 | 6.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 1116.62 | 1225.00 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 1154.65 | 1146.00 | -6.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 1162.06 | 1152.00 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 1163.20 | 1175.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1168.67 | 1214.00 | 3.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1174.28 | 1214.00 | 3.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 1172.88 | 1305.00 | 7.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 1204.97 | 1321.00 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 1238.68 | 1358.00 | 2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 1267.74 | 1358.00 | 2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 1303.77 | 1365.00 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 1333.18 | 1328.00 | -2.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 1337.67 | 96.65 | -92.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 1092.80 | 1264.00 | 1207.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 1080.86 | 1264.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 1062.96 | 1264.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 1043.13 | 1339.00 | 5.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 1045.73 | 1331.00 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 1278.64 | 1331.00 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 1279.56 | 1331.00 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 1292.81 | 1299.00 | -2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 1299.94 | 1400.00 | 7.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 1311.09 | 1454.00 | 3.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 1349.89 | 1501.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 1398.18 | 1599.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 1451.49 | 1580.00 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 1509.14 | 1539.00 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 1538.45 | 1600.00 | 3.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 1555.71 | 1600.00 | 3.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 1564.13 | 1600.00 | 3.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 1563.85 | 1440.00 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 1535.80 | 1504.00 | 4.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 1528.90 | 1530.00 | 1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 1521.26 | 1530.00 | 1.73 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 1524.18 | 1524.00 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 1509.71 | 1544.00 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 1531.25 | 1553.00 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 1540.54 | 1648.00 | 6.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 1570.35 | 1680.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 1593.59 | 1695.00 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 1627.27 | 1680.00 | -0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 1652.25 | 1690.00 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 1679.03 | 1689.00 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 1686.19 | 1750.00 | 3.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 1700.61 | 1703.00 | -2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 1701.91 | 1662.00 | -2.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 1698.66 | 1615.00 | -2.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 1684.00 | 1615.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 1669.71 | 1645.00 | 1.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 1648.20 | 98.00 | -94.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1637.26 | 99.15 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1633.95 | 99.15 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1330.54 | 1501.00 | 1413.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1027.19 | 1501.00 | 1413.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 997.83 | 1651.00 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 1000.54 | 1722.00 | 4.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 1015.26 | 1689.00 | -1.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 1300.70 | 1617.00 | -4.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 1593.88 | 1547.00 | -4.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1611.44 | 1521.00 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1605.43 | 1521.00 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 1566.20 | 1516.00 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 1566.34 | 1468.00 | -3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 1546.87 | 1500.00 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 1529.42 | 1485.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 1500.01 | 1520.00 | 2.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 1496.96 | 1658.00 | 9.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |