Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
471
Yanlış
307
Başarı Oranı
%60.54
TRCAS - Turcas
Tahmin ID: #128513 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 43.7200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 44.9800 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.20
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 44.9267 TL | %-0.12 |
| 20.07.2026 | 44.9115 TL | %-0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 44.8975 TL | %-0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 44.8715 TL | %-0.06 |
| 23.07.2026 | 44.8918 TL | %0.05 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %29.10 | %9.49 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %29.77 | %8.88 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %25.00 | %8.15 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %33.58 | %7.00 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %40.74 | %5.79 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 41.00 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 41.00 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 41.33 | 41.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 41.50 | 41.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 41.60 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 41.80 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 40.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 40.20 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 40.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 40.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 41.00 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 41.40 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 42.80 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 44.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 45.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 43.80 | 45.00 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 44.20 | 45.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 44.40 | 45.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 46.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 44.80 | 46.00 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 45.20 | 47.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 45.40 | 47.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 45.60 | 47.00 | 2.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 45.80 | 47.00 | 2.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 46.20 | 47.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 46.40 | 47.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 46.60 | 48.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 46.80 | 48.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 47.00 | 48.00 | 2.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 47.00 | 48.00 | 2.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 47.20 | 49.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 47.40 | 49.00 | 2.08 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 47.80 | 52.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 48.20 | 52.00 | 6.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 49.20 | 50.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 50.00 | 50.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 50.40 | 51.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 50.60 | 51.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 51.00 | 51.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 50.80 | 51.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 50.60 | 51.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 50.80 | 51.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 51.40 | 54.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 51.80 | 54.00 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 52.40 | 55.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 55.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 53.20 | 50.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 50.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 52.40 | 50.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 51.60 | 50.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 50.80 | 48.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 50.40 | 48.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 49.60 | 48.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 48.99 | 47.00 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 48.39 | 47.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 47.40 | 45.00 | -4.26 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 47.00 | 48.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 46.59 | 45.90 | -4.38 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 46.56 | 46.74 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 46.39 | 45.30 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 46.46 | 45.30 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 45.93 | 44.30 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 45.81 | 44.30 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 45.32 | 44.30 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 44.89 | 43.56 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 44.52 | 41.44 | -4.87 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 43.76 | 41.76 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 43.04 | 40.80 | -2.30 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 42.54 | 40.18 | -1.52 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 41.78 | 40.14 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 41.09 | 41.20 | 2.64 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 41.01 | 41.24 | 0.10 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 40.90 | 39.40 | -4.46 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 40.41 | 39.94 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 40.25 | 39.94 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 40.11 | 39.94 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 39.75 | 39.94 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 39.38 | 39.94 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 39.39 | 39.94 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 39.49 | 40.36 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 39.68 | 41.08 | 1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 40.02 | 41.50 | 1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 40.42 | 42.04 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 40.95 | 43.50 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 41.70 | 43.00 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 42.28 | 44.38 | 3.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 42.93 | 44.72 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 43.24 | -3.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 43.83 | 44.16 | 2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 43.74 | 44.16 | 2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 43.94 | 44.46 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 43.97 | 44.22 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 43.88 | 45.78 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 44.41 | 46.76 | 2.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 45.12 | 46.36 | -0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 45.62 | 46.36 | -0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 45.99 | 47.16 | 1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 46.56 | 47.28 | 0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 46.85 | 45.60 | -3.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 46.96 | 45.60 | -3.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 46.73 | 46.20 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 46.71 | 46.76 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 46.63 | 46.48 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 46.47 | 46.28 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 46.28 | 47.60 | 2.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 46.41 | 47.60 | 2.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 46.35 | 49.80 | -83.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 46.31 | 49.80 | -83.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 96.74 | 49.80 | -83.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 97.44 | 48.86 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 97.97 | 50.25 | 2.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 98.75 | 50.20 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 99.54 | 50.60 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 49.32 | 46.68 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 48.72 | 46.78 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 48.25 | 45.22 | -3.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 47.26 | 45.66 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 46.23 | 45.66 | 0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 45.79 | 45.66 | 0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 45.56 | 43.72 | -4.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 44.97 | 45.48 | 4.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 44.99 | 45.62 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 45.05 | 45.62 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 45.21 | 45.50 | -1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 45.16 | 45.56 | 0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 45.40 | 43.04 | -3.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 44.94 | 44.72 | 3.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 44.80 | 44.30 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 44.47 | 43.76 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 44.13 | 43.42 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 43.85 | 42.50 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 43.73 | 41.68 | -1.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 43.13 | 42.52 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 42.78 | 42.10 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 42.31 | 42.54 | 2.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 42.13 | 42.22 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 42.06 | 42.50 | 0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 42.22 | 42.66 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 42.24 | 48.30 | 13.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 42.48 | 47.18 | -2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 42.51 | 47.18 | -2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 43.49 | 41.90 | -11.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 44.43 | 41.90 | -11.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 44.27 | 42.66 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 44.28 | 43.10 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 44.38 | 42.86 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 43.54 | 42.70 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 42.65 | 42.08 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 42.71 | 41.22 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 42.58 | 41.22 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 42.21 | 41.50 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 41.93 | 41.00 | -1.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 41.69 | 40.52 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 41.37 | 41.24 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 42.50 | 3.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 44.98 | 4.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |