Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
472
Yanlış
306
Başarı Oranı
%60.67
TMSN - Tümosan Motor ve Traktör
Tahmin ID: #128509 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 83.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 84.7500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 84.7194 TL | %-0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 84.6409 TL | %-0.09 |
| 21.07.2026 | 84.6648 TL | %0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 84.6959 TL | %0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 84.7232 TL | %0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %45.52 | %6.25 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %39.55 | %18.74 | 134 |
| 4 Gün | %46.97 | %9.45 | 132 |
| 5 Gün | %41.22 | %9.51 | 131 |
| 1 Gün | %42.22 | %5.54 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 101.00 | 98.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 101.00 | 98.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 101.33 | 100.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 101.50 | 100.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 101.40 | 100.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 101.40 | 100.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 102.60 | 102.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 103.60 | 102.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 101.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 101.00 | -2.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 104.80 | 103.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 103.80 | 103.00 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 103.00 | 103.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 103.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 101.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 103.20 | 101.00 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 103.20 | 103.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 103.00 | 103.00 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 103.60 | 107.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 107.00 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 104.20 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 104.80 | 104.00 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 107.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 104.80 | 107.00 | 2.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 105.00 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 105.40 | 106.00 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 105.60 | 108.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 108.00 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 107.00 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 107.20 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 113.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 109.20 | 113.00 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 110.20 | 110.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 110.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 112.20 | 110.00 | -2.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 112.60 | 110.00 | -2.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 112.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 111.80 | 112.00 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 111.60 | 111.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 111.40 | 111.00 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 111.00 | 108.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 108.00 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 110.80 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 110.00 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 109.20 | 112.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 112.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 112.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 112.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 109.80 | 119.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 111.60 | 119.00 | 1.71 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 113.80 | 117.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 117.00 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 115.60 | 107.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 113.40 | 107.00 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 111.40 | 105.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 109.00 | 105.00 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 103.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 103.00 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 105.40 | 103.00 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 104.99 | 105.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 104.19 | 103.00 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 103.39 | 101.00 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 102.19 | 99.00 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 177.51 | 104.00 | -78.34 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 177.38 | 104.30 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 178.05 | 104.30 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 179.13 | 107.20 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 103.91 | 107.20 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 104.59 | 107.20 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 105.67 | 106.70 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 106.11 | 104.60 | -1.97 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 106.64 | 107.80 | 1.99 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 107.52 | 106.90 | -0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 107.76 | 105.70 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 107.52 | 103.20 | -2.37 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 107.06 | 102.80 | -0.39 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 106.35 | 102.00 | -0.78 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 105.21 | 100.90 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 104.02 | 99.85 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 103.24 | 99.85 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 102.92 | 99.85 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 102.55 | 99.85 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 102.27 | 99.85 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 102.14 | 99.85 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 101.71 | 100.70 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 101.51 | 102.00 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 101.59 | 101.70 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 101.68 | 101.50 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 101.57 | 102.10 | 0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 101.92 | 99.80 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 101.62 | 109.70 | 9.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 103.10 | 107.00 | -2.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 104.09 | 107.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 105.14 | 103.60 | -3.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 106.07 | 103.60 | -3.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 106.73 | 104.30 | 0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 105.62 | 105.10 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 103.90 | -1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 104.61 | 107.00 | 2.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 104.58 | 104.50 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 105.22 | 104.50 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 105.36 | 104.30 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 105.27 | 103.50 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 105.22 | 104.10 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 104.61 | 104.10 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 104.07 | 104.50 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 104.08 | 100.10 | -4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 103.27 | 100.70 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 102.73 | 101.90 | 1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 102.41 | 100.20 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 101.96 | 100.20 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 85.94 | 104.00 | 351.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 86.19 | 104.00 | 351.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 86.18 | 104.00 | 351.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 86.59 | 105.10 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 87.23 | 104.00 | -1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 103.42 | 105.80 | 1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 104.18 | 102.50 | -3.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 104.09 | 102.60 | 1.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 103.87 | 101.10 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 103.11 | 100.40 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 102.47 | 98.55 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 101.43 | 98.55 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 101.19 | 98.55 | -1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 100.34 | 94.70 | -3.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 99.03 | 98.20 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 98.52 | 99.35 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 98.00 | 99.35 | 1.17 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 97.65 | 99.55 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 97.84 | 101.60 | 2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 98.75 | 98.90 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 98.88 | 98.00 | -0.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 98.83 | 97.50 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 98.60 | 92.50 | -5.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 97.22 | 90.80 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 95.53 | 88.80 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 93.54 | 90.05 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 91.99 | 92.35 | 2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 90.97 | 91.00 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 90.41 | 94.00 | 4.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 91.04 | 95.00 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 92.26 | 93.80 | -1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 92.97 | 91.70 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 92.82 | 90.45 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 93.19 | 89.35 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 92.74 | 89.35 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 91.61 | 89.30 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 90.73 | 89.30 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 90.26 | 86.75 | -2.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 89.30 | 88.50 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 88.68 | 87.25 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 88.28 | 87.10 | -0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 87.83 | 89.55 | 2.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 87.88 | 88.00 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 88.40 | 88.00 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 88.27 | 88.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 88.40 | 85.60 | -2.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 88.55 | 83.25 | -2.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 87.30 | 84.60 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 86.33 | 83.20 | -1.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 85.43 | 84.75 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |