Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
423
Yanlış
355
Başarı Oranı
%54.37
TMPOL - TE
Tahmin ID: #128508 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 439.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 446.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.17
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 446.4911 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 446.4608 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 446.5595 TL | %0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 446.9614 TL | %0.09 |
| 23.07.2026 | 447.2641 TL | %0.07 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %35.56 | %8.69 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %26.87 | %11.76 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %20.61 | %19.03 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %26.52 | %16.58 | 132 |
| 2 Gün | %32.84 | %25.08 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 345.00 | 303.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 345.00 | 303.00 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 341.00 | 290.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 339.00 | 290.00 | -4.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 335.00 | 291.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 329.80 | 291.00 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 323.80 | 279.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 320.20 | 279.00 | -4.12 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 319.20 | 325.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 321.00 | 325.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 323.40 | 358.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 326.60 | 358.00 | 10.15 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 336.60 | 372.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 344.00 | 372.00 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 354.40 | 393.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 364.20 | 393.00 | 5.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 378.40 | 399.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 385.80 | 399.00 | 1.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 387.80 | 376.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 386.80 | 376.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 387.60 | 382.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 384.00 | 382.00 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 380.00 | 380.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 381.40 | 380.00 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 382.40 | 375.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 381.60 | 375.00 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 380.40 | 375.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 379.60 | 375.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 378.00 | 370.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 376.80 | 370.00 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 374.60 | 367.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 372.80 | 367.00 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 370.60 | 361.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 369.20 | 361.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 367.80 | 361.00 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 367.40 | 361.00 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 365.60 | 357.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 364.20 | 357.00 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 362.00 | 363.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 359.80 | 363.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 357.60 | 363.00 | 1.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 356.80 | 363.00 | 1.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 357.40 | 395.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 358.80 | 395.00 | 8.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 366.60 | 420.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 374.40 | 420.00 | 6.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 387.00 | 412.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 398.20 | 412.00 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 407.40 | 413.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 410.20 | 413.00 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 413.80 | 415.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 412.60 | 415.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 411.40 | 415.00 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 412.20 | 415.00 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 418.20 | 437.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 423.40 | 437.00 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 428.40 | 432.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 433.40 | 432.00 | -1.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 437.40 | 465.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 436.20 | 465.00 | 6.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 446.20 | 488.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 456.40 | 488.00 | -0.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 466.40 | 482.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 477.40 | 482.00 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 487.24 | 482.00 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 487.51 | 490.00 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 486.41 | 483.00 | -1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 475.72 | 434.00 | -10.14 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 472.20 | 470.00 | 8.29 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 389.56 | 68.85 | -85.35 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 389.66 | 490.00 | 611.69 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 391.12 | 539.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 412.16 | 539.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 426.04 | 591.00 | 9.65 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 520.20 | 591.00 | 9.65 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 540.42 | 591.00 | 9.65 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 557.60 | 554.00 | -3.06 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 559.74 | 570.50 | 2.98 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 559.86 | 558.00 | 2.48 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 561.46 | 570.00 | 2.15 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 553.84 | 576.50 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 552.58 | 585.50 | 1.56 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 558.12 | 557.00 | -4.87 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 561.04 | 558.50 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 562.08 | 582.00 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 567.38 | 577.50 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 569.37 | 577.50 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 569.82 | 577.50 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 574.13 | 577.50 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 578.84 | 577.50 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 578.78 | 577.50 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 577.79 | 571.50 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 575.20 | 562.50 | -1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 572.56 | 557.50 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 567.94 | 541.50 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 560.82 | 537.50 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 553.13 | 543.50 | 1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 548.53 | 532.50 | -2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 542.18 | 544.00 | 2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 540.29 | 598.00 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 551.43 | 628.00 | 5.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 563.64 | 628.00 | 5.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 580.63 | 635.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 601.29 | 645.00 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 621.34 | 682.00 | 5.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 637.54 | 684.00 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 654.48 | 686.50 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 665.97 | 686.50 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 676.27 | 675.00 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 682.30 | 670.00 | -0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 680.22 | 659.50 | -1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 677.53 | 659.50 | -1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 672.03 | 594.00 | -9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 653.94 | 535.00 | -9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 626.41 | 481.50 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 588.11 | 485.00 | 0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 550.39 | 479.25 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 515.49 | 479.25 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 493.33 | 94.95 | -80.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 482.99 | 439.00 | 362.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 484.19 | 439.00 | 362.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 407.06 | 439.00 | 362.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 397.84 | 395.25 | -9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 379.89 | 355.75 | -9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 354.10 | 355.00 | -0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 328.41 | 358.00 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 379.89 | 349.50 | -0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 361.76 | 353.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 353.02 | 330.75 | -6.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 347.80 | 343.50 | 3.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 342.71 | 343.50 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 338.65 | 343.50 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 338.01 | 309.25 | -9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 329.42 | 307.00 | -0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 324.78 | 303.00 | -1.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 319.82 | 303.00 | -1.30 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 313.30 | 305.00 | 1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 305.40 | 294.00 | -3.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 305.92 | 337.25 | 8.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 311.94 | 370.75 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 324.64 | 376.25 | 1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 339.97 | 413.75 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 361.63 | 412.75 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 381.94 | 419.75 | 1.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 398.57 | 432.50 | 3.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 411.46 | 465.00 | 7.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 429.54 | 446.00 | -4.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 437.53 | 473.50 | 4.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 449.62 | 467.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 459.14 | 463.00 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 464.92 | 479.25 | 3.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 467.49 | 462.00 | -3.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 472.59 | 458.25 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 473.62 | 458.25 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 471.76 | 450.50 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 470.88 | 450.50 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 465.19 | 463.75 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 462.27 | 450.50 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 456.72 | 477.25 | 5.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 460.52 | 465.00 | -2.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 461.75 | 448.25 | -3.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 461.13 | 435.25 | -2.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 457.87 | 435.25 | -2.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 454.81 | 424.75 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 444.35 | 429.75 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 436.27 | 435.50 | 1.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 433.71 | 435.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 431.09 | 452.50 | 3.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 432.65 | 446.50 | 0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |