Toplam Tahmin

768

Doğru

435

Yanlış

333

Başarı Oranı

%56.64

TKFEN - Tekfen Holding

Tahmin ID: #128505 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 144.6000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 143.0000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.39
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 142.8391 TL %-0.11
20.07.2026 142.6650 TL %-0.12
21.07.2026 142.5347 TL %-0.09
22.07.2026 142.4365 TL %-0.07
23.07.2026 142.4378 TL %0.00
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %22.31 %12.90 130
3 Gün %14.39 %14.29 132
5 Gün %12.31 %19.05 130
1 Gün %32.09 %10.24 134
2 Gün %22.96 %34.82 135
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 71.00 69.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 71.00 69.00 -4.17 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 71.33 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 71.50 70.00 1.45 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 72.00 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 72.60 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 72.20 72.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 71.60 72.00 2.86 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 71.80 72.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 71.60 72.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 71.40 72.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 72.20 72.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.80 72.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.60 72.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 72.40 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 72.20 71.00 -1.39 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 71.80 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 71.60 70.00 -1.41 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 71.20 69.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 70.80 69.00 -1.43 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 70.00 68.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 69.40 68.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 68.80 71.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 68.40 71.00 4.41 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 68.60 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 69.20 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 69.80 72.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 70.40 72.00 1.41 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 71.20 73.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 71.40 73.00 1.39 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 71.80 77.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 72.20 77.00 5.48 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 73.40 75.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 74.40 75.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 75.40 75.00 -2.60 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 76.20 75.00 -2.60 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 76.60 76.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 76.20 76.00 1.33 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 76.00 75.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 75.80 75.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 75.60 75.00 -1.32 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 75.80 75.00 -1.32 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 75.80 79.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 75.60 79.00 5.33 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 76.20 87.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 76.80 87.00 10.13 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 79.00 81.00 -6.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 81.40 81.00 -6.90 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 82.60 78.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 83.00 78.00 -3.70 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 82.80 84.00 7.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.00 84.00 7.69 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 80.60 82.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 81.40 82.00 -3.53 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 81.60 85.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 82.40 85.00 3.66 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 83.00 83.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 82.20 83.00 2.47 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 81.60 80.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 81.60 80.00 -2.44 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 81.20 76.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 81.00 76.00 -5.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 79.97 76.00 -5.00 ✅ 0.65
26.02.2026 1 79.13 78.00 2.63 ✅ 0.65
27.02.2026 1 76.88 71.00 -8.97 ✅ 0.45
02.03.2026 1 74.83 70.00 -1.41 ✅ 0.65
03.03.2026 1 72.58 69.00 -1.43 ✅ 0.65
04.03.2026 1 93.09 178.80 159.13 ✅ 0.66
05.03.2026 1 92.64 75.70 -57.66 ✅ 0.66
09.03.2026 1 93.21 76.85 4.20 ❌ 0.66
09.03.2026 1 94.61 76.85 4.20 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 96.22 80.50 4.75 ❌ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 75.89 80.50 4.75 ❌ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 76.12 80.50 4.75 ❌ 0.66
13.03.2026 1 78.56 85.00 -0.35 ❌ 0.67
16.03.2026 1 80.46 83.75 -1.47 ❌ 0.68
18.03.2026 1 82.07 80.80 -4.21 ❌ 0.68
19.03.2026 1 82.98 79.45 -1.67 ❌ 0.68
23.03.2026 1 83.82 83.95 5.66 ✅ 0.66
24.03.2026 1 83.48 88.25 5.12 ✅ 0.67
25.03.2026 1 83.99 88.75 0.57 ✅ 0.69
26.03.2026 1 84.82 93.35 5.18 ✅ 0.66
27.03.2026 1 87.14 33.46 -64.16 ✅ 0.71
28.03.2026 1 77.66 96.30 187.81 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 67.54 96.30 187.81 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 56.50 96.30 187.81 ✅ 0.74
29.03.2026 1 45.39 96.30 187.81 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 33.50 96.30 187.81 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 33.47 96.30 187.81 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 46.24 98.00 1.77 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 59.34 97.40 -0.61 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 72.05 101.90 4.62 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 85.71 100.90 -0.98 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 97.64 98.25 -2.63 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 97.30 95.10 -3.21 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 95.97 98.50 3.58 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 95.52 108.30 9.95 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 96.57 107.60 -0.65 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 99.49 118.30 9.94 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 101.94 118.30 9.94 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 107.11 120.50 1.86 ❌ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 111.98 121.10 0.50 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 114.70 117.90 -2.64 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 116.78 120.80 2.46 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 119.08 128.70 6.54 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 119.44 128.70 6.54 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 121.26 133.00 3.34 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 122.79 133.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 125.69 135.10 1.58 ❌ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 128.35 135.10 1.58 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 131.28 141.30 4.59 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 133.85 139.90 -0.99 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 136.43 135.50 -3.15 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 137.99 142.60 5.24 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 140.03 139.40 -2.24 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 141.65 139.40 -2.24 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 141.99 19.39 -86.09 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 142.30 309.75 1497.47 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 142.79 309.75 1497.47 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 118.10 309.75 1497.47 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 151.70 149.30 -51.80 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 153.18 154.30 3.35 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 155.52 157.00 1.75 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 158.40 155.00 -1.27 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 184.31 144.20 -2.96 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 151.08 137.00 -4.99 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 148.57 134.50 -1.82 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 144.68 131.50 -2.23 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 140.10 131.50 -2.23 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 137.27 131.50 -2.23 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 134.60 118.40 -9.96 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 130.68 126.20 6.59 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 128.90 136.40 8.08 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 127.29 136.40 8.08 ❌ 0.45
01.06.2026 1 128.53 149.00 5.82 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 132.03 155.00 4.03 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 139.24 151.70 0.80 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 144.37 136.90 -9.76 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 146.57 144.00 5.19 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 147.21 144.40 0.28 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 146.29 136.90 -5.19 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 142.84 138.10 0.88 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 140.18 139.00 0.65 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 140.53 135.30 -2.66 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 138.80 135.80 0.37 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 137.19 138.90 1.91 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 137.55 136.20 -1.94 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 137.08 131.50 -3.45 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 135.56 129.80 -1.29 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 134.41 127.40 -1.85 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 133.08 132.80 4.24 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 131.30 132.80 4.24 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 130.64 141.70 6.70 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 130.92 141.70 6.70 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 133.30 141.40 -0.21 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 135.60 134.80 -4.67 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 136.59 141.90 5.27 ❌ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 138.36 140.00 -1.34 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 139.80 140.50 0.36 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 139.59 134.50 -4.27 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 139.43 134.50 -4.27 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 139.35 132.70 -1.34 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 137.55 131.00 -1.28 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 136.08 130.00 -0.76 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 133.99 137.30 5.62 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 133.38 141.80 3.28 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 134.86 143.00 0.85 ❌ 0.60