Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
405
Yanlış
373
Başarı Oranı
%52.06
TGSAS - TGS Dış Ticaret
Tahmin ID: #128503 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 180.4000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 184.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 183.7974 TL | %-0.11 |
| 20.07.2026 | 183.7913 TL | %0.00 |
| 21.07.2026 | 183.8309 TL | %0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 183.8953 TL | %0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 184.0546 TL | %0.09 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %36.64 | %28.19 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %32.58 | %28.00 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %35.82 | %27.36 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %29.10 | %41.52 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %40.00 | %31.64 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 176.00 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 176.00 | 163.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 173.33 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 172.00 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 172.40 | 170.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 172.00 | 170.00 | 4.29 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 171.40 | 171.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 172.40 | 171.00 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 172.80 | 166.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 172.00 | 166.00 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 170.80 | 162.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 169.80 | 162.00 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 168.00 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 166.80 | 163.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 165.80 | 162.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 165.20 | 162.00 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 164.40 | 164.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 164.40 | 164.00 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 163.60 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 162.60 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 161.60 | 171.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 171.00 | 6.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 162.20 | 167.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 164.40 | 167.00 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 165.80 | 160.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 160.00 | -4.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 165.00 | 159.00 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 162.60 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 159.20 | 161.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 161.00 | 1.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 159.00 | 159.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 159.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 159.80 | 159.00 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 160.40 | 159.00 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 157.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 157.00 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 162.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 158.60 | 162.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 157.80 | 162.00 | 3.18 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 157.40 | 162.00 | 3.18 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 157.80 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 158.60 | 160.00 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 159.20 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 159.80 | 158.00 | -1.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 160.00 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 161.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 158.40 | 161.00 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 158.60 | 163.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 159.20 | 163.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 159.80 | 163.00 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 160.40 | 163.00 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 161.20 | 164.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 161.40 | 164.00 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 162.00 | 181.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 162.60 | 181.00 | 10.37 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 188.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 171.60 | 188.00 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 178.60 | 186.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 185.20 | 186.00 | -5.58 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 189.80 | 174.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 190.40 | 174.00 | -6.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 188.48 | 174.00 | -6.45 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 185.51 | 181.00 | 4.02 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 182.65 | 181.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 181.27 | 178.00 | -1.66 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 179.94 | 178.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 148.27 | 180.50 | 1088.28 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 148.28 | 176.00 | -2.49 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 147.89 | 176.00 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 147.45 | 175.60 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 180.01 | 175.60 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 179.00 | 175.60 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 177.00 | 172.50 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 175.39 | 171.00 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 174.10 | 171.60 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 172.38 | 170.50 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 170.66 | 168.70 | -1.06 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 169.77 | 164.20 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 168.44 | 165.00 | 0.49 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 167.06 | 162.90 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 165.70 | 159.30 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 163.64 | 160.40 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 161.78 | 160.40 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 160.86 | 160.40 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 159.76 | 160.40 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 159.06 | 160.40 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 158.85 | 160.40 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 159.18 | 157.40 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 158.88 | 162.10 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 159.48 | 166.90 | 2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 161.18 | 163.90 | -1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 162.43 | 159.50 | -2.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 162.19 | 164.80 | 3.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 163.74 | 163.00 | -1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 164.29 | 161.00 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 162.96 | 163.80 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 162.99 | 170.70 | 4.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 164.08 | 170.70 | 4.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 165.20 | 166.80 | -2.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 165.52 | 165.90 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 166.58 | 165.10 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 166.77 | 165.80 | 0.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 166.92 | 163.50 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 165.89 | 163.50 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 165.26 | 164.10 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 164.79 | 168.70 | 2.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 165.45 | 164.60 | -2.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 166.04 | 164.60 | -2.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 165.85 | 167.20 | 1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 166.59 | 168.20 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 167.31 | 166.00 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 166.77 | 167.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 166.52 | 163.80 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 167.01 | 163.80 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 181.76 | 162.30 | -32.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 182.09 | 162.30 | -32.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 182.08 | 162.30 | -32.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 181.17 | 159.90 | -1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 179.78 | 159.60 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 163.45 | 160.00 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 161.91 | 164.00 | 2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 161.29 | 163.60 | -0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 161.47 | 179.90 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 165.53 | 188.80 | 4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 171.32 | 195.80 | 3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 177.11 | 195.80 | 3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 181.93 | 195.80 | 3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 188.40 | 176.30 | -9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 187.56 | 178.00 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 185.31 | 181.20 | 1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 183.29 | 181.20 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 181.34 | 178.50 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 178.05 | 173.00 | -3.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 175.93 | 170.00 | 2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 174.61 | 168.70 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 172.66 | 171.50 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 171.22 | 177.30 | 3.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 170.74 | 186.40 | 5.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 174.77 | 178.40 | -4.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 176.27 | 173.00 | -3.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 177.07 | 177.90 | 2.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 178.35 | 177.50 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 179.08 | 181.00 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 178.09 | 175.50 | -3.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 177.57 | 179.50 | 2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 179.00 | 172.30 | -4.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 142.83 | 168.80 | 892.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 110.23 | 168.80 | 892.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 109.80 | 170.40 | 0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 109.32 | 177.20 | 3.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 110.00 | 183.90 | 3.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 141.01 | 178.90 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 172.86 | 173.50 | -3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 174.60 | 180.00 | 3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 176.52 | 180.00 | 3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 177.31 | 178.50 | -0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 179.00 | 175.10 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 178.85 | 175.10 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 178.06 | 177.00 | 1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 177.51 | 182.50 | 3.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 178.94 | 184.00 | -1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |