Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
457
Yanlış
321
Başarı Oranı
%58.74
TEHOL - TEHOL
Tahmin ID: #128499 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 40.8200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 41.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.28
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 41.0291 TL | %0.07 |
| 20.07.2026 | 41.0331 TL | %0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 41.0603 TL | %0.07 |
| 22.07.2026 | 41.0761 TL | %0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 41.1157 TL | %0.10 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %42.22 | %7.18 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %32.06 | %11.56 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %39.39 | %9.97 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %43.28 | %9.16 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %37.31 | %9.71 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 29.00 | 38.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 29.00 | 38.00 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 31.33 | 34.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 32.50 | 34.00 | -10.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 33.60 | 31.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 35.40 | 31.00 | -8.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 28.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 36.00 | 28.00 | -9.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 33.40 | 20.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 30.40 | 20.00 | -13.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 20.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 20.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 19.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 19.00 | -9.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 17.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 15.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 15.00 | -11.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 14.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 13.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 13.00 | -7.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 13.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 13.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 13.40 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 13.20 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 13.20 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 13.40 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 16.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 15.19 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 14.99 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 14.19 | 12.00 | -14.29 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 13.79 | 14.00 | 16.67 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 13.93 | 15.66 | 11.86 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 14.27 | 15.71 | 0.32 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.51 | 15.26 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 15.16 | 15.26 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.41 | 15.29 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.33 | 15.29 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.24 | 15.29 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 17.07 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 15.97 | 16.63 | -2.58 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 16.25 | 17.10 | 2.64 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 16.63 | 16.58 | -3.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 16.38 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 16.87 | 16.40 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 16.74 | 17.64 | 7.56 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 16.93 | 17.34 | -1.70 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 16.98 | 17.01 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 16.95 | 17.37 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 17.08 | 17.37 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.37 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.54 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 17.07 | 17.37 | 2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 17.01 | 17.37 | 2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 17.01 | 17.37 | 2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 17.08 | 17.50 | 0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 17.18 | 17.24 | -1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 17.23 | 17.05 | -1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 17.24 | 17.27 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 17.29 | 18.50 | 7.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 17.52 | 19.35 | 4.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 17.89 | 21.28 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 18.68 | 21.94 | 3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 19.65 | 21.56 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 20.50 | 20.64 | -4.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 21.10 | 20.64 | -4.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 21.36 | 21.04 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 21.32 | 21.08 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 21.17 | 22.50 | 6.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 21.38 | 23.84 | 5.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 21.85 | 24.58 | 3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 22.49 | 24.58 | 3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 23.19 | 25.36 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 24.02 | 24.98 | -1.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 24.50 | 25.24 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 24.72 | 25.24 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 25.00 | 25.40 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 25.18 | 25.20 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 25.17 | 18.55 | -26.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 23.90 | 26.20 | 41.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 24.17 | 25.30 | -3.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 24.36 | 25.30 | -3.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 24.52 | 25.28 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.53 | 25.28 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 26.05 | 25.28 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 26.04 | 25.28 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 25.85 | 25.40 | 0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 25.70 | 25.30 | -0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 25.71 | 26.14 | 3.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 25.71 | 27.20 | 4.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 26.25 | 29.48 | 1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 27.10 | 29.00 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 27.79 | 28.90 | -0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 28.53 | 29.60 | 2.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 29.09 | 29.60 | 2.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 29.11 | 29.60 | 2.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 29.13 | 26.64 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 28.69 | 28.06 | 5.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 28.49 | 27.60 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 28.29 | 27.60 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 28.15 | 28.00 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 27.81 | 28.50 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 28.37 | 30.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 28.76 | 30.16 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 29.18 | 30.70 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 29.65 | 31.00 | 0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 30.26 | 31.50 | 1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 30.67 | 33.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 31.28 | 32.40 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 31.73 | 33.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 32.19 | 33.04 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 32.61 | 34.94 | 5.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 33.30 | 34.78 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 33.65 | 36.00 | 3.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 34.37 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 34.98 | 15.60 | -56.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 35.55 | 15.64 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 35.76 | 15.64 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 31.94 | 36.82 | 135.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 27.87 | 36.82 | 135.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 28.03 | 37.20 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 28.26 | 37.50 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 28.58 | 38.20 | 1.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 32.92 | 38.60 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 37.47 | 39.02 | 1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 37.98 | 39.02 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 38.36 | 39.02 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 38.65 | 39.50 | 1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 39.07 | 39.70 | 0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 39.30 | 40.40 | 1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 39.50 | 40.50 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 39.79 | 41.00 | 1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 40.25 | 41.00 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |