Toplam Tahmin
774
Doğru
451
Yanlış
323
Başarı Oranı
%58.27
TCELL - Turkcell
Tahmin ID: #128496 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 110.3000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 110.2000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.13
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 110.2236 TL | %0.02 |
| 17.07.2026 | 110.2493 TL | %0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 110.2780 TL | %0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 110.3096 TL | %0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 110.3417 TL | %0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %40.30 | %2.49 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %35.88 | %4.25 | 131 |
| 3 Gün | %39.10 | %3.40 | 133 |
| 4 Gün | %32.06 | %3.51 | 131 |
| 2 Gün | %36.57 | %2.76 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 94.00 | 93.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 94.00 | 93.00 | -2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 94.33 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 94.50 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 95.00 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 95.60 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 95.60 | 96.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 95.40 | 96.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 96.40 | 98.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 97.00 | 98.00 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 97.40 | 99.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 98.40 | 99.00 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 98.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 98.00 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 99.40 | 99.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 99.40 | 99.00 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 101.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 101.00 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 100.60 | 105.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 101.80 | 105.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 105.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 103.60 | 105.00 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 112.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 112.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 112.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 112.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 109.20 | 114.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 110.60 | 114.00 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 112.80 | 114.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 113.20 | 115.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 113.60 | 115.00 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 114.20 | 117.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 114.40 | 117.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 114.60 | 117.00 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 114.80 | 117.00 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 116.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 115.80 | 116.00 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 116.20 | 113.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 116.40 | 113.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 116.80 | 113.00 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 116.60 | 113.00 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 115.80 | 118.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 115.00 | 118.00 | 4.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 118.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 115.60 | 118.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 116.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 117.00 | 116.00 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 117.60 | 114.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 117.20 | 114.00 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 116.40 | 117.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 115.60 | 117.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 114.80 | 117.00 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 114.40 | 117.00 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 115.80 | 125.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 117.60 | 125.00 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 119.80 | 127.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 122.00 | 127.00 | 1.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 123.20 | 122.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 122.60 | 122.00 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 122.60 | 121.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 122.20 | 121.00 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 121.40 | 121.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 121.60 | 121.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 121.79 | 121.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 121.18 | 120.00 | -0.83 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 119.58 | 115.00 | -4.17 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 118.18 | 114.00 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 116.58 | 113.00 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 122.37 | 109.70 | -31.44 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 120.88 | 106.90 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 119.46 | 106.90 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 118.23 | 111.50 | 4.30 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 107.59 | 111.50 | 4.30 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 107.94 | 111.50 | 4.30 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 108.79 | 108.80 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 109.43 | 109.10 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 110.36 | 108.50 | -2.08 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 110.81 | 106.60 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 110.25 | 108.40 | 1.69 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 109.61 | 106.20 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 108.89 | 107.40 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 108.05 | 106.00 | -1.30 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 107.44 | 106.40 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 106.99 | 104.60 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 106.56 | 104.60 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 106.54 | 104.60 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 106.35 | 104.60 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 106.43 | 104.60 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 106.43 | 104.60 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 106.08 | 105.90 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 105.97 | 107.20 | 1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 106.17 | 106.90 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 106.28 | 107.50 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 106.51 | 108.60 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 107.28 | 104.90 | -3.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 107.09 | 111.20 | 6.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 107.79 | 114.40 | 2.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 109.29 | 117.30 | 2.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 115.70 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 112.93 | 115.70 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 115.08 | 116.30 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 116.13 | 117.10 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 116.66 | 117.30 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 116.69 | 120.50 | 2.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 117.35 | 117.70 | -2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 118.36 | 117.70 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 118.67 | 115.30 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 118.33 | 114.10 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 117.73 | 114.30 | 0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 116.50 | 114.30 | 0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 115.29 | 116.60 | 2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 115.10 | 113.80 | -2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 114.83 | 143.00 | 25.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 120.27 | 112.10 | -21.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 119.75 | 111.00 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 119.19 | 111.00 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 118.16 | 115.20 | 3.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 118.40 | 117.70 | 2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 112.46 | 117.70 | 2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 112.44 | 117.70 | 2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 113.65 | 118.60 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 115.00 | 120.00 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 115.95 | 121.90 | 1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 117.94 | 115.00 | -5.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 118.36 | 114.50 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 117.66 | 109.50 | -4.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 115.97 | 106.80 | -2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 113.39 | 108.60 | 1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 110.40 | 108.60 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 109.07 | 108.60 | 1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 107.85 | 106.00 | -2.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 107.08 | 106.50 | 0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 106.99 | 106.10 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 106.90 | 106.10 | -0.38 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 105.64 | 102.60 | 1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 104.48 | 108.50 | 5.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 104.43 | 107.90 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 104.66 | 105.10 | -2.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 104.39 | 107.40 | 2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 105.68 | 105.50 | -1.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 106.28 | 104.60 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 106.03 | 107.50 | 2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 105.97 | 110.70 | 2.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 107.09 | 114.90 | 3.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 108.59 | 115.20 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 109.87 | 116.00 | 3.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 112.15 | 113.40 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 113.35 | 113.20 | -0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 113.92 | 111.00 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 113.16 | 110.40 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 112.97 | 110.50 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 112.00 | 110.50 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 111.41 | 110.90 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 110.84 | 110.90 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 110.82 | 109.60 | -1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 110.53 | 107.40 | -2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 109.80 | 108.70 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 109.44 | 108.40 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 109.02 | 107.20 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 108.30 | 108.60 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 107.82 | 108.60 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 108.07 | 108.20 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 107.97 | 105.40 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 107.91 | 104.90 | -0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 107.46 | 107.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 107.40 | 109.00 | 1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |