Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
455
Yanlış
323
Başarı Oranı
%58.48
TAVHL - TAV Holding
Tahmin ID: #128494 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 269.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 267.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.15
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 267.6667 TL | %0.06 |
| 20.07.2026 | 267.8466 TL | %0.07 |
| 21.07.2026 | 267.8803 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 267.8859 TL | %0.00 |
| 23.07.2026 | 267.9062 TL | %0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %26.72 | %65.23 | 131 |
| 1 Gün | %36.30 | %38.16 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %32.09 | %40.14 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %29.85 | %41.80 | 134 |
| 4 Gün | %23.48 | %26.02 | 132 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 294.00 | 302.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 294.00 | 302.00 | 3.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 294.67 | 304.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 295.00 | 304.00 | 0.66 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 296.40 | 298.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 298.00 | 298.00 | -1.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 299.20 | 310.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 300.00 | 310.00 | 4.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 304.40 | 315.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 307.60 | 315.00 | 0.32 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 311.20 | 322.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 315.20 | 322.00 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 320.60 | 325.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 322.40 | 325.00 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 324.80 | 327.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 326.80 | 327.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 329.20 | 322.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 330.20 | 322.00 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 329.40 | 321.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 328.00 | 321.00 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 326.00 | 316.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 323.60 | 316.00 | -1.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 320.40 | 326.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 319.00 | 326.00 | 3.16 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 319.60 | 329.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 320.80 | 329.00 | 0.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 322.80 | 332.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 325.60 | 332.00 | 0.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 328.80 | 332.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 330.00 | 332.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 331.20 | 346.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 331.60 | 346.00 | 4.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 334.80 | 339.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 337.60 | 339.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 340.40 | 339.00 | -2.02 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 343.20 | 339.00 | -2.02 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 344.60 | 347.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 343.20 | 347.00 | 2.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 343.40 | 345.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 343.60 | 345.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 343.80 | 345.00 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 345.40 | 345.00 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 346.60 | 358.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 346.20 | 358.00 | 3.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 348.40 | 356.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 350.60 | 356.00 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 352.40 | 353.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 354.60 | 353.00 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 356.20 | 358.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 355.20 | 358.00 | 1.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 355.20 | 366.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 355.60 | 366.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 356.00 | 366.00 | 2.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 357.00 | 366.00 | 2.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 358.20 | 361.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 358.40 | 361.00 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 359.00 | 365.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 359.60 | 365.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 352.60 | 328.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 345.40 | 328.00 | 1.55 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 339.00 | 320.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 332.20 | 320.00 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 324.00 | 323.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 323.40 | 323.00 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 323.29 | 323.00 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 323.00 | 326.00 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 319.29 | 309.00 | -5.21 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 315.74 | 303.00 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 310.15 | 293.00 | -3.30 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 244.21 | 302.50 | 1656.68 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 240.54 | 286.25 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 237.11 | 286.25 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 235.72 | 300.75 | 5.07 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 289.30 | 300.75 | 5.07 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 288.99 | 300.75 | 5.07 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 291.25 | 296.75 | -0.17 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 292.56 | 290.00 | -2.27 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 293.23 | 292.50 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 293.82 | 286.00 | -2.22 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 291.45 | 299.00 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 290.31 | 291.50 | -2.51 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 289.78 | 305.00 | 4.63 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 292.97 | 294.50 | -3.44 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 247.72 | 292.50 | 439.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 199.83 | 292.50 | 439.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 153.30 | 292.50 | 439.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 103.68 | 292.50 | 439.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 104.23 | 307.75 | 5.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 155.49 | 319.50 | 3.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 208.80 | 322.75 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 262.47 | 320.50 | -0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 313.73 | 323.25 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 318.73 | 312.75 | -3.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 318.47 | 344.00 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 322.72 | 341.25 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 325.19 | 345.75 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 331.39 | 328.50 | -4.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 335.77 | 328.50 | -4.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 338.85 | 330.25 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 335.51 | 321.50 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 332.15 | 311.75 | -3.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 325.57 | 320.00 | 2.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 320.55 | 312.00 | -2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 319.19 | 312.00 | -2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 315.52 | 313.00 | 0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 314.03 | 308.25 | -1.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 313.23 | 308.25 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 310.47 | 308.25 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 307.64 | 302.00 | -2.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 305.76 | 284.75 | -5.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 239.80 | 278.50 | -0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 181.53 | 271.50 | -2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 175.71 | 271.50 | -2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 172.33 | 276.00 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 173.79 | 289.75 | 4.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 226.27 | 289.75 | 4.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 278.98 | 289.75 | 4.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 281.58 | 290.00 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 282.77 | 284.00 | -2.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 282.80 | 279.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 283.53 | 269.25 | -3.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 280.76 | 267.50 | 1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 276.33 | 258.25 | -3.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 270.24 | 252.75 | -2.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 263.94 | 260.75 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 258.57 | 260.75 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 256.47 | 260.75 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 254.88 | 244.80 | -6.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 252.11 | 252.00 | 2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 252.08 | 259.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 252.04 | 259.00 | 2.78 | ❌ | 0.48 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 251.89 | 257.00 | 2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 251.36 | 265.50 | 3.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 255.02 | 264.00 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 257.38 | 257.50 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 258.56 | 254.00 | -1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 259.07 | 257.00 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 259.11 | 260.50 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 258.69 | 259.00 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 257.65 | 275.00 | 6.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 261.06 | 292.00 | 6.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 268.54 | 302.00 | 3.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 277.14 | 304.50 | 1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 285.83 | 297.00 | -2.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 293.42 | 288.00 | -3.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 296.08 | 285.00 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 294.79 | 286.50 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 291.81 | 284.25 | -0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 287.97 | 284.25 | -0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 285.51 | 284.50 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 284.77 | 284.50 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 284.65 | 280.00 | -1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 283.58 | 282.25 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 283.09 | 285.75 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 283.37 | 281.75 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 282.88 | 276.50 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 281.36 | 272.50 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 280.72 | 272.50 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 278.78 | 272.25 | -0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 276.08 | 263.75 | -3.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 274.22 | 263.25 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 271.58 | 269.25 | 2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 270.14 | 259.75 | -3.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 267.30 | 267.50 | 3.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |