Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
471
Yanlış
307
Başarı Oranı
%60.54
SOKM - Şok Marketler
Tahmin ID: #128482 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 52.0500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 51.2500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.10
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 51.1898 TL | %-0.12 |
| 20.07.2026 | 51.1490 TL | %-0.08 |
| 21.07.2026 | 51.1518 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 51.1849 TL | %0.06 |
| 23.07.2026 | 51.1975 TL | %0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %28.24 | %12.02 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %27.27 | %14.73 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %32.09 | %12.61 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %41.79 | %14.64 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %45.19 | %12.35 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 50.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 50.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 49.33 | 50.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 49.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 49.20 | 51.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 49.20 | 51.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 49.20 | 49.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 49.60 | 49.00 | -3.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 50.60 | 52.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 51.20 | 52.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 51.80 | 53.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 52.40 | 53.00 | 1.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 53.20 | 54.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 53.40 | 54.00 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 53.80 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 55.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 57.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 57.00 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 56.60 | 59.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 57.00 | 59.00 | 3.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 57.80 | 61.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 58.00 | 61.00 | 3.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 58.60 | 62.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 59.40 | 62.00 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 60.40 | 63.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 63.00 | 1.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 61.80 | 62.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 62.20 | 62.00 | -1.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 62.40 | 63.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 62.40 | 63.00 | 1.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 64.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 64.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 64.00 | 1.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 62.80 | 64.00 | 1.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 63.20 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 63.40 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 64.00 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 64.20 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 64.40 | 64.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 64.60 | 66.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 66.00 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 65.00 | 65.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 65.00 | -1.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 63.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 63.00 | -3.08 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 65.00 | 62.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 64.40 | 62.00 | -1.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 64.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 63.00 | 64.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 62.40 | 64.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 62.20 | 64.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 62.80 | 68.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 68.00 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 69.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 66.00 | 69.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 67.00 | 68.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 67.20 | 68.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 70.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 70.00 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 68.00 | 69.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 68.60 | 69.00 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 68.99 | 69.00 | -1.43 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 68.58 | 66.00 | -4.35 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 67.58 | 63.00 | -4.55 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 66.17 | 63.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 64.57 | 62.00 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 62.99 | 61.05 | -1.53 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 61.96 | 60.85 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 61.30 | 59.15 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 60.53 | 59.15 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 59.96 | 58.60 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 59.58 | 58.60 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 59.12 | 58.60 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 58.57 | 54.80 | -3.78 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 57.69 | 53.35 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 56.67 | 53.30 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 55.49 | 52.60 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 54.44 | 51.95 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 53.43 | 50.60 | -2.60 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 52.60 | 51.00 | 0.79 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 51.99 | 48.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 50.93 | 48.18 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 49.91 | 49.04 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 49.17 | 49.04 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 48.70 | 49.04 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 48.14 | 49.04 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 48.18 | 49.04 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 48.16 | 49.04 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 48.33 | 48.92 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 48.47 | 50.50 | 3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 48.94 | 53.10 | 5.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 49.93 | 52.05 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 50.72 | 51.85 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 51.30 | 51.00 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 51.70 | 53.10 | 4.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 43.51 | 56.35 | 485.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 44.40 | 53.55 | -4.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 45.29 | 53.55 | -4.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 45.83 | 53.15 | -0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 45.83 | 51.55 | -3.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 54.25 | 21.48 | -58.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 47.07 | 52.75 | 145.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 46.60 | 51.45 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 46.55 | 51.45 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 46.17 | 51.00 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 45.86 | 50.50 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 51.67 | 49.46 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 50.98 | 49.46 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 49.80 | 49.36 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 49.20 | 48.68 | -1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 48.73 | 50.85 | 4.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 48.92 | 50.90 | 0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 49.02 | 51.30 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 49.65 | 51.30 | 0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 50.11 | 51.75 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 50.71 | 54.05 | 4.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 50.66 | 54.05 | 4.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 50.81 | 54.05 | 4.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 51.49 | 55.55 | 2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 52.51 | 51.70 | -6.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 52.66 | 51.75 | 0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 52.96 | 51.60 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 52.96 | 53.25 | 2.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 52.82 | 50.15 | -5.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 51.72 | 49.44 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 51.27 | 49.90 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 50.79 | 49.90 | 0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 50.32 | 49.90 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 49.64 | 47.66 | -4.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 49.18 | 49.74 | 4.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 49.24 | 49.22 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 49.30 | 49.22 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 48.97 | 48.00 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 48.60 | 49.36 | 2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 48.86 | 48.28 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 48.56 | 48.06 | -0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 48.23 | 48.40 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 48.34 | 48.50 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 48.43 | 48.80 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 48.39 | 47.90 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 48.33 | 49.18 | 2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 48.56 | 50.95 | 3.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 49.07 | 50.20 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 49.11 | 49.40 | 1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 49.23 | 48.20 | -2.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 49.29 | 48.26 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 49.10 | 48.06 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 48.54 | 16.77 | -65.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 48.41 | 16.37 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 48.15 | 16.37 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 41.77 | 46.78 | 185.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 35.40 | 46.78 | 185.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 35.16 | 47.36 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 34.99 | 46.30 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 34.64 | 46.60 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 40.32 | 45.60 | -2.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 46.07 | 46.42 | 1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 45.89 | 45.52 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 45.66 | 45.52 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 45.49 | 45.28 | -0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 45.60 | 43.82 | -3.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 45.62 | 44.50 | 1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 45.33 | 46.14 | 3.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 45.35 | 47.52 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 45.99 | 51.25 | 5.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |