Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
456
Yanlış
322
Başarı Oranı
%58.61
SKYMD - Şeker Yatırım
Tahmin ID: #128473 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 14.5900 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 14.5800 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 14.5856 TL | %0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 14.5772 TL | %-0.06 |
| 21.07.2026 | 14.5763 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 14.5737 TL | %-0.02 |
| 23.07.2026 | 14.5751 TL | %0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %40.30 | %64.74 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %36.64 | %35.76 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %43.94 | %63.30 | 132 |
| 2 Gün | %41.04 | %67.01 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %45.93 | %66.99 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 11.67 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 11.20 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 12.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 13.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 13.00 | 8.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.20 | 13.00 | 8.33 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 12.20 | 12.00 | -7.69 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 12.20 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 12.19 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 11.99 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 11.93 | 12.71 | 15.55 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 12.02 | 12.45 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 12.03 | 11.92 | -1.08 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 12.01 | 11.92 | -1.08 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 12.19 | 12.25 | 2.77 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 12.03 | 12.25 | 2.77 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 12.25 | 2.77 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 11.99 | 11.92 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 11.95 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 12.06 | 12.04 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 12.09 | 12.00 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 12.05 | 12.09 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 12.06 | 11.86 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 12.04 | 11.87 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 11.80 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 11.93 | 12.63 | 7.03 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.05 | 13.80 | 9.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.16 | 13.80 | 9.26 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.31 | 13.80 | 9.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 12.46 | 13.80 | 9.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 12.62 | 13.80 | 9.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 12.62 | 13.80 | 9.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 12.85 | 13.09 | -5.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 12.93 | 13.04 | -0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 13.01 | 12.54 | -3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 12.99 | 12.67 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 12.44 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 12.73 | 12.27 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 12.57 | 12.48 | 1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 13.39 | 13.41 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 13.64 | 13.41 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 13.99 | 13.37 | -0.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 14.24 | 13.54 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 14.44 | 13.32 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 14.57 | 13.49 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 14.77 | 13.47 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 14.72 | 13.47 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 14.75 | 13.56 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 14.48 | 13.89 | 2.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 14.52 | 13.89 | 2.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 14.52 | 13.89 | 2.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 14.39 | 14.48 | 4.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 14.31 | 14.00 | -3.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.30 | 2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 14.30 | 14.08 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 13.32 | 0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 13.88 | 13.32 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 13.65 | 13.28 | -0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 13.51 | 13.50 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 13.31 | 13.50 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 13.30 | 13.50 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -7.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 13.19 | 12.72 | 1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 13.07 | 13.70 | 7.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 12.95 | 13.70 | 7.70 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 12.95 | 14.15 | 6.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 13.08 | 14.52 | 2.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 13.67 | 14.20 | -8.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 13.96 | 13.87 | -2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 14.19 | 13.68 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 14.26 | 13.30 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 14.09 | 12.99 | -2.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 13.61 | 13.61 | 4.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 13.50 | 13.43 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 13.42 | 13.35 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 13.35 | 13.16 | -1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 13.32 | 13.38 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 13.39 | 13.32 | -0.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 13.33 | 13.55 | 1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 13.35 | 14.41 | 6.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 15.10 | 14.63 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 15.34 | 15.35 | 4.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 15.46 | 15.35 | 4.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 15.66 | 15.08 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 15.27 | 14.69 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 15.08 | 14.70 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 15.02 | 15.10 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 15.04 | 14.73 | -2.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 14.91 | 14.58 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |