Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
462
Yanlış
316
Başarı Oranı
%59.38
SKYLP - Skyalp Fin. Tek.ve Danışmanlık
Tahmin ID: #128472 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 243.8000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 249.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.09
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 249.0936 TL | %0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 249.0794 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 249.1096 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 249.0636 TL | %-0.02 |
| 23.07.2026 | 249.2256 TL | %0.07 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %27.61 | %172.75 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %27.48 | %178.68 | 131 |
| 2 Gün | %32.09 | %212.15 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %34.07 | %185.57 | 135 |
| 4 Gün | %25.00 | %242.22 | 132 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 263.00 | 255.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 263.00 | 255.00 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 266.33 | 260.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 268.00 | 260.00 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 267.60 | 249.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 268.20 | 249.00 | -4.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 267.60 | 240.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 265.00 | 240.00 | -3.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 261.60 | 232.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 259.60 | 232.00 | -7.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 253.60 | 225.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 248.80 | 225.00 | -3.02 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 242.40 | 238.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 236.80 | 238.00 | 5.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 234.00 | 229.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 235.20 | 229.00 | -3.78 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 234.40 | 225.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 235.20 | 225.00 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 240.40 | 280.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 242.80 | 280.00 | 10.24 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 248.80 | 275.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 256.80 | 275.00 | 1.10 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 265.40 | 297.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 269.60 | 297.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 278.40 | 278.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 283.60 | 278.00 | -6.40 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 284.80 | 278.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 285.40 | 278.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 286.20 | 270.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 282.40 | 270.00 | -2.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 277.20 | 288.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 276.00 | 288.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 278.00 | 288.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 279.80 | 288.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 281.60 | 288.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 284.80 | 288.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 288.40 | 289.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 288.80 | 289.00 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 289.00 | 302.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 289.20 | 302.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 289.40 | 302.00 | 4.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 289.20 | 302.00 | 4.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 291.60 | 332.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 294.20 | 332.00 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 302.60 | 318.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 311.00 | 318.00 | -4.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 316.80 | 307.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 320.00 | 307.00 | -3.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 321.00 | 318.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 316.20 | 318.00 | 3.58 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 313.60 | 309.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 313.40 | 309.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 313.20 | 309.00 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 315.40 | 309.00 | -2.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 323.20 | 316.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 328.80 | 316.00 | -8.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 328.80 | 285.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 328.80 | 285.00 | -9.81 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 317.60 | 285.00 | 8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 300.80 | 285.00 | 8.37 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 287.40 | 280.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 279.80 | 280.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 272.40 | 271.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 276.00 | 271.00 | -3.21 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 277.78 | 271.00 | -3.21 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 274.57 | 263.00 | -2.95 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 269.79 | 255.00 | -3.04 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 260.25 | 232.00 | -9.02 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 255.30 | 255.00 | 9.91 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 257.36 | 281.00 | 10.20 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 260.78 | 280.00 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 263.84 | 271.75 | 0.46 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 271.73 | 271.75 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 275.02 | 298.75 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 273.13 | 298.75 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 276.80 | 298.75 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 280.64 | 280.00 | -3.37 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 282.21 | 265.00 | -5.36 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 279.68 | 255.00 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 276.46 | 257.25 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 267.90 | 255.00 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 261.05 | 257.00 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 256.59 | 265.00 | 3.11 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 257.87 | 272.00 | 2.64 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 261.28 | 262.00 | -3.68 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 262.60 | 259.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 264.00 | 259.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 264.99 | 259.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 264.33 | 259.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 262.25 | 259.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 262.25 | 259.50 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 261.73 | 282.00 | 8.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 265.71 | 299.50 | 6.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 273.19 | 285.00 | -4.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 277.56 | 280.00 | -1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 280.94 | 273.25 | -2.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 283.68 | 268.00 | -1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 280.84 | 272.25 | 1.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 275.36 | 272.00 | -0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 272.82 | 269.75 | -0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 270.80 | 262.00 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 270.09 | 262.00 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 214.88 | 296.00 | 11692.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 166.97 | 329.25 | 10221.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 178.86 | 354.25 | 7.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 192.69 | 354.25 | 7.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 262.98 | 385.75 | 8.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 280.59 | 369.00 | -4.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 356.59 | 356.00 | -3.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 366.75 | 356.00 | -3.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 364.76 | 341.25 | -4.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 364.24 | 341.75 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 354.45 | 324.00 | -5.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 340.82 | 338.00 | 4.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 331.32 | 370.00 | 9.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 333.51 | 370.00 | 9.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 330.44 | 359.00 | -2.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 328.43 | 345.00 | -3.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 337.35 | 345.00 | -3.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 337.48 | 345.00 | -3.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 340.07 | 345.25 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 341.80 | 343.75 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 345.28 | 337.50 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 341.02 | 347.50 | 2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 344.27 | 340.00 | -2.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 343.11 | 326.00 | -4.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 339.31 | 345.75 | 6.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 339.58 | 339.75 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 340.90 | 339.75 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 340.03 | 339.75 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 340.43 | 317.75 | -6.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 338.64 | 326.50 | 2.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 334.69 | 340.00 | 4.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 331.16 | 340.00 | 4.13 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 329.20 | 327.75 | -2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 326.67 | 343.00 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 328.74 | 314.25 | -3.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 326.50 | 302.25 | -3.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 321.56 | 316.00 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 317.69 | 308.25 | -2.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 313.76 | 295.00 | -4.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 307.42 | 319.75 | 8.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 308.43 | 310.25 | -2.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 309.89 | 297.75 | -4.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 306.28 | 297.00 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 303.29 | 294.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 303.05 | 297.25 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 298.54 | 286.50 | -3.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 293.80 | 277.00 | -3.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 226.83 | 270.00 | 1495.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 172.98 | 270.00 | 1495.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 171.89 | 262.00 | -2.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 168.43 | 259.00 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 165.30 | 259.75 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 209.19 | 250.50 | -3.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 255.65 | 249.00 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 252.31 | 232.40 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 249.10 | 232.40 | -6.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 243.37 | 228.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 242.59 | 250.00 | 9.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 242.73 | 235.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 238.75 | 238.10 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 237.64 | 233.50 | -1.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 239.75 | 249.00 | 2.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |