Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
474
Yanlış
304
Başarı Oranı
%60.93
SELVA - Selva Gıda
Tahmin ID: #128465 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 1.8700 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 1.8900 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.25
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 1.8894 TL | %-0.03 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1.8882 TL | %-0.06 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1.8875 TL | %-0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1.8857 TL | %-0.10 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1.8852 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %35.07 | %66.21 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %28.24 | %71.22 | 131 |
| 1 Gün | %39.26 | %62.53 | 135 |
| 4 Gün | %39.39 | %66.55 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %35.82 | %42.64 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 2.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 2.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.00 | -33.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.00 | -33.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 2.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.24 | 2.36 | 5.36 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.26 | 2.36 | 5.36 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.22 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.22 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.17 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.16 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 2.23 | 2.27 | 5.09 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 2.22 | 2.17 | -4.41 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 2.21 | 2.16 | -0.46 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 2.19 | 2.09 | -3.24 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 2.17 | 2.12 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.17 | 2.12 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.14 | 2.12 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.13 | 2.12 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.23 | 5.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 2.14 | 2.29 | 2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 2.18 | 2.29 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 2.21 | 2.27 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 2.25 | 2.30 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.13 | -7.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 2.26 | 2.28 | 7.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 3.90 | 2.21 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 3.94 | 2.31 | 4.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 2.54 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.01 | 2.54 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.45 | -3.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 2.50 | 2.69 | 9.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.95 | 9.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 2.71 | 2.95 | 9.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 2.66 | -9.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 2.81 | 2.53 | -4.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 2.82 | 2.44 | -3.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 2.75 | 2.46 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 2.69 | 2.41 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 2.64 | 2.41 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 2.62 | 2.46 | 2.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.57 | 2.50 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.58 | 2.50 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.58 | 2.50 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 2.54 | 2.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 2.54 | 2.44 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 2.50 | 2.37 | -2.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 2.46 | 2.33 | 0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 2.42 | 2.29 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 2.38 | 2.21 | -3.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2.32 | 2.19 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 2.19 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 2.25 | 2.19 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 2.22 | 2.00 | -8.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 2.17 | 2.14 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 2.15 | 2.25 | 5.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 2.13 | 2.25 | 5.14 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 2.13 | 2.17 | -1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 2.13 | 2.19 | 0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 2.16 | 2.11 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 2.15 | 2.22 | 5.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 2.17 | 2.18 | -1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 2.16 | 2.14 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 2.16 | 2.10 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 2.15 | 2.08 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 2.14 | 2.08 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.13 | 2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2.11 | 2.08 | -2.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2.09 | 2.08 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 2.09 | 2.08 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 2.09 | 2.10 | 0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 2.09 | 2.08 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 2.08 | 2.03 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 2.08 | 2.18 | 7.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 2.08 | 2.18 | 7.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 2.10 | 2.06 | -5.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.06 | -5.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 2.12 | 2.01 | -2.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 2.10 | 1.97 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 2.08 | 1.95 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 2.03 | 1.94 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 1.99 | 1.95 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1.96 | 1.94 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.94 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.94 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 1.94 | 1.90 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 1.94 | 1.88 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 1.92 | 1.89 | 0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 1.91 | 1.86 | -1.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |