Toplam Tahmin

768

Doğru

437

Yanlış

331

Başarı Oranı

%56.90

SELEC - Selçuk Ecza Deposu

Tahmin ID: #128464 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 259.2500 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 240.9000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.19
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 240.5310 TL %-0.15
20.07.2026 240.1038 TL %-0.18
21.07.2026 240.1984 TL %0.04
22.07.2026 240.4376 TL %0.10
23.07.2026 240.4403 TL %0.00
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
5 Gün %33.85 %51.01 130
4 Gün %35.11 %20.92 131
3 Gün %24.81 %34.14 133
1 Gün %34.33 %24.01 134
2 Gün %39.10 %22.68 133
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 77.00 80.00 6.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 77.00 80.00 6.67 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 77.33 82.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 77.50 82.00 2.50 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 77.40 87.00 5.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 77.40 87.00 6.10 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 78.40 79.00 -8.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 79.20 79.00 -9.20 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 79.80 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 80.60 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 81.40 80.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 81.20 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 81.00 80.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 81.00 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 80.80 81.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 80.60 81.00 1.25 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 80.80 80.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 81.00 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 80.80 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 80.80 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 80.60 80.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 80.00 80.00 1.27 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 79.60 80.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 79.60 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 79.60 82.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 79.80 82.00 2.50 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 80.40 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 80.80 83.00 1.22 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 81.40 82.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 82.00 82.00 -1.20 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 82.40 81.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 82.40 81.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 82.20 80.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 81.80 80.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 81.40 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 81.20 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 80.80 80.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 80.60 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 80.40 79.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 80.20 79.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 80.00 79.00 -1.25 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 80.00 79.00 -1.25 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 79.80 79.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 79.60 79.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 79.40 82.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 79.20 82.00 3.80 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 79.60 81.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 80.20 81.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 80.60 80.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 81.00 80.00 -1.23 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.20 84.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 80.80 84.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 82.20 91.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 83.80 91.00 2.25 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 85.80 92.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 88.00 92.00 1.10 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 89.00 87.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 88.20 87.00 2.35 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 88.00 86.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 87.40 86.00 -2.27 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 86.40 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 86.60 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 86.81 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.62
26.02.2026 1 86.61 87.00 1.16 ✅ 0.62
27.02.2026 1 86.02 85.00 -2.30 ✅ 0.62
02.03.2026 1 85.02 81.00 -4.71 ✅ 0.63
03.03.2026 1 84.22 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.63
05.03.2026 1 116.62 84.65 -66.14 ✅ 0.63
09.03.2026 1 115.72 78.00 -3.11 ❌ 0.63
09.03.2026 1 115.12 78.00 -3.11 ✅ 0.63
10.03.2026 1 114.32 80.15 2.76 ✅ 0.63
10.03.2026 1 79.86 80.15 2.76 ✅ 0.63
10.03.2026 1 78.96 80.15 2.76 ✅ 0.62
13.03.2026 1 79.48 83.45 0.42 ✅ 0.60
16.03.2026 1 80.66 81.85 -1.92 ❌ 0.55
18.03.2026 1 81.95 80.05 -4.13 ❌ 0.65
19.03.2026 1 82.53 80.15 0.12 ✅ 0.59
23.03.2026 1 82.77 83.00 3.56 ✅ 0.67
24.03.2026 1 82.89 81.25 -2.11 ❌ 0.67
25.03.2026 1 82.42 79.90 -1.66 ❌ 0.59
26.03.2026 1 81.61 81.00 1.38 ✅ 0.60
27.03.2026 1 81.68 81.50 0.62 ✅ 0.63
28.03.2026 1 81.75 80.15 -1.66 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 81.34 80.15 -1.66 ❌ 0.64
28.03.2026 1 81.37 80.15 -1.66 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 81.63 80.15 -1.66 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 81.73 80.15 -1.66 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 81.72 80.15 -1.66 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 81.47 80.50 0.44 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 81.22 80.05 -0.56 ✅ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 80.90 81.20 1.44 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 80.79 82.20 1.23 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 80.93 82.45 0.30 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 81.36 80.75 -2.06 ❌ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 81.36 85.35 5.70 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 82.41 85.35 0.00 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 83.20 86.25 1.05 ❌ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 83.96 87.25 1.16 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 84.70 87.25 1.16 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 71.15 89.60 720.51 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 71.95 89.40 -0.22 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 72.66 90.40 1.12 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 73.42 89.50 -1.00 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 74.07 89.50 -1.00 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 89.99 88.50 -1.12 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 90.04 90.20 1.92 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 88.95 92.00 2.00 ❌ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 88.17 92.00 2.00 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 71.05 98.40 1081.27 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 72.82 99.00 0.61 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 75.72 104.00 5.05 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 79.05 104.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 81.94 104.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 101.04 103.00 -0.96 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 102.04 104.30 1.26 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 103.19 104.30 1.26 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 102.96 104.30 1.26 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 103.63 110.00 5.47 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 106.47 113.00 0.98 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 108.16 112.40 -0.53 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 109.96 106.80 -3.35 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 110.43 107.30 0.47 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 109.97 100.80 -6.06 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 107.71 99.60 -1.19 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 105.22 99.60 -1.19 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 103.19 99.60 -1.19 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 101.79 98.10 -1.51 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 99.92 102.00 3.98 ✅ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 100.15 99.05 -2.89 ✅ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 100.43 99.05 -2.89 ✅ 0.64
01.06.2026 1 100.94 98.80 -4.45 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 100.74 99.10 0.30 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 100.35 95.90 -0.26 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 99.16 97.05 1.20 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 98.22 102.50 5.62 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 98.07 96.45 -5.90 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 97.64 102.50 6.27 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 98.85 109.50 6.83 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 101.55 112.20 2.47 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 104.53 123.40 9.98 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 108.71 135.70 9.97 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 119.25 164.10 9.99 ✅ 0.60