Toplam Tahmin
768
Doğru
416
Yanlış
352
Başarı Oranı
%54.17
SAHOL - Sabancı Holding
Tahmin ID: #128451 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 89.0500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 90.3000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 90.2628 TL | %-0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 90.2306 TL | %-0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 90.2694 TL | %0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 90.2798 TL | %0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 90.2757 TL | %0.00 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %46.27 | %1.71 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %36.09 | %2.43 | 133 |
| 4 Gün | %35.88 | %3.85 | 131 |
| 3 Gün | %43.61 | %3.15 | 133 |
| 5 Gün | %35.38 | %4.41 | 130 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 84.00 | 83.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 84.00 | 83.00 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 83.67 | 83.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 83.50 | 83.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 83.20 | 84.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 82.80 | 84.00 | 1.20 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 82.80 | 87.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 83.00 | 87.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 84.80 | 90.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 86.80 | 90.00 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 88.60 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 91.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 91.40 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 91.20 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 91.20 | 93.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 91.40 | 93.00 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 92.00 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 92.60 | 93.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 93.20 | 95.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 93.60 | 95.00 | 1.06 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 93.80 | 94.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 93.60 | 94.00 | 1.08 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 93.60 | 95.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 93.60 | 95.00 | 1.06 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 93.80 | 97.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 94.20 | 97.00 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 95.00 | 98.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 95.60 | 98.00 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 96.40 | 100.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 97.00 | 100.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 98.00 | 105.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 98.60 | 105.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 110.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 101.60 | 110.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 103.00 | 110.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 110.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 109.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 106.60 | 109.00 | -0.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 107.40 | 108.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 108.20 | 108.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 109.00 | 108.00 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 109.00 | 108.00 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 108.80 | 109.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 109.00 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 106.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 106.00 | -2.75 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 108.20 | 103.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 103.00 | -2.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 107.00 | 103.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 103.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 105.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 103.80 | 105.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 104.20 | 111.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 105.40 | 111.00 | 0.91 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 107.00 | 112.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 112.00 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 108.80 | 105.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 107.80 | 105.00 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 107.20 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 103.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 105.60 | 103.00 | -2.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 105.39 | 103.00 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 105.18 | 105.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 103.98 | 100.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 101.97 | 96.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 99.17 | 92.00 | -4.17 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 97.34 | 93.80 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 95.04 | 93.40 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 93.05 | 91.05 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 92.07 | 91.05 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 91.89 | 95.70 | 5.11 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 91.35 | 95.70 | 5.11 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 90.89 | 95.70 | 5.11 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 91.98 | 94.90 | -0.73 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 92.77 | 94.05 | -0.90 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 93.73 | 93.20 | -2.82 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 94.15 | 92.55 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 94.58 | 93.45 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 94.19 | 89.95 | -3.75 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 93.18 | 91.15 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 92.22 | 89.95 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 91.58 | 89.10 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 90.77 | 88.90 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 89.90 | 88.90 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 89.74 | 88.90 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 89.33 | 88.90 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 89.15 | 88.90 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 89.14 | 88.90 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 89.09 | 89.40 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 89.14 | 90.55 | 1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 89.42 | 90.10 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 89.65 | 89.00 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 89.61 | 91.75 | 3.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 90.14 | 89.30 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 90.16 | 96.35 | 7.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 91.30 | 97.55 | 1.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 92.75 | 102.00 | 4.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 95.36 | 99.10 | -2.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 97.43 | 99.10 | -2.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 99.35 | 100.50 | 1.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 100.17 | 100.60 | 0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 100.83 | 99.50 | -1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 100.34 | 105.10 | 5.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 102.90 | -2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 102.22 | 102.90 | -2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 102.74 | 101.00 | -1.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 98.90 | -2.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 102.68 | 98.80 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 101.42 | 98.80 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 100.15 | 98.15 | -0.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 99.20 | 96.40 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 98.30 | 96.15 | -0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 97.77 | 95.65 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 97.10 | 93.70 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 96.46 | 93.70 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 95.96 | 95.30 | 1.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 95.79 | 100.70 | 5.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 95.55 | 100.70 | 5.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 95.55 | 100.70 | 5.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 96.59 | 100.00 | -0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 97.41 | 100.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 98.28 | 99.35 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 99.08 | 95.20 | -4.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 98.95 | 95.85 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 97.87 | 93.05 | -2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 96.49 | 92.30 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 94.91 | 92.65 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 93.56 | 92.65 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 93.04 | 92.65 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 92.41 | 87.25 | -5.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 91.30 | 89.15 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 90.77 | 90.30 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 90.13 | 90.30 | 1.29 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 90.03 | 89.00 | -3.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 89.35 | 93.30 | 4.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 90.02 | 92.00 | 1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 90.52 | 90.00 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 90.69 | 91.50 | 1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 90.61 | 91.20 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 91.06 | 91.15 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 91.16 | 91.60 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 91.09 | 95.95 | 4.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 92.26 | 101.20 | 5.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 94.18 | 100.80 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 95.86 | 102.50 | 2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 98.11 | 100.80 | -1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 99.99 | 101.50 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 101.17 | 99.15 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 100.81 | 99.80 | 0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 100.73 | 97.00 | -2.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 100.08 | 97.00 | -2.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 99.30 | 97.45 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 98.36 | 97.45 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 98.00 | 97.50 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 97.68 | 97.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 97.33 | 98.10 | 0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 97.54 | 97.55 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 97.63 | 94.50 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 97.03 | 93.60 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 96.41 | 93.60 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 95.65 | 92.80 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 94.59 | 90.00 | -3.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 93.08 | 89.15 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 92.02 | 90.50 | 1.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 91.21 | 89.20 | -1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 90.37 | 90.30 | 0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |