Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
406
Yanlış
372
Başarı Oranı
%52.19
SAFKR - Safkar Ege Soğutmacılık
Tahmin ID: #128450 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 20.3200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 21.2400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.20
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 21.2788 TL | %0.18 |
| 20.07.2026 | 21.2682 TL | %-0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 21.2402 TL | %-0.13 |
| 22.07.2026 | 21.1907 TL | %-0.23 |
| 23.07.2026 | 21.1985 TL | %0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %40.74 | %3.27 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %32.82 | %5.89 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %30.30 | %5.57 | 132 |
| 2 Gün | %20.15 | %4.42 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %35.82 | %5.10 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 27.00 | 24.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 27.00 | 24.00 | -11.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 27.00 | 22.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 27.00 | 22.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 26.60 | 23.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 26.20 | 23.00 | 4.55 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 22.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 22.00 | -4.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 24.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 24.40 | 23.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 23.00 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 24.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 25.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 25.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 29.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 25.20 | 29.00 | 11.54 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 28.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 29.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 29.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 30.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 30.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.60 | 29.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 29.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 30.00 | 29.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 30.00 | 29.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 29.60 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 28.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 28.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 28.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 27.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 29.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 29.00 | 7.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 28.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 27.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 29.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 29.00 | 7.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 29.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 27.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 27.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 26.99 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 26.39 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 25.78 | 24.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 25.17 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 23.34 | 17.89 | -25.46 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 23.31 | 25.90 | 44.77 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 23.58 | 26.72 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 24.10 | 26.72 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 24.61 | 27.14 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 26.36 | 27.14 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 26.58 | 27.14 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 26.52 | 25.90 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 26.39 | 25.50 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 26.22 | 25.50 | -1.01 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 25.98 | 25.76 | 1.02 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 25.68 | 25.54 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 25.56 | 25.56 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 25.50 | 26.04 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 25.55 | 25.64 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 25.68 | 28.06 | 9.44 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 26.21 | 29.24 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 26.71 | 29.24 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 27.22 | 29.24 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 27.62 | 29.24 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 28.02 | 29.24 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 28.03 | 29.24 | 4.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 28.26 | 29.40 | 0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 28.52 | 27.24 | -7.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 28.36 | 28.18 | 3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 27.82 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 28.35 | 27.42 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 27.99 | 25.32 | -7.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 27.19 | 25.90 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 26.92 | 25.96 | 0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 26.48 | 26.60 | 2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 26.23 | 27.02 | 1.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 26.06 | 27.02 | 1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 26.66 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 26.55 | 26.28 | -1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.64 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 26.61 | 26.30 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 26.56 | 26.32 | 0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 26.42 | 26.32 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 26.37 | 25.88 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 26.30 | 25.16 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 25.60 | 1.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 25.77 | 25.60 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 25.63 | 26.34 | 2.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 25.63 | 26.00 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 25.65 | 25.56 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 25.73 | 24.32 | -4.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 25.56 | 23.38 | -3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 25.30 | 23.38 | -3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 24.90 | 24.34 | 4.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.56 | 24.92 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.31 | 24.92 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 24.32 | 24.92 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 24.44 | 25.74 | 3.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 24.71 | 25.92 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 25.03 | 26.04 | 0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 25.37 | 24.80 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 25.48 | 24.60 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 25.41 | 24.20 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 25.12 | 23.82 | -1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 24.70 | 22.94 | -3.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 24.25 | 22.94 | -3.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 24.03 | 22.94 | -3.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 23.68 | 21.36 | -6.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 23.12 | 23.16 | 8.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 22.87 | 23.00 | -0.69 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 22.67 | 22.30 | -2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 22.55 | 23.20 | 4.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 22.79 | 23.10 | 2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 22.77 | 23.66 | 2.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 22.87 | 23.74 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 23.06 | 24.26 | 2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 23.46 | 25.24 | 4.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 23.99 | 25.30 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 24.43 | 25.40 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 24.78 | 24.42 | -3.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 24.93 | 24.48 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 24.87 | 24.50 | 2.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 24.73 | 24.82 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 24.63 | 25.10 | 1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 24.56 | 25.18 | 0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 24.71 | 24.68 | -1.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 24.95 | 23.86 | -3.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 25.08 | 23.86 | -3.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 24.89 | 22.66 | -5.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 24.65 | 22.66 | -5.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 24.15 | 22.70 | 0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 23.66 | 22.18 | -2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 23.07 | 22.06 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 22.71 | 21.56 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 22.25 | 20.54 | -4.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 21.82 | 19.75 | -4.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 21.38 | 19.75 | -4.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 20.90 | 21.72 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 20.82 | 22.22 | 2.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 20.85 | 21.52 | -3.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 21.05 | 21.04 | -2.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 21.15 | 20.00 | -4.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 21.30 | 21.24 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |