Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
439
Yanlış
339
Başarı Oranı
%56.43
QNBFK - QNB Finans Fin. Kir.
Tahmin ID: #128436 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 51.9000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 52.5000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.63
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 52.6743 TL | %0.33 |
| 20.07.2026 | 52.7715 TL | %0.18 |
| 21.07.2026 | 52.7472 TL | %-0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 52.7664 TL | %0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 52.8303 TL | %0.12 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %38.17 | %24.32 | 131 |
| 2 Gün | %41.04 | %21.98 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %37.31 | %23.90 | 134 |
| 4 Gün | %40.15 | %24.00 | 132 |
| 1 Gün | %42.96 | %20.02 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 61.00 | 58.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 61.00 | 58.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 59.67 | 56.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 59.00 | 56.00 | -3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 58.20 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 57.00 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 56.20 | 55.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 56.20 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 55.80 | 54.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 55.80 | 54.00 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 52.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 52.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 57.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 53.80 | 57.00 | 9.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 60.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 60.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 56.40 | 57.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 57.80 | 57.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 58.20 | 54.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 57.60 | 54.00 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 56.80 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 53.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 53.00 | -1.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 53.80 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 53.40 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 53.20 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 58.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 58.00 | 9.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 56.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 56.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 56.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 57.00 | 56.00 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 57.20 | 54.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 56.40 | 54.00 | -3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 55.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 54.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 54.00 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 56.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 56.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 55.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 55.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 55.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 53.00 | -1.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 53.80 | 56.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 56.00 | 5.66 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 56.00 | 5.66 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 54.61 | 53.00 | -3.64 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 54.21 | 51.00 | -3.77 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 43.44 | 2.17 | -95.75 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 42.64 | 51.90 | 2291.71 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 41.88 | 50.20 | -1.76 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 41.33 | 50.20 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 41.17 | 51.80 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 50.79 | 51.80 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 50.77 | 51.80 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 50.88 | 50.65 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 50.88 | 50.00 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 50.97 | 55.95 | 9.71 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 52.01 | 55.00 | -1.70 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 52.78 | 53.15 | -3.36 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 52.95 | 52.55 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 53.35 | 52.55 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 53.69 | 52.40 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 53.03 | 51.50 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 52.12 | 51.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 51.84 | 51.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 51.63 | 51.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 51.40 | 51.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 51.21 | 51.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 51.25 | 51.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 51.24 | 51.00 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 51.22 | 43.24 | -15.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 49.68 | 42.00 | -2.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 47.90 | 42.70 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 46.21 | 46.96 | 9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 45.37 | 50.10 | 6.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 45.16 | 45.10 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 45.57 | 43.60 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 45.90 | 45.96 | 5.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 46.55 | 45.40 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 46.36 | 45.40 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 45.44 | 46.00 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 45.54 | 43.50 | -5.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 45.43 | 43.82 | 0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 44.99 | 43.70 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 44.57 | 42.48 | -2.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 44.24 | 42.48 | -2.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 43.53 | 42.88 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 43.44 | 41.76 | -2.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 43.06 | 41.50 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 42.64 | 41.50 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 42.22 | 40.82 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 41.91 | 40.72 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 41.46 | 40.48 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 41.16 | 40.48 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 40.91 | 39.20 | -3.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 40.69 | 39.20 | -3.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 40.61 | 38.90 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 40.54 | 39.50 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 40.21 | 39.50 | 1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 40.19 | 39.50 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 39.95 | 39.90 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 39.79 | 40.04 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 39.72 | 40.02 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 39.96 | 39.60 | -1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 39.78 | 38.80 | 0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 39.66 | 39.30 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 39.55 | 39.00 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 39.35 | 37.96 | -2.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 39.13 | 37.96 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 38.96 | 37.96 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 38.79 | 37.50 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 38.42 | 39.20 | 4.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 38.46 | 39.98 | 1.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 38.50 | 39.98 | 1.99 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 38.74 | 39.50 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 39.03 | 39.48 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 39.28 | 38.40 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 39.13 | 38.40 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 38.98 | 37.16 | -3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 38.43 | 37.08 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 37.96 | 37.06 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 37.64 | 37.06 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 37.37 | 37.10 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 37.09 | 37.84 | 1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 37.22 | 37.20 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 37.30 | 38.40 | 2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 37.57 | 37.78 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 37.71 | 37.14 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 37.73 | 37.10 | -0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 37.59 | 36.42 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 37.50 | 36.42 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 37.24 | 36.42 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 36.98 | 36.50 | 0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 36.83 | 36.50 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 36.71 | 35.90 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 36.47 | 39.48 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 36.94 | 43.42 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 38.33 | 47.68 | 9.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 40.57 | 44.20 | -7.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 42.09 | 48.62 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 43.73 | 48.62 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 45.55 | 53.45 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 46.58 | 58.00 | 8.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 48.66 | 52.20 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 50.27 | 47.00 | -9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 50.84 | 48.32 | 2.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 51.79 | 52.50 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |