Toplam Tahmin
774
Doğru
459
Yanlış
315
Başarı Oranı
%59.30
PNLSN - Panelsan Çatı Cephe
Tahmin ID: #128426 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 47.4400 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 46.9000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-1.37
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 46.9356 TL | %0.08 |
| 17.07.2026 | 46.6858 TL | %-0.53 |
| 20.07.2026 | 46.5975 TL | %-0.19 |
| 21.07.2026 | 46.4849 TL | %-0.24 |
| 22.07.2026 | 46.2617 TL | %-0.48 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %45.52 | %6.36 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %44.78 | %5.56 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %31.30 | %7.03 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %27.27 | %7.52 | 132 |
| 3 Gün | %36.84 | %7.88 | 133 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 38.00 | 37.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 38.00 | 37.00 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 38.00 | 36.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 38.00 | 36.00 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 38.20 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 38.40 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 38.20 | 37.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 37.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 37.00 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 37.40 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 37.40 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 37.40 | 37.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 37.20 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 36.80 | 37.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 37.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 37.00 | 41.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 41.00 | 5.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 38.60 | 40.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 39.40 | 40.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 40.00 | 41.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 40.20 | 41.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 42.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 42.00 | 2.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 41.00 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 41.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 41.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 41.80 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 41.40 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 41.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 41.00 | 40.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 41.00 | 40.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 41.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 41.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 41.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 40.20 | 41.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 40.20 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 40.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 44.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 44.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 42.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 41.80 | 42.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 41.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 42.40 | 41.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 42.60 | 43.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 43.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 41.40 | 43.00 | 4.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 43.00 | 4.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 41.40 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 41.80 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 42.20 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 42.60 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 42.80 | 43.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 42.60 | 43.00 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 43.00 | 49.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 49.00 | 8.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 54.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 46.00 | 54.00 | 10.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 48.40 | 54.00 | 10.20 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 49.25 | 49.00 | -9.26 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 50.94 | 53.00 | 8.16 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 51.05 | 49.00 | -7.55 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 51.36 | 50.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 44.39 | 46.56 | 118.59 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 43.25 | 47.02 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 42.83 | 47.02 | -0.89 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 42.20 | 49.18 | 4.59 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 47.39 | 49.18 | 4.59 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 47.94 | 49.18 | 4.59 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 48.58 | 49.78 | -2.39 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 48.98 | 49.10 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 49.99 | 50.65 | -3.80 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 50.60 | 50.50 | -0.30 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 50.78 | 50.45 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 50.64 | 48.60 | -3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 50.47 | 48.40 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 49.68 | 47.70 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 49.19 | 46.00 | -3.56 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 48.29 | 46.08 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 47.45 | 46.08 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 46.95 | 46.08 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 46.46 | 46.08 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 46.06 | 46.08 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 46.07 | 46.08 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 46.12 | 47.14 | 2.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 46.35 | 47.88 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 46.71 | 46.62 | -2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 46.82 | 45.50 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 46.73 | 45.08 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 46.50 | 43.14 | -4.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 45.69 | 23.88 | -44.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 40.93 | 43.98 | 84.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 40.50 | 45.32 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 40.46 | 44.10 | -2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 40.56 | 44.10 | -2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 40.75 | 44.40 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 44.80 | 24.62 | -44.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 40.81 | 45.54 | 84.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 40.95 | 46.68 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 41.19 | 47.00 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 41.70 | 47.00 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 42.19 | 47.02 | 0.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 46.61 | 46.80 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 46.52 | 46.70 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 46.29 | 46.70 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 46.06 | 47.78 | 2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 46.10 | 44.60 | -6.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 45.55 | 44.40 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 45.09 | 45.12 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 44.83 | 45.36 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 44.64 | 45.36 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 44.19 | 45.20 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 44.47 | 46.08 | 1.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 44.68 | 46.08 | 1.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 44.72 | 46.08 | 1.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 45.01 | 48.80 | 5.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 45.87 | 48.28 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 46.47 | 49.60 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 47.49 | 48.58 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 48.27 | 47.84 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 48.62 | 47.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 48.23 | 46.14 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 47.84 | 45.32 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 47.18 | 45.32 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 46.71 | 45.32 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 46.20 | 42.72 | -5.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 45.33 | 45.00 | 5.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 45.08 | 47.34 | 5.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 44.81 | 47.34 | 5.20 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 45.09 | 49.62 | 4.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 45.96 | 50.00 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 47.34 | 49.80 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 48.29 | 48.90 | -1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 49.06 | 48.04 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 49.14 | 47.26 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 48.67 | 46.28 | -2.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 48.02 | 45.58 | -1.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 47.20 | 45.76 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 46.60 | 46.84 | 2.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 46.38 | 45.68 | -2.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 45.98 | 45.82 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 45.87 | 45.90 | 0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 45.93 | 44.36 | -3.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 45.64 | 44.50 | 0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 45.16 | 44.36 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 45.01 | 43.46 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 44.75 | 43.46 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 44.26 | 42.84 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 44.08 | 42.84 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 43.75 | 43.20 | 0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 43.49 | 42.56 | -1.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 43.11 | 42.44 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 42.90 | 42.82 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 42.77 | 43.36 | 1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 42.87 | 42.16 | 79.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 42.90 | 42.16 | 79.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 42.83 | 42.30 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 42.81 | 40.46 | -4.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 42.70 | 44.14 | 9.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 42.12 | 48.54 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 43.18 | 45.50 | -6.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |