Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
413
Yanlış
365
Başarı Oranı
%53.08
PGSUS - Pegasus Hava Taşımacılığı
Tahmin ID: #128421 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 166.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 167.7000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 167.7325 TL | %0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 167.7195 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 167.7414 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 167.7304 TL | %-0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 167.7540 TL | %0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %38.64 | %9.49 | 132 |
| 5 Gün | %36.64 | %10.03 | 131 |
| 2 Gün | %44.03 | %8.67 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %35.56 | %36.06 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %36.57 | %9.03 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 216.00 | 195.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 216.00 | 195.00 | -4.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 215.33 | 192.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 215.00 | 192.00 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 212.80 | 191.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 210.40 | 191.00 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 207.40 | 195.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 204.80 | 195.00 | 2.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 203.60 | 205.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 204.40 | 205.00 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 205.00 | 206.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 206.20 | 206.00 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 207.60 | 204.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 207.60 | 204.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 207.20 | 204.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 207.00 | 204.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 206.60 | 201.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 206.00 | 201.00 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 204.60 | 203.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 203.60 | 203.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 202.20 | 200.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 201.00 | 200.00 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 200.00 | 202.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 199.80 | 202.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 200.00 | 203.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 200.60 | 203.00 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 201.40 | 201.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 202.00 | 201.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 202.20 | 197.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 202.00 | 197.00 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 201.00 | 198.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 199.80 | 198.00 | 0.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 199.00 | 201.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 198.60 | 201.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 198.20 | 201.00 | 1.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 198.60 | 201.00 | 1.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 199.40 | 203.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 199.80 | 203.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 200.60 | 202.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 201.40 | 202.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 202.20 | 202.00 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 202.60 | 202.00 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 202.80 | 209.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 202.60 | 209.00 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 203.80 | 207.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 205.00 | 207.00 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 205.80 | 205.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 206.80 | 205.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 207.40 | 207.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 206.60 | 207.00 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 206.20 | 209.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 206.20 | 209.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 206.20 | 209.00 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 206.60 | 209.00 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 209.00 | 218.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 211.00 | 218.00 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 213.20 | 224.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 215.40 | 224.00 | 2.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 214.40 | 204.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 211.40 | 204.00 | 0.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 208.60 | 199.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 205.60 | 199.00 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 201.80 | 198.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 201.20 | 198.00 | -0.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 200.38 | 198.00 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 200.16 | 202.00 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 198.75 | 196.00 | -2.97 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 195.94 | 185.00 | -5.61 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 192.35 | 181.00 | -2.16 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 189.13 | 181.80 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 184.89 | 180.70 | -0.61 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 181.15 | 173.60 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 178.86 | 173.60 | -2.03 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 177.37 | 179.40 | 3.34 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 175.72 | 179.40 | 3.34 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 174.30 | 179.40 | 3.34 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 174.66 | 177.30 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 175.44 | 176.90 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 176.69 | 178.50 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 177.98 | 177.50 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 179.02 | 181.50 | 2.25 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 179.48 | 179.00 | -1.38 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 179.79 | 180.00 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 179.85 | 177.60 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 179.36 | 177.00 | -0.34 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 145.64 | 175.50 | 756.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 145.70 | 179.40 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 146.25 | 178.90 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 146.57 | 176.60 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 146.47 | 178.40 | 1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 175.82 | 175.00 | -1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 175.31 | 186.00 | 6.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 176.61 | 185.30 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 177.69 | 188.40 | 1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 179.71 | 183.70 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 183.53 | 183.70 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 184.70 | 187.10 | 1.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 184.55 | 188.30 | 0.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 185.22 | 186.00 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 185.03 | 196.90 | 5.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 187.30 | 193.50 | -1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 190.41 | 193.50 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 192.05 | 190.20 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 192.71 | 190.20 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 193.63 | 189.10 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 192.16 | 189.10 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 190.83 | 186.00 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 189.39 | 180.50 | -2.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 187.53 | 179.10 | -0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 185.56 | 180.60 | 0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 183.72 | 178.90 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 182.00 | 178.90 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 181.32 | 178.70 | -0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 180.84 | 184.30 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 180.96 | 184.30 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 181.12 | 184.30 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 181.97 | 187.50 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 182.85 | 186.70 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 184.43 | 185.00 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 185.24 | 179.90 | -2.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 184.36 | 178.40 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 183.12 | 176.60 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 180.83 | 171.60 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 177.90 | 173.40 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 175.20 | 173.40 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 174.12 | 173.40 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 172.94 | 162.90 | -6.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 170.30 | 168.10 | 3.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 169.54 | 172.70 | 2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 168.83 | 172.70 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 168.45 | 168.40 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 167.53 | 172.20 | 2.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 168.97 | 171.20 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 169.53 | 168.60 | -1.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 169.64 | 170.00 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 169.57 | 168.90 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 169.67 | 166.80 | -1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 169.02 | 165.50 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 167.93 | 172.00 | 3.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 168.62 | 181.20 | 5.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 170.88 | 184.00 | 1.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 173.08 | 184.70 | 2.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 176.60 | 183.70 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 180.16 | 182.50 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 182.52 | 178.10 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 181.94 | 177.00 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 181.58 | 180.70 | 2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 180.33 | 180.70 | 2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 179.75 | 180.10 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 179.13 | 180.10 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 179.53 | 177.10 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 179.95 | 175.10 | -1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 179.38 | 176.60 | 0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 178.59 | 177.00 | 0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 177.86 | 174.10 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 176.66 | 174.80 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 175.42 | 174.80 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 175.29 | 174.10 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 174.92 | 166.00 | -4.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 172.74 | 167.30 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 171.38 | 170.20 | 1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 170.64 | 165.40 | -2.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 168.92 | 167.70 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |