Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
408
Yanlış
370
Başarı Oranı
%52.44
PAMEL - Pamel Yenilenebilir Elekt.
Tahmin ID: #128410 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 82.1000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 83.0500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.24
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 83.1642 TL | %0.14 |
| 20.07.2026 | 83.2574 TL | %0.11 |
| 21.07.2026 | 83.2984 TL | %0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 83.2692 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 83.2515 TL | %-0.02 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %43.70 | %2.35 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %33.58 | %3.66 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %27.61 | %3.08 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %34.85 | %4.46 | 132 |
| 4 Gün | %32.33 | %4.16 | 133 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 83.00 | 82.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 83.00 | 82.00 | -4.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 84.00 | 84.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 84.50 | 84.00 | 2.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 85.40 | 82.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 86.60 | 82.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 88.00 | 82.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 88.80 | 82.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 88.60 | 82.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 87.80 | 82.00 | -3.53 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 86.40 | 81.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 84.80 | 81.00 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 83.00 | 82.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 82.20 | 82.00 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 81.60 | 82.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 81.60 | 82.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 81.60 | 83.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 81.80 | 83.00 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 82.60 | 87.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 83.20 | 87.00 | 2.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 84.20 | 87.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 85.20 | 87.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 86.20 | 87.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 86.60 | 87.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 87.00 | 91.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 87.00 | 91.00 | 4.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 87.80 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 88.60 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 92.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 90.20 | 92.00 | 1.10 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 91.20 | 90.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 91.40 | 90.00 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 91.20 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 91.00 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 90.80 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 90.40 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 89.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 89.00 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 89.80 | 90.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 89.60 | 90.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 90.00 | 1.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 89.20 | 90.00 | 1.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 89.20 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 89.60 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 89.80 | 90.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 87.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 90.00 | 87.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 88.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 88.80 | 88.00 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 88.20 | 91.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 87.80 | 91.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 87.20 | 91.00 | 3.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 87.40 | 91.00 | 3.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 88.20 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 89.00 | 91.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 89.60 | 92.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 90.40 | 92.00 | 1.10 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 90.20 | 86.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 89.40 | 86.00 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 88.20 | 84.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 87.00 | 84.00 | -1.18 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 85.60 | 83.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 85.00 | 83.00 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 84.19 | 83.00 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 83.59 | 82.00 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 83.00 | 82.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 81.80 | 78.00 | -4.88 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 80.61 | 78.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 79.76 | 78.65 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 79.41 | 80.20 | 1.97 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 78.71 | 78.65 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 78.85 | 78.65 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 78.97 | 80.85 | 2.80 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 78.97 | 80.85 | 2.80 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 79.11 | 80.85 | 2.80 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 79.97 | 82.10 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 80.63 | 81.05 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 81.53 | 81.75 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 82.14 | 82.10 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 82.32 | 83.00 | 1.10 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 82.36 | 81.25 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 82.22 | 79.70 | -1.91 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 81.54 | 78.80 | -1.13 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 80.97 | 78.60 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 80.33 | 80.05 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 79.44 | 80.05 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 78.90 | 80.05 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 78.67 | 80.05 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 78.62 | 80.05 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 78.63 | 80.05 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 78.93 | 80.40 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 79.29 | 81.00 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 79.76 | 81.05 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 80.22 | 81.10 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 80.70 | 86.10 | 6.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 81.90 | 82.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 82.26 | 83.35 | 1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 82.75 | 82.95 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 83.17 | 84.25 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 83.81 | 82.35 | -2.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 83.45 | 82.35 | -2.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 83.49 | 85.20 | 3.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 83.83 | 85.90 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 84.41 | 84.15 | -2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 84.40 | 86.50 | 2.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 84.83 | 88.25 | 2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 85.66 | 88.25 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 86.27 | 86.60 | -1.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 86.40 | 90.95 | 5.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 87.74 | 97.30 | 6.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 88.62 | 97.30 | 6.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 90.74 | 92.70 | -4.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 91.64 | 91.25 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 92.56 | 88.90 | -2.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 92.16 | 89.10 | 0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 91.81 | 93.00 | 4.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 90.19 | 93.00 | 4.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 89.47 | 90.00 | -3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 89.05 | 89.55 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 89.28 | 89.55 | -0.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 89.28 | 89.55 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 89.34 | 91.00 | 1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 89.65 | 92.00 | 1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 90.22 | 93.65 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 90.91 | 89.70 | -4.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 90.52 | 87.15 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 90.03 | 85.00 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 88.91 | 83.25 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 87.20 | 81.50 | -2.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 85.17 | 81.50 | -2.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 84.42 | 81.50 | -2.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 83.29 | 78.75 | -3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 82.01 | 80.25 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 81.35 | 83.40 | 3.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 80.71 | 83.40 | 3.93 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 80.56 | 91.00 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 82.43 | 91.80 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 84.51 | 88.60 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 86.22 | 87.00 | -1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 87.59 | 85.95 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 88.26 | 82.95 | -3.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 86.74 | 82.15 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 85.39 | 80.65 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 83.81 | 81.80 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 82.79 | 89.95 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 83.59 | 86.00 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 83.89 | 83.85 | -0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 84.20 | 84.00 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 84.85 | 92.40 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 86.94 | 101.60 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 89.19 | 94.00 | -7.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 92.58 | 91.45 | -2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 96.07 | 91.45 | -2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 97.51 | 88.15 | -3.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 97.29 | 88.15 | -3.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 94.63 | 85.10 | -3.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 91.34 | 89.70 | 5.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 89.02 | 86.50 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 88.08 | 86.00 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 87.02 | 87.40 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 86.91 | 85.95 | -1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 87.42 | 85.95 | -1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 86.68 | 86.10 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 86.62 | 84.10 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 86.66 | 82.60 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 86.00 | 83.00 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 85.04 | 82.20 | -0.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 84.38 | 83.05 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |