Toplam Tahmin

778

Doğru

458

Yanlış

320

Başarı Oranı

%58.87

PAGYO - Panora GYO

Tahmin ID: #128408 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 157.7000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 159.6000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.19
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 159.7410 TL %0.09
20.07.2026 159.8404 TL %0.06
21.07.2026 160.0116 TL %0.11
22.07.2026 159.9841 TL %-0.02
23.07.2026 159.9108 TL %-0.05
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
1 Gün %40.00 %5.82 135
3 Gün %33.58 %6.44 134
5 Gün %34.35 %7.38 131
4 Gün %27.27 %7.10 132
2 Gün %34.33 %6.65 134
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 78.00 80.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 78.00 80.00 2.56 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 77.67 79.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 77.50 79.00 -1.25 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 77.60 82.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 77.60 82.00 3.80 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 78.00 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 78.60 81.00 -1.22 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 80.40 85.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 82.00 85.00 1.19 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 83.60 85.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 84.80 85.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 86.20 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 86.40 86.00 1.18 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 86.60 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 86.80 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 87.00 86.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 87.00 86.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 86.80 89.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 86.60 89.00 3.49 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 86.80 88.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 87.00 88.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 87.20 87.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 87.60 87.00 -1.14 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 87.80 88.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 87.60 88.00 1.15 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 87.60 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 87.60 89.00 1.14 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 87.80 88.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 88.20 88.00 -1.12 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 88.40 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 88.40 89.00 1.14 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 88.60 88.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 88.60 88.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 88.60 88.00 -1.12 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 88.80 88.00 -1.12 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 88.80 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 88.60 89.00 1.14 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 88.60 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 88.60 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 88.60 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 88.80 89.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 89.00 90.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 89.00 90.00 1.12 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 89.20 89.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 89.40 89.00 -1.11 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 89.40 88.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 89.40 88.00 -1.12 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 89.20 89.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 88.80 89.00 1.14 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 88.60 93.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 88.60 93.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 88.60 93.00 4.49 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 88.80 93.00 4.49 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 89.60 96.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 90.20 96.00 4.35 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 91.60 97.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 93.00 97.00 1.04 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 94.20 94.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 94.80 94.00 -1.05 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 95.40 94.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 95.20 94.00 -1.05 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 94.80 94.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 94.60 94.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 94.40 94.00 0.00 ❌ 0.74
26.02.2026 1 94.40 95.00 1.06 ✅ 0.74
27.02.2026 1 93.80 92.00 -3.16 ✅ 0.74
02.03.2026 1 93.01 90.00 -2.17 ✅ 0.74
03.03.2026 1 91.63 87.00 -3.33 ✅ 0.74
04.03.2026 1 90.84 89.95 3.39 ✅ 0.74
05.03.2026 1 90.06 91.00 1.17 ✅ 0.74
09.03.2026 1 89.71 88.40 -1.94 ❌ 0.74
09.03.2026 1 89.39 88.40 -1.94 ✅ 0.74
10.03.2026 1 89.67 92.75 4.92 ✅ 0.74
10.03.2026 1 89.36 92.75 4.92 ✅ 0.74
10.03.2026 1 89.70 92.75 4.92 ✅ 0.74
13.03.2026 1 91.28 104.20 6.49 ✅ 0.67
16.03.2026 1 94.40 100.40 -3.65 ✅ 0.66
18.03.2026 1 97.32 102.10 -0.68 ❌ 0.68
19.03.2026 1 100.00 108.00 5.78 ❌ 0.66
23.03.2026 1 101.86 118.80 10.00 ❌ 0.66
24.03.2026 1 106.00 117.00 -1.52 ❌ 0.68
25.03.2026 1 108.57 111.80 -4.44 ✅ 0.65
26.03.2026 1 110.23 122.90 9.93 ❌ 0.65
27.03.2026 1 114.41 119.80 -2.52 ✅ 0.66
28.03.2026 1 117.93 113.50 -5.26 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 118.10 113.50 -5.26 ✅ 0.66
28.03.2026 1 118.65 113.50 -5.26 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 120.33 113.50 -5.26 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 119.73 113.50 -5.26 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 119.72 113.50 -5.26 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 118.51 119.50 5.29 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 118.45 127.10 6.36 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 119.90 119.00 -6.37 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 119.85 118.10 -0.76 ❌ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 119.54 129.90 9.99 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 122.70 126.30 -2.77 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 124.09 128.00 1.35 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 124.31 124.20 -2.97 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 125.18 127.50 2.66 ❌ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 127.01 123.50 -3.14 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 126.61 123.50 -3.14 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 126.15 126.40 2.35 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 125.86 126.00 -0.32 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 126.34 127.30 1.03 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 126.32 129.70 1.89 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 126.77 48.42 -62.67 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 127.90 48.42 -62.67 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 112.26 57.00 17.72 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 98.39 126.70 122.28 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 98.32 127.50 0.63 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 97.77 127.50 0.63 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 97.37 130.60 2.43 ✅ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 113.82 130.50 -0.08 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 127.79 128.50 -1.53 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 127.72 130.10 1.25 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 127.97 122.30 -6.00 ✅ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 128.13 122.30 -6.00 ✅ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 127.43 128.40 4.99 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 127.77 141.20 9.97 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 128.10 141.20 9.97 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 127.57 141.20 9.97 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 130.21 144.00 1.98 ✅ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 133.62 139.30 -3.26 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 135.78 125.00 -10.27 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 135.10 122.60 -1.92 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 135.07 125.10 0.08 ✅ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 131.77 133.90 7.03 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 129.64 128.30 -4.18 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 127.43 126.00 -1.79 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 128.06 126.00 -1.79 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 128.68 126.00 -1.79 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 128.77 124.00 -1.59 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 126.98 125.30 1.05 ✅ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 126.41 127.10 1.44 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 125.87 127.10 1.44 ❌ 0.59
01.06.2026 1 125.70 129.80 1.17 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 126.49 132.10 1.77 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 126.79 127.10 0.95 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 127.17 128.50 1.10 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 127.84 131.70 2.49 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 128.67 140.80 6.91 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 130.91 129.40 -8.10 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 131.55 134.20 3.71 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 132.94 132.30 -1.42 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 133.69 138.70 4.84 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 135.09 142.00 2.38 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 134.65 139.50 0.72 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 136.69 150.20 7.67 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 139.88 145.00 -3.46 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 142.48 140.10 -3.38 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 142.80 139.90 -0.14 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 143.16 137.10 -2.00 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 143.32 137.10 -2.00 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 140.73 144.20 5.18 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 139.08 144.20 5.18 ✅ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 139.94 143.40 -0.55 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 140.53 150.70 5.09 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 142.55 147.00 -2.46 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 144.50 147.10 0.07 ❌ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 146.46 160.70 9.25 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 149.66 156.90 -2.36 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 153.11 156.90 -2.36 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 154.33 163.00 3.89 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 157.49 160.20 -1.72 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 160.69 163.30 1.94 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 161.19 167.00 2.27 ❌ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 162.60 163.00 -2.40 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 164.12 159.60 -2.50 ❌ 0.60