Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
353
Yanlış
425
Başarı Oranı
%45.37
ORMA - Orma Orman Mahsulleri
Tahmin ID: #128393 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 175.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 180.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.09
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 179.8327 TL | %-0.09 |
| 20.07.2026 | 179.8185 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 179.8929 TL | %0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 179.9069 TL | %0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 179.8331 TL | %-0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %28.36 | %8.27 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %25.93 | %12.38 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %24.62 | %8.55 | 130 |
| 4 Gün | %21.80 | %8.02 | 133 |
| 2 Gün | %29.10 | %6.08 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 167.00 | 159.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 167.00 | 159.00 | -1.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 168.00 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 168.50 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 168.00 | 168.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 167.80 | 168.00 | 5.66 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 168.40 | 169.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 168.40 | 169.00 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 168.60 | 170.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 169.60 | 170.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 170.60 | 169.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 170.80 | 169.00 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 170.80 | 166.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 170.60 | 166.00 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 169.80 | 166.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 169.00 | 166.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 168.40 | 163.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 168.00 | 163.00 | -1.81 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 167.40 | 168.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 167.40 | 168.00 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 167.40 | 164.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 164.00 | -1.80 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 166.20 | 164.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 165.40 | 164.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 164.80 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 164.20 | 163.00 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 163.40 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 163.40 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 163.40 | 162.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 163.20 | 162.00 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 162.80 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 162.60 | 163.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 162.40 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 162.20 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 162.00 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 162.00 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 162.20 | 161.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 162.40 | 161.00 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 162.00 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 161.60 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 161.20 | 159.00 | -1.24 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 159.00 | -1.24 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 159.80 | 163.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 159.60 | 163.00 | 2.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 161.40 | 161.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 162.20 | 161.00 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 162.60 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 162.20 | 160.00 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 161.60 | 167.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 167.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 160.40 | 167.00 | 4.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 167.00 | 4.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 168.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 162.00 | 168.00 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 163.60 | 182.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 165.20 | 182.00 | 8.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 166.20 | 168.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 166.20 | 168.00 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 167.40 | 165.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 168.00 | 165.00 | -2.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 160.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 167.00 | 160.00 | -3.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 166.00 | 160.00 | -3.03 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 163.43 | 158.00 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 162.25 | 165.00 | 4.43 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 160.69 | 156.00 | -5.45 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 159.73 | 159.00 | 1.92 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 160.56 | 163.90 | 3.08 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 161.66 | 163.30 | -0.37 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 161.22 | 162.60 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 162.55 | 162.60 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 163.28 | 162.70 | 0.06 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 163.02 | 162.70 | 0.06 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 162.88 | 162.70 | 0.06 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 163.00 | 161.90 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 162.85 | 160.00 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 162.27 | 160.00 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 161.71 | 159.50 | -0.31 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 161.11 | 160.00 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 160.42 | 158.30 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 159.73 | 156.90 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 159.10 | 157.00 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 158.49 | 154.80 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 134.95 | 149.90 | 172.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 134.10 | 152.60 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 133.64 | 148.30 | -2.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 132.20 | 151.40 | 2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 131.45 | 151.40 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 149.51 | 146.20 | -3.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 148.68 | 152.80 | 4.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 148.50 | 151.00 | -1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 148.94 | 155.00 | 2.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 149.40 | 156.00 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 151.15 | 156.00 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 152.81 | 158.00 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 153.68 | 162.30 | 2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 156.07 | 163.50 | 0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 157.98 | 164.20 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 132.10 | 158.10 | 92.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 131.67 | 160.00 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 130.92 | 160.00 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 130.47 | 162.20 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 146.17 | 158.00 | -2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 160.27 | 157.30 | -0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 159.20 | 160.80 | 2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 158.93 | 163.00 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 158.69 | 163.00 | 1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 158.34 | 166.00 | 1.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 159.03 | 172.00 | 3.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 161.12 | 172.00 | 3.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 161.28 | 172.00 | 3.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 163.64 | 180.40 | 4.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 167.78 | 183.90 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 172.44 | 184.70 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 176.18 | 180.80 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 182.20 | 209.90 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 189.87 | 210.00 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 195.87 | 210.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 201.20 | 194.60 | -7.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 206.22 | 194.60 | -7.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 210.01 | 194.60 | -7.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 206.90 | 195.10 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 203.86 | 212.00 | 8.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 222.71 | 217.00 | -4.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 223.60 | 207.70 | -4.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 222.89 | 202.00 | -2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 217.57 | 209.20 | 3.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 213.63 | 204.90 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 209.11 | 200.00 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 205.74 | 198.50 | -0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 203.85 | 215.90 | 8.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 206.50 | 214.60 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 205.72 | 208.00 | 0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 206.12 | 201.00 | -3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 206.17 | 198.20 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 206.07 | 196.50 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 202.16 | 193.90 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 200.32 | 190.00 | -2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 198.14 | 190.00 | -2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 195.98 | 188.50 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 194.29 | 188.50 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 192.68 | 185.00 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 190.34 | 179.60 | -2.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 186.92 | 175.80 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 184.08 | 185.00 | 5.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 183.02 | 180.50 | -2.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 181.38 | 177.00 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 180.42 | 177.00 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 179.82 | 180.00 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 180.60 | 174.30 | -3.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 179.59 | 177.00 | 1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 178.88 | 177.20 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 178.21 | 176.00 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 177.51 | 180.00 | 3.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |