Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
496
Yanlış
282
Başarı Oranı
%63.75
ORGE - ORGE Enerji Elektrik
Tahmin ID: #128392 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 106.3000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 110.1000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.07
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 109.9454 TL | %-0.14 |
| 20.07.2026 | 109.9366 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 109.9133 TL | %-0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 109.9373 TL | %0.02 |
| 23.07.2026 | 110.0192 TL | %0.07 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %38.81 | %25.43 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %44.03 | %24.97 | 134 |
| 5 Gün | %41.86 | %25.54 | 129 |
| 4 Gün | %38.06 | %4.80 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %39.26 | %25.56 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 69.00 | 66.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 69.00 | 66.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 69.00 | 66.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 69.00 | 66.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 68.60 | 68.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 68.20 | 68.00 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 67.40 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 67.00 | 66.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 67.00 | 66.00 | -1.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 66.80 | 65.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 66.60 | 65.00 | -1.52 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 66.40 | 67.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 66.20 | 67.00 | 3.08 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 66.20 | 67.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 66.40 | 67.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 66.60 | 68.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 66.80 | 68.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 71.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 68.20 | 71.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 68.80 | 69.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 69.00 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 70.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 71.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 71.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 72.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 72.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.60 | 72.00 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.80 | 72.00 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 71.20 | 71.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 71.00 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 70.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 70.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 70.00 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 71.20 | 70.00 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 70.80 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 70.60 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 71.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 71.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 70.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 70.00 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 69.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 69.00 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 72.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 72.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 72.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 72.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 71.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 71.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 73.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 70.60 | 73.00 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 70.60 | 70.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 70.00 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 69.41 | 67.00 | -4.29 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 68.82 | 67.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 68.15 | 66.50 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 67.77 | 67.95 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 67.17 | 66.45 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 67.09 | 66.45 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 66.99 | 69.00 | 3.84 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 66.99 | 69.00 | 3.84 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 67.19 | 69.00 | 3.84 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 67.47 | 67.35 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 67.62 | 67.55 | 0.30 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 67.85 | 67.45 | -0.52 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 68.03 | 67.50 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 67.70 | 67.40 | -0.15 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 67.50 | 66.25 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 67.30 | 66.40 | 0.23 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 67.03 | 70.55 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 67.64 | 70.55 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 68.26 | 55.05 | -21.97 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 68.89 | 55.05 | -21.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 69.73 | 55.05 | -21.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 70.56 | 55.05 | -21.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 70.56 | 55.05 | -21.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 70.55 | 55.05 | -21.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 67.45 | 71.75 | 30.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 67.69 | 71.95 | 0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 67.95 | 72.60 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 68.36 | 73.50 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 68.94 | 76.80 | 4.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 73.23 | 74.30 | -3.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 73.70 | 76.75 | 3.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 74.64 | 78.05 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 75.69 | 77.85 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 76.48 | 76.05 | -2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 76.65 | 76.05 | -2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 77.04 | 76.15 | 0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 76.92 | 75.90 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 76.54 | 76.10 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 76.32 | 80.00 | 5.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 76.10 | 79.80 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 76.14 | 79.80 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 76.89 | 82.15 | 2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 78.12 | 84.00 | 2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 79.63 | 84.70 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 81.16 | 84.70 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 82.83 | 82.80 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 83.43 | 82.05 | -0.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 83.43 | 83.20 | 1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 83.31 | 85.50 | 2.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 83.65 | 82.35 | -3.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 83.85 | 82.35 | -3.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 84.41 | 81.70 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 84.38 | 83.60 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 84.84 | 83.60 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 84.83 | 83.60 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 84.44 | 84.20 | 0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 84.13 | 86.50 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 85.07 | 86.55 | 0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 85.22 | 95.20 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 87.18 | 97.30 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 89.84 | 99.50 | 2.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 93.00 | 93.15 | -6.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 94.26 | 102.40 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 95.68 | 102.40 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 95.24 | 102.40 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 96.44 | 97.05 | -5.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 95.93 | 106.70 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 98.74 | 103.80 | -2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 101.30 | 103.80 | -2.72 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 103.04 | 108.40 | 6.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 104.21 | 114.20 | 5.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 106.23 | 107.70 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 106.43 | 111.00 | 3.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 107.39 | 108.10 | -2.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 108.71 | 110.10 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 109.03 | 107.50 | -2.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 109.07 | 105.10 | -2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 108.55 | 111.90 | 6.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 108.73 | 115.90 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 110.20 | 127.40 | 9.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 112.82 | 122.80 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 115.81 | 122.80 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 119.28 | 4.16 | -96.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 97.73 | 123.10 | 2859.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 99.32 | 129.50 | 5.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 99.31 | 121.40 | -6.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 99.48 | 121.40 | -6.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 99.23 | 122.40 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 122.59 | 122.40 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 122.17 | 115.00 | -6.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 118.18 | 111.20 | -3.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 115.46 | 107.80 | -3.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 111.40 | 108.20 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 108.55 | 113.90 | 5.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 107.14 | 108.80 | -4.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 109.01 | 108.80 | -4.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 108.77 | 109.00 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 110.37 | 103.70 | -4.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 109.76 | 105.00 | 1.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 107.83 | 108.50 | 3.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 106.96 | 105.90 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 106.98 | 110.10 | 1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |