Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
389
Yanlış
389
Başarı Oranı
%50.0
ONCSM - Oncosem
Tahmin ID: #128389 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 291.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 287.2500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 287.2801 TL | %0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 287.2087 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 287.1869 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 287.2604 TL | %0.03 |
| 23.07.2026 | 287.3631 TL | %0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %33.33 | %23.39 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %25.58 | %9.81 | 129 |
| 4 Gün | %38.06 | %8.54 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %29.85 | %9.59 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %38.81 | %10.52 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 265.60 | 272.00 | 294.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 266.20 | 272.00 | 294.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 269.20 | 270.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 272.20 | 270.00 | -1.10 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 274.80 | 268.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 276.80 | 268.00 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 278.40 | 263.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 277.60 | 263.00 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 275.60 | 268.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 274.00 | 268.00 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 273.60 | 263.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 273.60 | 263.00 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 280.40 | 342.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 288.40 | 342.00 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 302.60 | 325.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 315.60 | 325.00 | -4.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 325.40 | 326.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 328.40 | 326.00 | 0.31 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 331.80 | 320.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 329.00 | 320.00 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 325.20 | 318.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 324.60 | 318.00 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 323.40 | 312.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 321.80 | 312.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 318.80 | 307.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 316.80 | 307.00 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 314.20 | 300.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 312.20 | 300.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 310.20 | 300.00 | -2.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 309.60 | 300.00 | -2.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 307.20 | 304.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 305.40 | 304.00 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 304.60 | 303.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 303.40 | 303.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 302.60 | 303.00 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 303.20 | 303.00 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 304.00 | 293.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 303.80 | 293.00 | -3.30 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 301.80 | 291.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 299.40 | 291.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 297.00 | 299.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 294.40 | 299.00 | 2.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 293.00 | 290.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 293.80 | 290.00 | -3.01 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 293.20 | 295.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 293.00 | 295.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 292.80 | 295.00 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 291.40 | 295.00 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 295.40 | 320.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 300.80 | 320.00 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 306.60 | 306.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 312.40 | 306.00 | -4.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 314.80 | 284.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 311.80 | 284.00 | -5.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 309.20 | 297.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 306.20 | 297.00 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 302.00 | 310.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 301.20 | 310.00 | 4.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 302.77 | 310.00 | 4.38 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 303.11 | 306.00 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 297.47 | 276.00 | -9.80 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 287.45 | 248.00 | -10.14 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 276.04 | 241.00 | -2.82 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 259.47 | 227.00 | -5.81 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 246.83 | 242.50 | 6.83 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 239.69 | 228.40 | -4.83 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 235.82 | 228.40 | -4.83 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 233.34 | 232.10 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 233.63 | 232.10 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 230.84 | 232.10 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 230.84 | 240.90 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 233.34 | 241.00 | 0.04 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 236.63 | 240.00 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 238.88 | 240.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 241.19 | 247.20 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 242.66 | 259.25 | 4.87 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 246.29 | 249.50 | -3.76 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 247.28 | 244.00 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 248.15 | 251.00 | 2.87 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 212.92 | 252.50 | 321.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 213.38 | 247.90 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 212.79 | 249.00 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 212.42 | 243.10 | -2.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 210.76 | 242.40 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 245.71 | 266.50 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 248.41 | 263.50 | -1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 251.39 | 270.00 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 255.42 | 276.50 | 2.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 261.87 | 280.25 | 1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 269.79 | 280.25 | 1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 272.23 | 287.50 | 2.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 276.85 | 281.00 | -2.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 279.16 | 279.75 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 280.00 | 281.00 | 0.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 280.88 | 283.50 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 280.84 | 283.50 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 280.32 | 286.25 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 281.37 | 285.00 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 282.52 | 291.25 | 2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 283.66 | 291.25 | 2.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 286.12 | 301.75 | 3.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 289.80 | 288.00 | -4.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 290.14 | 276.75 | -3.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 288.59 | 273.50 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 286.38 | 270.00 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 282.82 | 270.00 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 277.27 | 272.00 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 274.42 | 274.25 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 273.64 | 274.25 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 273.29 | 274.25 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 273.55 | 283.00 | 3.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 275.16 | 296.75 | 4.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 279.78 | 311.25 | 4.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 287.41 | 325.00 | 4.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 297.77 | 358.00 | 4.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 314.12 | 356.25 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 329.27 | 357.50 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 341.47 | 380.00 | 6.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 350.86 | 380.00 | 6.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 357.90 | 380.00 | 6.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 362.75 | 342.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 359.70 | 341.75 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 356.53 | 307.75 | -9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 353.22 | 307.75 | -9.95 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 340.29 | 298.75 | 1.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 324.10 | 295.00 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 310.96 | 277.25 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 297.88 | 278.25 | 0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 285.15 | 280.25 | 0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 282.26 | 276.00 | -1.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 277.51 | 269.00 | -2.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 275.73 | 255.50 | -5.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 271.52 | 259.00 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 267.64 | 261.25 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 264.07 | 261.00 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 261.36 | 261.50 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 259.93 | 260.25 | -0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 260.79 | 259.75 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 260.97 | 252.75 | -2.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 259.20 | 255.50 | 1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 257.23 | 251.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 255.57 | 251.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 253.81 | 252.00 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 252.06 | 252.00 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 251.89 | 252.75 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 251.91 | 250.00 | -1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 251.33 | 251.00 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 251.34 | 250.50 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 251.23 | 250.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 250.92 | 248.50 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 250.41 | 248.50 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 250.14 | 246.00 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 249.58 | 240.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 247.47 | 244.20 | 1.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 246.18 | 252.25 | 3.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 246.57 | 250.00 | -0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 249.09 | 287.25 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |