Toplam Tahmin
778
Doğru
409
Yanlış
369
Başarı Oranı
%52.57
NUHCM - Nuh Çimento
Tahmin ID: #128383 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 221.3000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 222.1000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-6.44
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 218.4500 TL | %-1.64 |
| 20.07.2026 | 214.5480 TL | %-1.79 |
| 21.07.2026 | 211.6284 TL | %-1.36 |
| 22.07.2026 | 209.8224 TL | %-0.85 |
| 23.07.2026 | 208.1518 TL | %-0.80 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %33.59 | %61.82 | 131 |
| 4 Gün | %33.33 | %60.24 | 132 |
| 1 Gün | %34.81 | %164.53 | 135 |
| 3 Gün | %35.07 | %58.38 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %38.81 | %90.52 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 227.00 | 224.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 227.00 | 224.00 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 228.67 | 225.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 229.50 | 225.00 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 230.00 | 222.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 231.00 | 222.00 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 231.60 | 222.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 231.20 | 222.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 229.80 | 222.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 228.40 | 222.00 | -0.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 226.80 | 221.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 225.60 | 221.00 | -0.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 224.00 | 221.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 223.40 | 221.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 222.80 | 223.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 222.40 | 223.00 | 0.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 222.60 | 224.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 223.20 | 224.00 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 224.00 | 227.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 224.80 | 227.00 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 225.40 | 223.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 225.40 | 223.00 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 224.80 | 225.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 224.00 | 225.00 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 223.60 | 225.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 223.40 | 225.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 223.60 | 230.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 224.40 | 230.00 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 226.00 | 230.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 227.20 | 230.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 228.40 | 243.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 229.20 | 243.00 | 5.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 232.40 | 237.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 234.80 | 237.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 237.20 | 237.00 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 239.60 | 237.00 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 241.00 | 240.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 240.00 | 240.00 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 239.60 | 236.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 239.00 | 236.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 238.40 | 236.00 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 239.00 | 236.00 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 238.80 | 239.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 238.00 | 239.00 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 237.80 | 242.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 237.60 | 242.00 | 1.26 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 238.00 | 240.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 239.20 | 240.00 | -0.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 240.00 | 239.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 240.40 | 239.00 | -0.42 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 240.60 | 245.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 240.00 | 245.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 239.40 | 245.00 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 239.20 | 245.00 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 239.80 | 242.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 240.60 | 242.00 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 241.20 | 258.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 241.80 | 258.00 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 240.80 | 257.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 239.00 | 257.00 | 10.30 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 243.20 | 272.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 247.60 | 272.00 | 3.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 253.80 | 267.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 261.60 | 267.00 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 268.20 | 267.00 | -1.84 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 269.39 | 270.00 | 1.12 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 270.98 | 272.00 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 269.99 | 268.00 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 267.41 | 260.00 | -2.99 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 267.57 | 267.75 | 2.98 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 269.78 | 281.25 | 5.04 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 272.88 | 275.75 | -4.25 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 274.37 | 275.75 | -4.25 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 277.43 | 293.25 | 6.35 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 278.97 | 293.25 | 6.35 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 277.86 | 293.25 | 6.35 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 295.13 | 265.50 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 293.26 | 261.50 | -1.51 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 291.45 | 251.00 | -4.02 | ❌ | 0.48 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 279.99 | 240.50 | -4.18 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 263.98 | 234.70 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 251.95 | 234.20 | -0.21 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 245.67 | 229.70 | -1.92 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 186.04 | 233.90 | 2579.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 187.13 | 257.25 | 9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 192.34 | 253.25 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 196.69 | 252.00 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 201.04 | 250.00 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 244.29 | 240.60 | -3.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 245.39 | 247.60 | 2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 243.60 | 247.60 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 242.34 | 250.25 | 1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 241.24 | 243.80 | -2.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 246.03 | 243.80 | -2.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 246.34 | 244.50 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 245.39 | 247.10 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 245.34 | 247.80 | 0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 245.17 | 254.00 | 2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 246.19 | 248.50 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 248.14 | 248.50 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 249.38 | 247.00 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 249.78 | 250.00 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 250.57 | 246.10 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 249.85 | 246.10 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 248.49 | 253.50 | 3.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 249.38 | 249.00 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 249.83 | 243.50 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 248.67 | 247.60 | 1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 248.06 | 242.50 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 248.43 | 242.50 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 247.27 | 242.30 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 246.94 | 244.80 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 246.63 | 244.80 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 246.87 | 244.80 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 246.23 | 246.10 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 246.13 | 242.00 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 244.94 | 241.10 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 244.67 | 236.00 | -2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 242.18 | 232.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 239.70 | 232.20 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 236.69 | 226.00 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 233.28 | 221.10 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 230.07 | 221.10 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 227.80 | 221.10 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 225.55 | 213.00 | -3.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 221.73 | 216.80 | 1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 220.11 | 221.50 | 2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 218.43 | 221.50 | 2.17 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 218.42 | 216.20 | -3.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 217.42 | 221.50 | 2.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 218.14 | 218.00 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 218.37 | 214.60 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 217.96 | 215.50 | 0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 216.06 | 214.80 | -0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 215.82 | 211.80 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 214.85 | 212.80 | 0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 213.77 | 218.10 | 2.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 214.43 | 226.40 | 3.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 216.65 | 227.20 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 219.11 | 226.10 | -0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 221.95 | 229.50 | 1.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 225.33 | 226.00 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 226.97 | 225.00 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 182.15 | 222.90 | 2209.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 138.87 | 222.90 | 2209.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 138.55 | 221.20 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 137.73 | 220.70 | -0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 136.64 | 220.00 | -0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 174.31 | 223.40 | 1.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 215.13 | 227.40 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 217.15 | 228.90 | 2281.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 222.16 | 228.90 | 2281.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 223.88 | 227.60 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 229.78 | 222.70 | -2.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 232.48 | 217.90 | -2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 228.86 | 224.80 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 224.77 | 220.40 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 223.65 | 222.10 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |