Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
529
Yanlış
259
Başarı Oranı
%67.13
NTGAZ - Naturel Gaz
Tahmin ID: #128380 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 11.5200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 11.4500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 11.4520 TL | %0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 11.4585 TL | %0.06 |
| 21.07.2026 | 11.4619 TL | %0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 11.4522 TL | %-0.08 |
| 23.07.2026 | 11.4454 TL | %-0.06 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %47.41 | %23.41 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %48.15 | %24.38 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %51.47 | %21.89 | 136 |
| 5 Gün | %44.70 | %26.25 | 132 |
| 4 Gün | %48.12 | %24.04 | 133 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 9.20 | 10.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 9.40 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 10.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 10.20 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 12.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 11.80 | 13.00 | 8.33 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 12.08 | 13.34 | 2.62 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 12.48 | 12.98 | -2.70 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 12.69 | 11.61 | -3.97 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 12.62 | 11.61 | -3.97 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 12.34 | 11.80 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 11.99 | 11.80 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 11.76 | 11.80 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 11.86 | 12.21 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 12.03 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 12.15 | 12.88 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 12.40 | 13.03 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 12.61 | 12.98 | -0.38 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 12.69 | 12.93 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 12.81 | 12.03 | -6.96 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 12.72 | 11.66 | -3.08 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 12.47 | 11.37 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.17 | 11.52 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.54 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 11.85 | 11.52 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 11.54 | 11.52 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 11.41 | 11.52 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 11.36 | 11.52 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 11.36 | 11.52 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.72 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 11.47 | 11.72 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 11.54 | 11.80 | 0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 11.63 | 12.08 | 2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 11.77 | 12.12 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 11.89 | 11.88 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 11.91 | 12.04 | 1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 7.22 | -40.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 11.06 | 12.28 | 70.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 11.11 | 12.56 | 2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 11.16 | 12.56 | 2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 11.29 | 12.93 | 2.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 11.47 | 12.64 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 12.55 | 12.44 | -1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 12.53 | 12.40 | -0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 12.53 | 12.35 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 12.45 | 12.35 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 12.30 | 12.09 | -2.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 12.16 | 9.81 | -18.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 11.74 | 12.54 | 27.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 11.28 | 12.54 | 27.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 11.39 | 12.50 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 11.46 | 12.36 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 11.55 | 12.25 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 11.98 | 12.50 | 2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 12.47 | 12.63 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 12.43 | 12.63 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 12.41 | 13.89 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 12.43 | 12.59 | -9.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 12.48 | 12.59 | -9.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 12.76 | 12.59 | -9.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 12.79 | 12.58 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 12.82 | 12.27 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 12.77 | 13.01 | 6.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 12.89 | 12.60 | -3.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 12.60 | 13.25 | 6.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 12.73 | 13.25 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 12.85 | 13.00 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 13.01 | 13.21 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 13.01 | 13.21 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 13.12 | 13.21 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 13.11 | 12.25 | -7.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 12.91 | 12.81 | 4.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 12.86 | 12.66 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 12.82 | 12.66 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 12.75 | 13.12 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 12.74 | 12.97 | -1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 12.87 | 12.86 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 12.87 | 12.69 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 12.85 | 12.75 | 0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 12.85 | 12.43 | -2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 12.72 | 12.37 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 12.63 | 12.54 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 12.56 | 12.34 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 12.50 | 12.60 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 12.46 | 12.38 | -1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 12.41 | 11.97 | -1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 12.33 | 11.94 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 12.21 | 11.75 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 12.09 | 11.53 | -1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 11.72 | 11.34 | 0.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 11.86 | 11.47 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 11.91 | 11.47 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 11.91 | 11.47 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 11.70 | 11.61 | 1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 11.66 | 11.77 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 11.59 | -1.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 11.58 | 11.20 | -3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 11.55 | 11.45 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |