Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
439
Yanlış
349
Başarı Oranı
%55.71
MNDRS - Menderes Tekstil
Tahmin ID: #128364 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 11.1100 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 11.2100 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.34
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 11.1989 TL | %-0.10 |
| 20.07.2026 | 11.1935 TL | %-0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 11.1816 TL | %-0.11 |
| 22.07.2026 | 11.1776 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 11.1724 TL | %-0.05 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %42.22 | %15.66 | 135 |
| 4 Gün | %44.03 | %17.12 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %36.30 | %19.84 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %42.42 | %17.48 | 132 |
| 1 Gün | %47.79 | %8.08 | 136 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 12.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 12.00 | -7.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 8.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 14.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 14.00 | 7.69 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 13.20 | 14.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 13.40 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 13.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 14.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 14.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 14.46 | 14.27 | 1.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 14.36 | 14.50 | 1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.21 | 13.61 | -4.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.14 | 13.61 | -4.49 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 14.05 | 14.17 | 4.11 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 13.92 | 14.17 | 4.11 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 13.85 | 14.17 | 4.11 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 13.82 | 14.09 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 13.91 | 14.05 | -0.28 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 13.96 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 14.07 | 13.97 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 14.03 | 13.68 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 13.94 | 13.34 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 13.79 | 13.40 | 0.45 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 13.67 | 12.92 | -3.58 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 13.46 | 11.63 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 11.69 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.59 | 11.69 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 12.25 | 11.69 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 11.89 | 11.69 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 11.64 | 11.69 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 11.64 | 11.69 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 11.65 | 11.50 | -1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 27.66 | 11.87 | -87.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 27.71 | 12.22 | 2.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 27.76 | 12.42 | 1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 27.91 | 11.81 | -4.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 27.96 | 12.36 | 4.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 12.22 | 12.41 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 12.31 | 12.47 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 12.45 | 12.20 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 12.50 | 12.20 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 12.60 | 12.41 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 12.47 | 12.63 | 1.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 12.57 | 12.72 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 12.61 | 13.28 | 4.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 12.75 | 13.08 | -1.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 12.94 | 13.08 | -1.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 13.05 | 12.84 | -1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 25.82 | 13.10 | -83.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 38.26 | 13.10 | -83.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 38.18 | 13.00 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 38.12 | 12.61 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 38.05 | 12.60 | -0.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 25.26 | 12.60 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 12.71 | 12.58 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 12.71 | 12.58 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 12.76 | 12.74 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 12.83 | 13.10 | 2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 12.92 | 13.10 | 2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 12.92 | 13.10 | 2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 12.96 | 13.38 | 2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 13.04 | 13.07 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 13.09 | 13.42 | 2.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 13.15 | 12.81 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 13.05 | 12.30 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 12.89 | 12.07 | -1.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 12.61 | 11.80 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 12.35 | 11.63 | -1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 12.04 | 11.63 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 11.95 | 11.63 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 11.82 | 10.97 | -5.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 11.61 | 11.40 | 3.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 11.54 | 11.55 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 11.45 | 11.55 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 11.37 | 11.64 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 11.37 | 12.00 | 3.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 11.52 | 11.58 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 11.54 | 11.40 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 11.55 | 11.78 | 3.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 11.61 | 11.43 | -2.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 11.57 | 11.30 | -1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 11.50 | 11.18 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 11.42 | 11.39 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 11.42 | 11.58 | 1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 11.38 | 11.41 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 11.39 | 11.67 | 1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 11.46 | 11.49 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 11.52 | 11.61 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 11.57 | 11.54 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 11.56 | 11.43 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 11.57 | 11.59 | 1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 11.54 | 11.59 | 1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 11.57 | 11.53 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 11.56 | 11.53 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 11.56 | 11.37 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 11.53 | 11.31 | -0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 11.48 | 11.29 | -0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 11.42 | 11.13 | -1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 11.33 | 11.27 | 1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 11.28 | 11.14 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 11.26 | 11.14 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 11.22 | 11.11 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 11.19 | 10.89 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 11.14 | 10.92 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 11.07 | 11.03 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 10.92 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 10.97 | 11.21 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |