Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
428
Yanlış
360
Başarı Oranı
%54.31
MMCAS - MMC San.ve Tic. Yatırımlar A.Ş
Tahmin ID: #128363 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 63.7000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 65.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.35
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 64.9238 TL | %-0.12 |
| 20.07.2026 | 64.8544 TL | %-0.11 |
| 21.07.2026 | 64.8447 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 64.7951 TL | %-0.08 |
| 23.07.2026 | 64.7743 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %30.37 | %6.56 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %36.03 | %4.55 | 136 |
| 4 Gün | %18.38 | %10.19 | 136 |
| 5 Gün | %15.38 | %9.74 | 130 |
| 3 Gün | %26.67 | %6.62 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 129.00 | 142.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 129.00 | 142.00 | 2.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 130.33 | 139.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 131.00 | 139.00 | -2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 131.60 | 134.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 132.60 | 134.00 | -3.60 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 133.40 | 130.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 133.40 | 130.00 | -2.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 132.60 | 128.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 131.60 | 128.00 | 1.59 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 131.00 | 120.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 130.60 | 120.00 | -6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 128.40 | 120.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 127.00 | 120.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 125.60 | 132.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 123.80 | 132.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 124.40 | 128.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 126.80 | 128.00 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 126.60 | 122.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 126.40 | 122.00 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 126.00 | 122.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 123.20 | 122.00 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 120.60 | 134.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 120.60 | 134.00 | 9.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 123.20 | 121.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 126.00 | 121.00 | -9.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 126.00 | 108.00 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 125.80 | 108.00 | -10.74 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 123.20 | 111.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 118.00 | 111.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 113.40 | 100.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 111.60 | 100.00 | -9.91 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 92.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 92.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 104.40 | 92.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 102.20 | 92.00 | -8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 98.40 | 97.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 96.80 | 97.00 | 5.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 96.20 | 96.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 95.60 | 96.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 95.00 | 96.00 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 96.00 | 96.00 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 96.80 | 106.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 96.60 | 106.00 | 10.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 98.40 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 100.20 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 102.00 | 104.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 104.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 105.40 | 114.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 104.80 | 114.00 | 9.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 117.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 117.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 109.00 | 117.00 | 2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 111.00 | 117.00 | 2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 114.40 | 108.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 115.80 | 108.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 114.80 | 97.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 113.80 | 97.00 | -10.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 110.80 | 98.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 106.40 | 98.00 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 101.80 | 95.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 99.60 | 95.00 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 96.40 | 97.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 95.20 | 97.00 | 5.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 95.00 | 94.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 95.00 | 94.00 | -3.09 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 94.38 | 94.00 | -3.09 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 94.56 | 93.00 | -1.06 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 93.75 | 88.00 | -5.38 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 92.94 | 93.00 | 5.68 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 92.52 | 95.00 | 2.15 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 94.48 | 103.80 | 9.26 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 96.47 | 103.00 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 99.44 | 100.00 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 100.82 | 100.00 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 101.80 | 99.40 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 101.02 | 99.40 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 100.30 | 99.40 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 99.16 | 91.75 | -5.56 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 97.54 | 90.90 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 95.79 | 90.90 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 94.01 | 95.00 | 4.51 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 92.36 | 92.35 | -2.79 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 91.39 | 83.15 | -9.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 89.68 | 86.85 | 4.45 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 88.84 | 95.10 | 9.50 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 89.68 | 94.50 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 90.39 | 90.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 90.83 | 90.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 93.10 | 90.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 94.63 | 90.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 94.50 | 90.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 94.51 | 90.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 93.60 | 94.45 | 4.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 93.56 | 92.05 | -2.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 93.06 | 91.50 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 92.46 | 88.00 | -3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 91.14 | 86.70 | -1.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 90.48 | 85.85 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 88.78 | 86.50 | 0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 87.69 | 81.50 | -5.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 85.69 | 77.60 | -4.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 83.63 | 79.90 | 2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 81.81 | 79.90 | 2.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 80.64 | 80.80 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 79.52 | 81.00 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 79.42 | 80.95 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 80.10 | 83.70 | 3.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 80.79 | 81.50 | -2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 81.00 | 81.50 | -2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 81.11 | 79.00 | -3.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 80.70 | 41.12 | -47.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 72.69 | 79.85 | 94.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 64.71 | 79.85 | 94.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 64.50 | 77.00 | -3.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 63.62 | 71.35 | -7.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 62.09 | 72.70 | 1.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 68.44 | 78.50 | 7.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 75.89 | 86.10 | 9.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 75.58 | 86.10 | 9.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 75.81 | 81.20 | -5.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 77.21 | 79.00 | -2.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 78.30 | 79.00 | -2.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 78.88 | 79.00 | -2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 78.96 | 84.00 | 6.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 80.15 | 84.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 81.26 | 78.65 | -6.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 81.33 | 76.80 | -2.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 80.39 | 73.25 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 79.29 | 68.00 | -7.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 76.06 | 69.10 | 1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 73.09 | 68.00 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 71.13 | 68.00 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 69.61 | 68.00 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 68.58 | 61.20 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 67.18 | 61.30 | 0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 65.67 | 63.90 | 4.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 64.17 | 63.90 | 4.24 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 64.39 | 68.00 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 64.38 | 69.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 65.55 | 66.00 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 66.49 | 65.50 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 67.43 | 61.95 | -5.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 65.82 | 59.65 | -3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 64.17 | 56.65 | -5.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 62.15 | 56.00 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 60.14 | 57.00 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 58.35 | 58.75 | 3.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 57.69 | 58.00 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 57.61 | 60.00 | 0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 58.24 | 60.50 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 59.09 | 62.50 | 3.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 60.14 | 68.15 | 9.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 61.98 | 64.95 | -4.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 63.71 | 69.00 | 6.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 65.32 | 69.00 | 6.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 67.04 | 68.80 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 68.35 | 68.80 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 68.50 | 61.95 | -9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 67.29 | 60.15 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 65.74 | 58.50 | -2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 63.65 | 59.15 | 1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 61.71 | 60.00 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 59.98 | 59.70 | -0.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 59.60 | 59.70 | -0.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 59.51 | 59.00 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 59.75 | 57.45 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 59.40 | 57.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 58.80 | 62.30 | 9.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 58.20 | 59.00 | -5.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 58.36 | 65.00 | 7.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |