Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
501
Yanlış
287
Başarı Oranı
%63.58
MEPET - Metro Petrol ve Tesisleri
Tahmin ID: #128354 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 20.3800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 20.5800 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.17
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 20.5785 TL | %-0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 20.5646 TL | %-0.07 |
| 21.07.2026 | 20.5595 TL | %-0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 20.5458 TL | %-0.07 |
| 23.07.2026 | 20.5446 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %33.33 | %10.88 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %28.79 | %10.11 | 132 |
| 1 Gün | %47.79 | %6.30 | 136 |
| 4 Gün | %32.84 | %12.09 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %36.30 | %5.55 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 17.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 18.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 20.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 20.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 22.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 22.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 21.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 21.00 | -4.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 20.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 21.20 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 23.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 23.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 23.00 | 9.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 23.00 | 9.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 21.40 | 24.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 21.80 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 23.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 23.00 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 22.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 23.60 | 22.00 | -4.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 23.20 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 22.80 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 22.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 22.20 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 25.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 22.80 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 24.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 24.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 24.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 24.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 24.20 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 23.80 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 23.40 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 23.20 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 23.01 | 23.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 23.41 | 25.00 | 8.70 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 24.41 | 28.00 | 12.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 31.00 | 10.71 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 27.51 | 30.64 | -1.16 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 28.52 | 28.10 | -8.29 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 28.89 | 29.56 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 29.56 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 28.92 | 27.50 | -6.97 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 28.70 | 27.50 | -6.97 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 28.59 | 27.50 | -6.97 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 28.84 | 27.02 | -4.18 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 28.30 | 25.14 | -6.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 27.50 | 26.70 | 4.38 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 26.94 | 27.56 | 3.22 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 26.78 | 26.50 | -3.85 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 26.46 | 25.36 | -4.30 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 26.17 | 25.36 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 26.14 | 24.86 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 25.77 | 24.68 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 25.38 | 25.60 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 25.03 | 25.60 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 24.90 | 25.60 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 24.77 | 25.60 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 24.74 | 25.60 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 24.73 | 25.60 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 24.91 | 26.00 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 25.17 | 25.18 | -3.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 25.26 | 25.20 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 25.34 | 24.82 | -1.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 25.37 | 24.86 | 0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 25.22 | 23.86 | -4.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 24.79 | 24.14 | 1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 24.59 | 23.42 | -2.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 24.23 | 23.90 | 2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 24.06 | 23.82 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 23.86 | 23.82 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 23.85 | 23.36 | -1.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 23.69 | 22.90 | -1.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 23.59 | 23.62 | 3.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 23.52 | 23.06 | -2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 23.36 | 23.98 | 3.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 23.21 | 23.98 | 3.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 23.34 | 23.70 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 23.50 | 30.32 | 27.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 24.85 | 23.44 | -22.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 26.29 | 23.44 | -22.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 26.35 | 23.06 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 26.17 | 23.04 | -0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 26.04 | 22.70 | -1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 24.51 | 22.20 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 22.91 | 22.50 | 1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 22.67 | 22.50 | 1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 22.49 | 22.62 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 22.42 | 22.62 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 22.33 | 22.62 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 22.33 | 22.62 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 22.44 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 22.45 | 23.00 | 2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 22.50 | 23.90 | 3.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 22.83 | 23.28 | -2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 23.04 | 22.34 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 22.99 | 21.50 | -3.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 22.81 | 22.34 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 22.69 | 23.42 | 4.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 22.40 | 23.42 | 4.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 22.22 | 23.42 | 4.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 22.43 | 21.14 | -9.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 22.32 | 21.90 | 3.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 22.23 | 22.00 | 0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 22.12 | 22.00 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 22.03 | 22.82 | 4.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 23.03 | 26.44 | -0.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 23.94 | 26.18 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 24.79 | 25.72 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 25.57 | 27.20 | 5.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 26.31 | 25.86 | -4.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 26.24 | 26.62 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 26.22 | 29.12 | 9.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 26.78 | 29.70 | 1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 27.52 | 27.42 | -7.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 27.18 | 23.88 | -3.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 26.70 | 24.62 | 3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 26.39 | 23.82 | -3.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 25.40 | 23.24 | -2.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 24.19 | 23.40 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 23.90 | 23.10 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 23.79 | 23.10 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 23.43 | 22.74 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 23.24 | 22.74 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 23.09 | 22.04 | -3.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 22.83 | 21.66 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 22.48 | 22.26 | 2.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 22.33 | 22.76 | 2.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 22.29 | 22.68 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 22.30 | 22.40 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 22.44 | 22.40 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 22.60 | 22.60 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 22.62 | 21.92 | -3.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 22.44 | 21.02 | -4.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 22.10 | 21.24 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 21.76 | 20.98 | -1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 21.54 | 20.58 | -3.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |