Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
448
Yanlış
340
Başarı Oranı
%56.85
MEGMT - Mega Metal
Tahmin ID: #128352 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 66.6000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 67.9500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.27
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 67.9052 TL | %-0.07 |
| 20.07.2026 | 67.8917 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 67.8577 TL | %-0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 67.8334 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 67.7660 TL | %-0.10 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %31.62 | %46.06 | 136 |
| 3 Gün | %23.70 | %52.02 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %23.48 | %52.65 | 132 |
| 2 Gün | %31.11 | %51.42 | 135 |
| 4 Gün | %22.56 | %52.56 | 133 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 55.00 | 53.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 55.00 | 53.00 | -3.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 55.67 | 53.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 56.00 | 54.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 56.20 | 54.00 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 53.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 53.00 | -3.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 52.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 52.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 53.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 53.00 | 1.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 55.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 55.00 | 3.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 56.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 56.00 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 60.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 57.20 | 60.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 58.40 | 61.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 59.20 | 61.00 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 60.20 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 60.40 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 60.60 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 60.80 | 61.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 63.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 61.00 | 63.00 | 3.28 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 61.40 | 63.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 61.80 | 63.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 62.20 | 66.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 62.60 | 66.00 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 63.60 | 72.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 64.20 | 72.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 72.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 72.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 67.20 | 65.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 68.40 | 65.00 | -9.72 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 68.20 | 64.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 68.00 | 64.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 64.00 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 66.40 | 64.00 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 66.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 64.60 | 66.00 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 67.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 65.00 | 67.00 | 1.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 65.40 | 68.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 66.00 | 68.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 66.80 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 67.20 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 69.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 69.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 68.00 | 69.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 68.00 | 69.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 66.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 66.00 | -1.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 67.20 | 67.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 66.80 | 67.00 | 1.52 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 66.60 | 68.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 66.60 | 68.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 71.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 71.00 | -2.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 70.60 | 71.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 71.80 | 71.00 | -2.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 72.60 | 72.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 72.20 | 72.00 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 72.01 | 72.00 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 72.20 | 74.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 72.79 | 76.00 | 2.70 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 72.98 | 72.00 | -5.26 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 71.97 | 66.00 | -8.33 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 56.68 | 66.95 | 2334.55 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 55.03 | 64.00 | -5.60 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 53.41 | 64.00 | -5.60 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 67.40 | 5.31 | ❌ | 0.48 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 65.22 | 67.40 | 5.31 | ❌ | 0.48 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 65.31 | 67.40 | 5.31 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 65.30 | 65.75 | -2.01 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 65.71 | 66.90 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 65.92 | 70.10 | 7.43 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 67.11 | 70.70 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 67.61 | 73.20 | 3.54 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 68.57 | 71.90 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 69.54 | 72.65 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 70.87 | 74.30 | 2.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 71.57 | 72.50 | -2.42 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 71.90 | 74.65 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 71.68 | 74.65 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 71.77 | 74.65 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 71.77 | 74.65 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 74.65 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 71.40 | 74.65 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 71.86 | 79.75 | 6.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 73.28 | 78.70 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 74.48 | 79.60 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 75.89 | 80.60 | 1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 77.52 | 79.00 | -1.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 63.18 | 79.35 | 3178.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 63.56 | 80.60 | 1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 63.95 | 80.55 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 64.00 | 79.60 | -1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 64.60 | 79.60 | -1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 79.88 | 81.45 | 2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 79.16 | 80.55 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 79.01 | 80.90 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 79.08 | 80.30 | -0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 78.68 | 79.55 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 78.79 | 79.55 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 78.74 | 79.00 | -0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 77.82 | 30.32 | -61.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 68.00 | 79.30 | 161.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 58.39 | 79.30 | 161.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 58.12 | 83.55 | 5.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 59.78 | 81.40 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 60.90 | 81.80 | 0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 71.14 | 81.05 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 81.06 | 82.70 | 2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 81.38 | 82.70 | 2.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 80.43 | 85.80 | 3.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 81.43 | 85.20 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 80.90 | 85.20 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 80.72 | 85.20 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 81.88 | 86.05 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 83.28 | 86.80 | 0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 83.48 | 93.25 | 7.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 86.23 | 88.15 | -5.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 87.53 | 88.30 | 2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 88.06 | 87.20 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 88.35 | 85.15 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 88.04 | 81.60 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 86.43 | 81.60 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 86.34 | 81.60 | -4.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 84.96 | 73.45 | -9.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 82.13 | 75.15 | 2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 80.16 | 77.95 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 78.14 | 77.95 | 3.73 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 76.22 | 75.85 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 75.14 | 31.20 | -58.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 75.85 | 77.40 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 76.27 | 79.45 | 2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 77.08 | 78.10 | -1.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 77.49 | 81.60 | 4.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 78.38 | 84.55 | 3.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 80.05 | 86.75 | 2.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 81.67 | 86.00 | -0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 82.96 | 86.95 | 1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 84.67 | 85.80 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 85.28 | 83.75 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 85.02 | 82.35 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 84.39 | 87.35 | 6.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 84.73 | 83.00 | -4.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 84.07 | 79.40 | -4.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 84.01 | 78.75 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 83.81 | 78.75 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 83.05 | 78.85 | 0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 81.31 | 78.85 | 0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 80.40 | 76.25 | -3.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 79.01 | 77.05 | 1.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 77.80 | 74.85 | -2.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 76.98 | 74.60 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 76.14 | 75.00 | 0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 75.32 | 72.40 | -3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 75.06 | 72.40 | -3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 74.15 | 72.55 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 73.72 | 70.00 | -3.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 72.82 | 70.50 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 71.99 | 68.20 | -3.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 70.68 | 67.70 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 67.95 | 2.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |