Toplam Tahmin
568
Doğru
353
Yanlış
215
Başarı Oranı
%62.15
MARMR - MARMR
Tahmin ID: #128346 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2.1900 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2.2500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 2.2512 TL | %0.05 |
| 20.07.2026 | 2.2511 TL | %-0.01 |
| 21.07.2026 | 2.2514 TL | %0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 2.2513 TL | %-0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 2.2506 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %33.63 | %39.45 | 113 |
| 5 Gün | %19.09 | %45.82 | 110 |
| 2 Gün | %39.82 | %39.84 | 113 |
| 1 Gün | %40.35 | %5.09 | 114 |
| 4 Gün | %30.63 | %43.92 | 111 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 1.67 | 1.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 100.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 1.20 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 1.60 | 3.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 2.10 | 2.48 | 24.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 2.18 | 2.42 | -2.42 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 2.25 | 2.30 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 2.31 | 2.30 | -1.71 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.37 | 2.39 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.34 | 2.39 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 2.33 | 2.39 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 2.33 | 2.23 | -4.29 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 2.31 | 2.16 | -3.14 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 2.30 | 2.44 | 9.91 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 2.33 | 2.52 | 3.28 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 2.33 | 2.43 | -3.57 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.37 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 2.38 | 2.34 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.36 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 2.39 | 2.27 | -3.81 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.28 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.32 | 2.28 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 2.30 | 2.28 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.29 | 2.28 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.28 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.28 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.26 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 2.27 | 2.48 | 9.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 2.31 | 2.56 | 3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 2.37 | 2.81 | 9.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 2.48 | 3.09 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 2.63 | 2.94 | -4.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 2.77 | 2.88 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 2.84 | 2.85 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.97 | 4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 2.93 | 2.85 | -4.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 2.91 | 2.85 | -4.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 2.94 | 3.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 2.91 | 2.95 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 2.93 | 2.94 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 2.93 | 3.15 | 7.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 2.97 | 3.06 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 3.03 | 3.06 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 2.98 | -2.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 2.79 | 2.88 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 2.81 | 2.88 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 2.82 | 2.83 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.87 | 2.85 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.85 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.85 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 2.91 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 2.88 | 2.99 | 2.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 2.88 | -3.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 2.85 | 1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 2.73 | -4.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 2.86 | 2.73 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2.82 | 2.79 | 2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 2.77 | 2.79 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 2.76 | 2.79 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 2.74 | 2.52 | -9.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 2.70 | 2.63 | 4.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 2.68 | 2.65 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 2.66 | 2.65 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 2.63 | 2.60 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 2.64 | 2.62 | -2.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 2.63 | 2.55 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 2.62 | 2.52 | -1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 2.61 | 2.46 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 2.63 | 2.46 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 2.59 | 2.42 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 2.59 | 2.44 | 0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.45 | 0.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2.59 | 2.43 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2.52 | 2.38 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 2.44 | 2.35 | -1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.32 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 2.37 | 2.27 | -2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 2.35 | 2.26 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 2.34 | 2.26 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 2.32 | 2.48 | 9.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 2.30 | 2.48 | 9.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 2.33 | 2.49 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 2.37 | 2.39 | -4.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 2.38 | 2.40 | 0.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 2.41 | 2.40 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 2.44 | 2.39 | -0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 2.42 | 2.32 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 2.32 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 2.39 | 2.31 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 2.37 | 2.26 | -2.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 2.34 | 2.18 | -3.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 2.29 | 2.22 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 2.26 | 2.19 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 2.23 | 2.25 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |