Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
460
Yanlış
328
Başarı Oranı
%58.38
MARKA - Marka Yatırım Holding
Tahmin ID: #128345 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 74.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 74.2500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.26
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 74.2722 TL | %0.03 |
| 20.07.2026 | 74.2984 TL | %0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 74.3732 TL | %0.10 |
| 22.07.2026 | 74.4100 TL | %0.05 |
| 23.07.2026 | 74.4413 TL | %0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %36.76 | %8.41 | 136 |
| 4 Gün | %17.29 | %15.71 | 133 |
| 2 Gün | %27.41 | %13.68 | 135 |
| 5 Gün | %19.55 | %14.14 | 133 |
| 3 Gün | %24.44 | %13.06 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 37.00 | 35.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 37.00 | 35.00 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 36.33 | 34.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 36.00 | 34.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 35.80 | 37.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 35.40 | 37.00 | 8.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 40.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 36.20 | 40.00 | 8.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 37.00 | 36.00 | -7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 36.00 | -7.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 36.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 37.00 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 36.20 | 35.00 | -2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 35.40 | 34.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 35.20 | 34.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 34.80 | 34.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 34.80 | 34.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 35.20 | 34.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 35.20 | 36.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 35.00 | 36.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 35.00 | 35.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 34.80 | 35.00 | -2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 34.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 34.80 | 34.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 34.80 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 35.00 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 34.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 34.40 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 34.40 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 34.40 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 34.20 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 36.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 36.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 36.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 34.00 | 36.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 36.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 35.20 | 36.00 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 36.00 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 37.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 36.20 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 35.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 35.40 | 37.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 35.20 | 37.00 | 5.71 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 35.40 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 36.00 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 35.99 | 36.00 | -2.70 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 35.99 | 35.00 | -2.78 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 35.79 | 34.00 | -2.86 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 34.98 | 33.00 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 33.98 | 32.00 | -3.03 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 33.21 | 32.18 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 32.63 | 32.12 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 32.09 | 29.82 | -4.97 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 31.45 | 29.82 | -4.97 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 31.01 | 26.88 | -9.86 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 30.54 | 26.88 | -9.86 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 29.50 | 26.88 | -9.86 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 28.07 | 24.20 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 26.98 | 26.62 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 26.86 | 32.20 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 27.35 | 35.42 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 28.42 | 38.96 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 31.34 | 42.84 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 35.03 | 47.12 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 38.58 | 43.06 | -8.62 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 40.75 | 47.36 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 43.75 | 52.05 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 45.44 | 52.05 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 46.33 | 52.05 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 46.38 | 52.05 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 47.21 | 52.05 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 47.26 | 52.05 | 9.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 48.21 | 57.25 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 50.24 | 58.50 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 52.46 | 59.00 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 54.73 | 53.10 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 55.82 | 50.00 | -5.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 55.44 | 55.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 60.50 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 55.44 | 61.80 | 2.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 56.09 | 59.40 | -3.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 57.34 | 60.10 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 59.12 | 60.10 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 60.02 | 58.40 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 59.60 | 55.60 | -4.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 58.39 | 54.10 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 57.40 | 55.35 | 2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 56.69 | 54.80 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 55.85 | 54.80 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 55.13 | 55.25 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 55.05 | 14.11 | -74.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 47.03 | 55.55 | 293.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 38.77 | 55.55 | 293.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 38.75 | 53.65 | -3.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 38.50 | 53.25 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 38.07 | 53.35 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 45.87 | 58.65 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 53.76 | 54.00 | -7.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 53.75 | 54.00 | -7.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 53.25 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 54.22 | 53.15 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 54.70 | 53.15 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 55.34 | 53.15 | -0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 54.97 | 54.00 | 1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 54.67 | 55.25 | 2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 55.08 | 54.15 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 54.78 | 53.10 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 54.07 | 51.40 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 53.67 | 53.45 | 3.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 53.51 | 57.85 | 8.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 57.90 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 54.81 | 57.90 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 55.73 | 57.90 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 57.01 | 53.05 | -8.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 56.87 | 53.10 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 55.96 | 57.20 | 7.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 54.99 | 57.20 | 7.72 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 55.02 | 60.75 | 5.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 55.61 | 13.90 | -77.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 57.01 | 63.35 | 5.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 59.07 | 69.65 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 62.30 | 71.30 | 2.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 65.05 | 70.65 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 66.43 | 71.75 | 1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 68.63 | 72.00 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 69.95 | 70.80 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 69.96 | 71.10 | 0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 69.69 | 73.05 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 71.68 | 82.10 | 5.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 73.91 | 84.15 | 2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 76.57 | 84.95 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 79.63 | 90.65 | 6.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 83.48 | 93.20 | 2.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 86.03 | 92.05 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 87.71 | 92.05 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 89.37 | 94.00 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 90.77 | 94.00 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 91.61 | 88.90 | -5.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 91.37 | 90.00 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 91.26 | 88.35 | -1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 90.70 | 85.80 | -2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 89.53 | 85.90 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 87.98 | 84.50 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 87.34 | 84.50 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 86.24 | 85.15 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 85.49 | 83.60 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 85.32 | 83.70 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 84.81 | 84.50 | 0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 84.50 | 82.00 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 83.36 | 74.25 | -5.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |