Toplam Tahmin
788
Doğru
402
Yanlış
386
Başarı Oranı
%51.02
MANAS - Manas Enerji Yönetimi
Tahmin ID: #128343 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 33.4000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 32.4400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.32
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 32.4283 TL | %-0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 32.3876 TL | %-0.13 |
| 21.07.2026 | 32.3818 TL | %-0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 32.3548 TL | %-0.08 |
| 23.07.2026 | 32.3355 TL | %-0.06 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %17.78 | %12.78 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %25.74 | %6.33 | 136 |
| 5 Gün | %18.94 | %15.72 | 132 |
| 4 Gün | %23.31 | %14.43 | 133 |
| 2 Gün | %29.63 | %9.38 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | -12.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 17.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 17.00 | 13.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 18.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 16.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 16.00 | -11.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 18.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 18.00 | 12.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 20.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 20.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 19.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 19.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 19.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 20.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 10.00 | -47.37 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.20 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.60 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 10.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 9.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 12.00 | 9.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 9.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 9.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 9.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 9.40 | 10.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 9.20 | 10.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 9.20 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 9.40 | 10.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 9.60 | 11.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 9.80 | 11.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 10.40 | 11.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 11.00 | -8.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 11.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 11.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 11.20 | 11.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 11.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 10.60 | 11.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 10.80 | 14.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 16.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 11.60 | 15.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 12.40 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 13.40 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 14.21 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 19.00 | 11.76 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 17.58 | 21.00 | 10.53 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 19.29 | 23.62 | 12.48 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 20.33 | 21.26 | -9.99 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 20.75 | 17.23 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 20.39 | 17.23 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.64 | 17.70 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 18.36 | 17.70 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 17.56 | 17.70 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 17.48 | 19.85 | 6.15 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 18.02 | 21.82 | 9.92 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 19.38 | 25.98 | 8.25 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 21.14 | 28.00 | 7.78 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 22.89 | 25.20 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 24.18 | 26.86 | 6.59 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 25.55 | 25.66 | -4.47 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 25.86 | 23.10 | -9.98 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 25.79 | 21.72 | -5.97 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 24.92 | 23.30 | 7.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 24.21 | 23.30 | 7.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 23.18 | 23.30 | 7.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 22.39 | 23.30 | 7.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 23.30 | 7.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 21.61 | 23.30 | 7.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 21.93 | 22.14 | -4.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 22.03 | 24.34 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 22.55 | 25.48 | 4.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 23.31 | 24.56 | -3.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 23.88 | 24.64 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 24.17 | 22.50 | -8.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 24.25 | 22.80 | 1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 23.96 | 21.84 | -4.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 23.25 | 23.68 | 8.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 23.10 | 23.20 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 22.91 | 23.20 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 23.06 | 24.66 | 6.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 23.43 | 26.20 | 6.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 24.30 | 25.50 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 24.65 | 25.56 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 25.01 | 23.92 | -6.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 25.48 | 23.92 | -6.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 25.33 | 23.28 | -2.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 24.74 | 13.60 | -41.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 22.37 | 23.00 | 69.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 19.99 | 23.00 | 69.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 19.48 | 22.68 | -1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 19.24 | 24.94 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 19.58 | 27.42 | 9.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 22.32 | 30.16 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 25.59 | 28.34 | -6.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 26.98 | 28.34 | -6.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 28.43 | 29.50 | 4.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 29.45 | 29.60 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 29.96 | 29.60 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 29.87 | 29.60 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 29.78 | 28.82 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 29.55 | 28.66 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 29.28 | 29.02 | 1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 29.08 | 28.12 | -3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 28.61 | 29.00 | 6.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 28.52 | 28.00 | -3.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 28.33 | 26.50 | -5.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 27.90 | 26.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 27.43 | 26.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 27.31 | 26.50 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 26.81 | 23.86 | -9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 24.24 | 1.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 25.54 | 25.02 | 3.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 25.06 | 25.02 | 3.22 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 24.56 | 25.26 | 4.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 24.31 | 26.58 | 5.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 24.80 | 25.54 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 25.05 | 25.18 | -1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 25.25 | 25.00 | -0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 25.44 | 26.64 | 6.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 25.73 | 26.60 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 25.79 | 28.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 26.28 | 28.06 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 26.85 | 28.62 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 27.58 | 29.70 | 3.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 28.05 | 28.80 | -0.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 28.49 | 29.00 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 28.69 | 28.70 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 28.83 | 28.38 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 28.79 | 28.86 | 1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 28.67 | 29.06 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 28.58 | 29.06 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 28.59 | 30.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 28.66 | 30.00 | 3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 28.98 | 29.38 | -2.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 29.18 | 30.54 | 3.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 29.62 | 30.32 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 29.87 | 30.38 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 30.14 | 30.16 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 30.18 | 29.90 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 30.34 | 29.90 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 30.21 | 29.80 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 30.12 | 29.80 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 30.00 | 29.76 | -0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 29.92 | 29.68 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 29.82 | 29.52 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 29.74 | 32.44 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |