Toplam Tahmin

803

Doğru

463

Yanlış

340

Başarı Oranı

%57.66

LIDER - Lider Turizm

Tahmin ID: #128326 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 110.1000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 109.0000 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.01
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
17.07.2026 108.7137 TL %-0.26
20.07.2026 108.6042 TL %-0.10
21.07.2026 108.7266 TL %0.11
22.07.2026 108.7932 TL %0.06
23.07.2026 109.0061 TL %0.20
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
2 Gün %20.44 %9.34 137
3 Gün %16.06 %10.54 137
5 Gün %16.42 %27.61 134
4 Gün %17.78 %11.56 135
1 Gün %32.61 %7.13 138
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 63.00 66.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 63.00 66.00 1.54 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 62.33 68.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 62.00 68.00 3.03 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 63.00 70.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 63.80 70.00 2.94 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 63.80 67.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 64.20 67.00 -4.29 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 65.80 69.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 66.20 69.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 66.60 72.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 67.80 72.00 4.35 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 69.60 71.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 70.20 71.00 -1.39 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 70.80 73.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 71.40 73.00 2.82 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 72.40 77.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 72.80 77.00 5.48 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 74.60 79.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 76.40 79.00 2.60 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 76.60 74.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 76.40 74.00 1.37 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 76.80 77.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 75.80 77.00 1.32 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 75.00 79.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 75.80 79.00 2.60 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 77.00 80.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 77.60 80.00 1.27 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 78.40 76.00 -4.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 79.00 76.00 -5.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 78.80 72.00 -6.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 78.20 72.00 -5.26 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 76.80 66.00 -7.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 75.20 66.00 -8.33 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 72.40 65.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 70.40 65.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 68.40 65.00 -1.52 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 67.20 65.00 -1.52 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 65.80 72.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 65.60 72.00 10.77 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 66.80 70.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 68.00 70.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 69.20 70.00 -2.78 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 70.60 70.00 -2.78 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 71.60 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 71.20 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 70.60 70.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 70.00 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 69.60 74.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 69.60 74.00 5.71 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 70.40 75.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 71.40 75.00 1.35 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 72.60 75.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 73.60 75.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 74.60 75.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 74.80 75.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 75.60 76.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 76.20 76.00 -2.56 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 76.40 74.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 76.60 74.00 -2.63 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 76.40 77.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 75.60 77.00 4.05 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 74.80 77.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 74.40 77.00 4.05 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 75.20 82.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 76.40 82.00 2.50 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 78.00 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 79.60 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 81.21 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.45
26.02.2026 1 81.23 80.00 -2.44 ✅ 0.45
27.02.2026 1 82.04 84.00 5.00 ✅ 0.45
02.03.2026 1 81.85 81.00 -3.57 ✅ 0.45
03.03.2026 1 81.85 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.45
04.03.2026 1 82.42 84.90 3.54 ✅ 0.45
05.03.2026 1 83.01 83.00 -2.24 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 82.01 79.50 0.63 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 81.61 79.50 0.63 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 81.11 79.50 0.63 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 80.03 82.10 3.27 ❌ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 79.33 82.10 3.27 ❌ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 79.91 82.10 3.27 ✅ 0.45
13.03.2026 1 81.21 87.00 1.64 ✅ 0.55
16.03.2026 1 82.68 92.50 6.32 ❌ 0.55
18.03.2026 1 85.53 96.00 2.24 ❌ 0.53
19.03.2026 1 88.78 101.60 5.83 ❌ 0.58
23.03.2026 1 91.57 106.00 4.33 ❌ 0.57
24.03.2026 1 95.64 109.00 2.83 ❌ 0.60
25.03.2026 1 100.07 111.90 2.66 ❌ 0.45
26.03.2026 1 103.69 111.40 -0.45 ✅ 0.48
27.03.2026 1 106.80 118.50 6.37 ❌ 0.45
28.03.2026 1 111.33 120.10 1.35 ✅ 0.55
28.03.2026 1 113.85 120.10 1.35 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 115.77 120.10 1.35 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 117.14 120.10 1.35 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 118.62 120.10 1.35 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 118.67 120.10 1.35 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 118.98 116.50 -3.00 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 118.59 113.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 117.47 119.00 5.31 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 117.48 23.12 -80.57 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 98.35 127.90 453.20 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 100.01 124.50 -2.66 ❌ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 101.38 133.50 7.23 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 105.50 143.00 7.12 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 110.39 143.00 0.00 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 132.56 139.20 -2.66 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 134.44 139.20 -2.66 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 137.01 128.60 -7.61 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 135.62 133.00 3.42 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 133.24 143.40 7.82 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 134.83 148.60 3.63 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 137.28 150.10 1.01 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 139.26 150.10 1.01 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 143.93 145.70 -2.93 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 146.48 141.10 -3.16 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 146.12 136.80 -3.05 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 143.74 136.80 -3.05 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 142.00 130.80 -4.39 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 137.88 126.90 -2.98 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 134.02 119.00 -6.23 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 129.67 119.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 125.70 112.20 -5.71 ✅ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 122.13 112.20 -5.71 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 120.08 105.70 -5.79 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 116.28 108.10 2.27 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 116.45 108.10 2.27 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 116.65 108.10 2.27 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 114.33 112.00 3.61 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 112.95 115.60 3.21 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 114.92 120.00 3.81 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 115.01 121.60 1.33 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 115.54 126.00 2.94 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 119.06 125.90 -0.08 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 121.73 127.40 1.19 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 124.15 128.00 0.47 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 125.63 128.00 0.47 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 126.65 128.00 0.47 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 127.06 119.90 -6.33 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 125.87 109.70 -8.51 ✅ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 122.28 110.00 0.27 ✅ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 118.81 110.00 0.27 ✅ 0.45
01.06.2026 1 116.39 113.50 -1.22 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 113.56 119.00 4.85 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 113.78 121.50 0.33 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 116.05 122.40 0.74 ❌ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 118.57 125.20 2.29 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 120.59 122.90 -1.84 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 122.45 117.30 -4.56 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 121.73 111.70 -4.77 ✅ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 119.86 108.90 -2.51 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 117.18 103.70 -4.78 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 112.91 110.20 6.27 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 109.83 103.70 -3.36 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 107.11 99.25 -4.29 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 104.60 95.70 -3.58 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 101.94 88.55 -7.47 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 98.90 97.40 9.99 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 95.12 92.65 -4.88 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 92.09 92.65 -4.88 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 90.76 83.40 -9.98 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 90.17 83.40 -9.98 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 89.12 80.00 -4.08 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 87.40 88.00 10.00 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 87.26 88.20 0.23 ❌ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 86.38 94.10 6.69 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 86.65 93.50 -0.64 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 88.65 101.40 8.45 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 91.32 101.40 8.45 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 93.99 103.60 2.17 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 97.04 93.25 -9.99 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 98.89 94.05 0.86 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 99.04 96.60 2.71 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 99.70 96.60 0.00 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 100.72 109.00 2.64 ✅ 0.60