Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
396
Yanlış
407
Başarı Oranı
%49.32
KUTPO - Kütahya Porselen
Tahmin ID: #128321 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 84.0500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 86.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.14
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 85.9749 TL | %-0.03 |
| 20.07.2026 | 85.9520 TL | %-0.03 |
| 21.07.2026 | 85.9262 TL | %-0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 85.8924 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 85.8811 TL | %-0.01 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %38.41 | %1.87 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %25.19 | %3.73 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %43.80 | %2.46 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %32.85 | %3.02 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %25.37 | %4.20 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 97.00 | 102.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 97.00 | 102.00 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 97.33 | 104.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 97.50 | 104.00 | 1.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 98.40 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 99.40 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 100.00 | 107.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 100.40 | 107.00 | 2.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 102.00 | 101.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 101.00 | -3.81 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 102.80 | 103.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 103.20 | 103.00 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 105.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 103.60 | 105.00 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 103.60 | 108.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 104.40 | 108.00 | 2.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 107.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 107.00 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 108.60 | 104.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 110.00 | 104.00 | -2.80 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 110.00 | 104.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 109.40 | 104.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 108.20 | 105.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 105.00 | 0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 107.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 104.40 | 107.00 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 107.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 105.40 | 107.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 109.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 106.60 | 109.00 | 1.87 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 107.40 | 107.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 107.80 | 107.00 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 106.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 107.40 | 106.00 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 107.20 | 110.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 106.60 | 110.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 110.00 | 3.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 106.00 | 110.00 | 3.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 106.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 106.00 | -3.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 105.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 105.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 107.60 | 105.00 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 105.00 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 109.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 105.60 | 109.00 | 3.81 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 106.20 | 108.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 106.80 | 108.00 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 107.20 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 107.80 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 108.40 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 108.20 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 111.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 108.80 | 112.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 109.60 | 112.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 110.40 | 115.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 115.00 | 2.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 112.60 | 117.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 113.20 | 117.00 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 113.60 | 112.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 114.00 | 112.00 | -1.75 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 114.60 | 113.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 114.60 | 113.00 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 114.20 | 110.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 114.00 | 110.00 | -2.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 113.19 | 110.00 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 111.99 | 109.00 | -0.91 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 110.19 | 106.00 | -2.75 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 108.00 | 102.00 | -3.77 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 105.22 | 99.00 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 103.13 | 99.45 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 102.05 | 103.50 | 4.07 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 101.17 | 99.50 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 101.08 | 99.50 | -1.97 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 101.19 | 99.50 | -1.97 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 101.19 | 105.60 | 6.13 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 100.40 | 105.60 | 6.13 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 101.22 | 105.60 | 6.13 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 100.30 | 93.25 | -3.77 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 99.08 | 92.50 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 97.67 | 92.00 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 96.16 | 92.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 93.45 | 91.60 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 92.38 | 89.25 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 91.53 | 87.75 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 90.54 | 87.40 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 89.59 | 86.10 | -1.49 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 88.37 | 85.25 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 87.25 | 85.25 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 86.63 | 85.25 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 86.33 | 85.25 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 86.10 | 85.25 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 86.10 | 85.25 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 85.93 | 87.15 | 2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 86.13 | 89.30 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 86.75 | 89.05 | -0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 87.31 | 90.55 | 1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 88.23 | 90.80 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 89.30 | 87.50 | -3.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 89.39 | 91.65 | 4.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 89.89 | 94.30 | 2.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 90.95 | 96.60 | 2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 92.14 | 94.10 | -2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 93.32 | 94.10 | -2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 94.63 | 97.45 | 3.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 95.74 | 99.95 | 2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 96.89 | 97.20 | -2.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 97.03 | 100.10 | 2.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 97.77 | 100.10 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 98.98 | 100.10 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 99.54 | 100.10 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 99.58 | 99.00 | -1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 99.94 | 99.25 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 99.71 | 99.25 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 99.55 | 99.50 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 99.42 | 97.00 | -2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 98.83 | 94.90 | -2.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 98.00 | 97.40 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 97.66 | 96.65 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 97.29 | 96.65 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 96.85 | 96.05 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 96.91 | 98.85 | 2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 97.41 | 98.85 | 2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 97.16 | 98.85 | 2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 97.50 | 100.40 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 98.12 | 101.00 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 98.82 | 104.00 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 100.03 | 97.75 | -6.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 100.43 | 95.00 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 99.66 | 93.35 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 98.29 | 91.00 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 96.28 | 91.25 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 93.78 | 91.25 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 92.38 | 91.25 | 0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 91.54 | 86.50 | -5.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 90.06 | 88.20 | 1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 89.53 | 91.70 | 3.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 88.96 | 91.70 | 3.97 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 88.98 | 92.40 | 1.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 89.24 | 92.95 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 90.53 | 90.90 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 91.05 | 90.55 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 91.53 | 90.70 | 0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 91.42 | 89.30 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 90.81 | 89.45 | 0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 90.18 | 89.10 | -0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 89.84 | 89.90 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 89.71 | 92.00 | 2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 89.97 | 91.40 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 90.12 | 91.90 | 2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 90.58 | 91.10 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 90.97 | 90.60 | -0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 91.12 | 91.35 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 90.97 | 89.85 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 91.24 | 88.95 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 91.13 | 88.95 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 90.71 | 87.65 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 90.37 | 87.65 | -1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 89.65 | 87.20 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 88.83 | 87.25 | 0.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 88.03 | 87.85 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 87.82 | 87.55 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 87.55 | 88.35 | 0.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 87.68 | 86.50 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 87.89 | 86.50 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 87.73 | 87.05 | 0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 87.56 | 84.35 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 86.92 | 83.20 | -1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 85.90 | 84.40 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 85.12 | 83.45 | -1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 84.61 | 86.00 | 2.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |