Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
467
Yanlış
336
Başarı Oranı
%58.16
KTSKR - Kütahya Şeker
Tahmin ID: #128320 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 100.1000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 101.2000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.13
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 101.0848 TL | %-0.11 |
| 20.07.2026 | 101.0170 TL | %-0.07 |
| 21.07.2026 | 100.9795 TL | %-0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 101.1027 TL | %0.12 |
| 23.07.2026 | 101.0659 TL | %-0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %36.23 | %3.06 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %23.13 | %8.33 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %26.28 | %5.78 | 137 |
| 2 Gün | %25.55 | %4.76 | 137 |
| 4 Gün | %20.00 | %7.14 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 84.00 | 79.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 84.00 | 79.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 83.00 | 75.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 82.50 | 75.00 | -5.06 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 81.00 | 75.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 79.20 | 75.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 77.20 | 72.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 75.80 | 72.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 73.80 | 68.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 73.00 | 68.00 | -4.23 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 71.80 | 69.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 70.80 | 69.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 69.80 | 68.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 69.40 | 68.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 68.80 | 67.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 68.60 | 67.00 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 68.20 | 68.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 67.80 | 68.00 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 67.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 67.60 | 67.00 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 68.00 | 71.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 68.60 | 71.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 68.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 68.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 70.00 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 69.20 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 69.60 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 71.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 71.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 71.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 71.00 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 70.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 70.00 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 70.20 | 70.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 72.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 70.00 | 72.00 | 2.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 70.40 | 72.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 70.80 | 72.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 71.20 | 73.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 71.60 | 73.00 | 1.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 72.20 | 75.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 72.40 | 75.00 | 2.74 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 73.00 | 77.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 73.60 | 77.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 74.20 | 77.00 | 2.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 74.60 | 77.00 | 2.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 75.60 | 79.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 76.20 | 79.00 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 77.00 | 80.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 77.80 | 80.00 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 78.80 | 82.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 79.20 | 82.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 78.80 | 75.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 78.20 | 75.00 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 77.40 | 77.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 76.40 | 77.00 | 2.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 75.80 | 74.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 76.00 | 74.00 | -3.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 75.59 | 74.00 | -3.90 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 75.19 | 73.00 | -1.35 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 74.58 | 72.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 72.78 | 68.00 | -5.56 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 70.18 | 64.00 | -5.88 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 68.26 | 64.40 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 66.74 | 65.40 | 1.55 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 65.22 | 64.05 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 64.50 | 64.05 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 64.50 | 64.05 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 64.43 | 69.30 | 8.20 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 64.16 | 69.30 | 8.20 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 65.13 | 69.30 | 8.20 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 67.22 | 75.90 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 69.71 | 77.85 | 2.57 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 72.72 | 79.10 | 0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 75.74 | 77.70 | -1.77 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 77.69 | 79.30 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 78.62 | 75.60 | -4.67 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 78.46 | 74.85 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 77.63 | 74.60 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 76.80 | 72.50 | -2.82 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 75.50 | 71.75 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 74.11 | 71.75 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 73.47 | 71.75 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.46 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 72.99 | 71.75 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 72.49 | 71.75 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 72.50 | 71.75 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 72.37 | 72.00 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 72.27 | 76.05 | 5.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 72.96 | 77.85 | 2.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 74.03 | 79.80 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 75.45 | 84.00 | 5.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 77.85 | 81.20 | -3.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 79.67 | 89.30 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 82.29 | 95.70 | 7.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 85.78 | 105.20 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 90.85 | 115.70 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 95.09 | 115.70 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 102.05 | 127.20 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 109.52 | 119.90 | -5.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 114.49 | 116.80 | -2.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 116.99 | 128.40 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 121.87 | 141.20 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 124.51 | 141.20 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 127.61 | 137.90 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 131.27 | 134.60 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 134.64 | 130.00 | -3.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 135.58 | 130.00 | -3.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 135.63 | 122.10 | -6.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 131.62 | 124.60 | 2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 128.89 | 119.20 | -4.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 125.83 | 125.10 | 4.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 124.01 | 121.50 | -2.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 123.09 | 121.50 | -2.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 123.70 | 118.60 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 123.64 | 122.60 | 3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 123.50 | 122.60 | 3.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 123.44 | 122.60 | 3.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 123.13 | 117.60 | -4.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 121.75 | 117.50 | -0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 120.38 | 129.20 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 122.61 | 131.00 | 1.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 123.87 | 132.00 | 5.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 125.55 | 124.30 | -5.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 126.81 | 114.90 | -7.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 126.43 | 114.70 | -0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 123.68 | 114.70 | -0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 120.61 | 114.70 | -0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 117.24 | 106.70 | -6.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 113.68 | 113.60 | 6.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 113.28 | 115.90 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 112.73 | 115.90 | 2.02 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 112.32 | 113.90 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 112.08 | 106.60 | -6.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 110.96 | 98.90 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 108.02 | 95.80 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 104.64 | 97.40 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 101.43 | 92.20 | -5.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 97.16 | 89.85 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 94.96 | 87.65 | -2.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 92.72 | 89.10 | 1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 91.30 | 98.00 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 91.38 | 98.50 | 0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 92.82 | 98.00 | -1.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 94.41 | 94.55 | -3.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 95.73 | 95.00 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 96.99 | 97.10 | 2.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 96.90 | 103.30 | 6.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 96.46 | 103.00 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 96.33 | 103.00 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 98.01 | 99.20 | -3.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 99.57 | 99.20 | -3.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 99.89 | 100.10 | 0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 100.43 | 110.10 | 9.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 103.00 | 107.00 | -2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 103.84 | 108.00 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 104.67 | 110.10 | 1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 106.86 | 103.70 | -5.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 108.88 | 103.70 | -5.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 107.59 | 102.10 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 106.61 | 98.80 | -3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 104.96 | 97.55 | -1.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 102.47 | 97.60 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 100.00 | 107.30 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 99.65 | 101.20 | -0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |