Toplam Tahmin
799
Doğru
452
Yanlış
347
Başarı Oranı
%56.57
KTLEV - Katılımevim
Tahmin ID: #128319 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 193.3000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 196.1000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.58
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 196.1393 TL | %0.02 |
| 17.07.2026 | 196.4237 TL | %0.15 |
| 20.07.2026 | 196.7273 TL | %0.15 |
| 21.07.2026 | 196.9790 TL | %0.13 |
| 22.07.2026 | 197.2477 TL | %0.14 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %35.04 | %3.48 | 137 |
| 4 Gün | %20.15 | %8.55 | 134 |
| 3 Gün | %28.68 | %7.31 | 136 |
| 5 Gün | %17.91 | %9.63 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %27.74 | %5.70 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 17.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 10.53 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 21.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 24.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 24.00 | 4.35 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 21.60 | 25.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 22.60 | 25.00 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 28.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 24.60 | 28.00 | 12.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 25.80 | 31.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 31.00 | 10.71 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 34.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 29.60 | 34.00 | 9.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 31.80 | 30.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 33.40 | 30.00 | -11.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 33.60 | 31.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 33.20 | 31.00 | 3.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 33.40 | 33.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 32.60 | 33.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 31.80 | 36.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 32.40 | 36.00 | 9.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 33.60 | 35.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 34.20 | 35.00 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 36.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 35.00 | 36.00 | 2.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 37.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 36.20 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 36.80 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 37.00 | 38.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 37.00 | 38.00 | 2.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 37.20 | 37.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 37.40 | 37.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 37.00 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 37.00 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 36.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 36.00 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 37.20 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 36.80 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 36.20 | 35.00 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 36.00 | 2.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 37.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 37.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 35.60 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 37.00 | 40.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 40.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 38.80 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 39.60 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 39.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 40.20 | 39.00 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 39.00 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 37.20 | 40.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 40.00 | 11.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 38.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 37.40 | 38.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 38.00 | 38.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 38.60 | 39.00 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 39.40 | 40.00 | 2.56 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 39.00 | 38.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 38.81 | 39.00 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 39.86 | 43.20 | 10.77 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 41.58 | 47.52 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 44.05 | 57.45 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 46.91 | 57.45 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 50.59 | 57.45 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 53.41 | 57.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 55.37 | 57.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 56.27 | 57.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 56.50 | 55.20 | 3.08 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 56.11 | 60.70 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 57.04 | 62.00 | 0.08 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 57.95 | 63.50 | 2.42 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 58.98 | 63.65 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 61.03 | 63.60 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 62.66 | 64.10 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 63.04 | 62.50 | -2.50 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 63.16 | 68.75 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 64.55 | 75.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 65.56 | 75.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 66.61 | 75.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 67.58 | 75.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 68.83 | 75.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 68.83 | 75.60 | 9.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 70.17 | 78.20 | 3.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 72.03 | 81.00 | 3.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 74.38 | 79.50 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 76.42 | 80.00 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 78.63 | 81.15 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 79.69 | 81.20 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 80.30 | 79.65 | -1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 80.08 | 76.85 | -3.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 80.15 | 80.00 | 4.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 80.17 | 80.85 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 79.99 | 80.85 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 79.94 | 83.20 | 2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 80.70 | 83.80 | 0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 81.56 | 84.00 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 82.36 | 85.00 | 1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 83.40 | 92.90 | 9.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 84.22 | 92.90 | 9.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 86.16 | 100.00 | 7.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 89.43 | 103.60 | 3.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 93.36 | 105.00 | 1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 97.04 | 105.00 | 1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 101.00 | 105.60 | 0.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 103.52 | 105.80 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 104.68 | 110.50 | 4.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 106.09 | 115.00 | 4.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 108.43 | 115.50 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 110.50 | 115.50 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 112.42 | 116.00 | 0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 114.28 | 115.30 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 115.18 | 115.30 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 115.40 | 115.30 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 115.49 | 115.30 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 115.51 | 115.90 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 115.70 | 119.10 | 2.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 116.60 | 121.30 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 118.35 | 128.80 | 3.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 120.90 | 128.80 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 123.67 | 128.80 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 126.24 | 122.50 | -4.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 128.11 | 122.50 | -4.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 128.90 | 122.50 | -4.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 127.71 | 114.00 | -6.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 124.72 | 114.30 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 121.81 | 118.00 | 3.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 118.86 | 118.00 | 3.24 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 118.25 | 129.80 | 2.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 119.71 | 129.80 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 123.89 | 148.50 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 130.68 | 148.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 137.53 | 158.20 | 6.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 143.88 | 160.00 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 149.92 | 161.00 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 155.08 | 167.00 | 3.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 158.84 | 172.40 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 163.67 | 172.40 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 166.67 | 168.00 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 170.09 | 186.00 | 5.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 175.20 | 181.00 | -2.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 178.01 | 183.60 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 180.26 | 182.00 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 182.13 | 178.30 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 183.15 | 170.40 | -4.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 182.31 | 170.40 | -4.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 180.19 | 171.30 | 0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 177.58 | 171.30 | 0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 175.47 | 172.70 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 173.64 | 174.50 | 1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 172.13 | 176.00 | 0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 173.22 | 187.40 | 6.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 176.51 | 183.70 | -1.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 178.94 | 184.50 | 0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 181.09 | 184.50 | 0.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 183.05 | 180.00 | -2.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 183.85 | 189.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 182.36 | 195.00 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 184.59 | 190.00 | -2.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 185.82 | 196.00 | 3.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |