Toplam Tahmin
793
Doğru
508
Yanlış
285
Başarı Oranı
%64.06
KRDMD - Kardemir (D)
Tahmin ID: #128311 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 41.5600 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 42.4800 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.26
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 42.4321 TL | %-0.11 |
| 20.07.2026 | 42.4100 TL | %-0.05 |
| 21.07.2026 | 42.4058 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 42.3869 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 42.3711 TL | %-0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %37.12 | %4.27 | 132 |
| 1 Gün | %54.74 | %2.01 | 137 |
| 4 Gün | %43.70 | %3.38 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %44.12 | %3.13 | 136 |
| 3 Gün | %48.91 | %3.42 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 27.00 | 25.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 27.00 | 25.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 26.67 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 26.50 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 26.40 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 26.20 | 25.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 26.00 | 26.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 26.20 | 26.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 27.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 26.40 | 27.00 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 26.00 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 26.60 | 27.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 26.80 | 27.00 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 27.00 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 27.20 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 27.40 | 27.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 27.60 | 29.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 27.80 | 29.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 29.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 28.00 | 29.00 | 3.57 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 28.20 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 28.40 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 28.60 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 28.80 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 30.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | -3.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 29.20 | 29.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 30.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 29.00 | 30.00 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 29.40 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 29.80 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 30.20 | 31.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 30.60 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 31.00 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 31.00 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 30.80 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 30.60 | 30.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 30.80 | 32.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 31.00 | 32.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 31.20 | 31.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 31.60 | 31.00 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 31.80 | 31.00 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 31.61 | 31.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 31.61 | 32.00 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 31.61 | 32.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 31.02 | 29.00 | -9.38 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 30.83 | 30.06 | 3.66 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 30.76 | 30.64 | 1.93 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 30.26 | 29.70 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 29.76 | 29.70 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 29.91 | 29.70 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 29.84 | 31.44 | 5.86 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 29.65 | 31.44 | 5.86 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 29.69 | 31.44 | 5.86 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 29.98 | 29.50 | -2.64 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 29.94 | 30.02 | 1.76 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 30.25 | 30.14 | -3.46 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 30.34 | 29.40 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 30.42 | 30.30 | 3.06 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 30.30 | 29.28 | -3.37 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 30.26 | 29.44 | 0.55 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 29.89 | 28.92 | -1.77 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 29.64 | 29.40 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 29.48 | 29.12 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 29.29 | 29.12 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 29.30 | 29.12 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 29.29 | 29.12 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 29.38 | 29.12 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 29.38 | 29.12 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 29.33 | 30.90 | 6.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 29.29 | 32.08 | 3.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 29.82 | 31.68 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 30.27 | 31.90 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 30.77 | 34.14 | 7.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 31.77 | 33.44 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 32.61 | 34.38 | 2.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 33.05 | 36.68 | 6.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 34.03 | 36.10 | -1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 34.86 | 36.10 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 35.23 | 36.10 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 35.40 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 36.03 | 36.46 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 36.03 | 35.72 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 35.98 | 36.90 | 3.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 35.92 | 36.70 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 35.84 | 36.70 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 36.09 | 36.10 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 36.01 | 36.16 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 36.09 | 36.86 | 1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 36.17 | 36.86 | 1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 36.38 | 36.90 | 0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 36.41 | 36.84 | -0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 36.57 | 37.70 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 36.89 | 38.52 | 2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 37.37 | 39.08 | 1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 37.70 | 39.08 | 1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 38.03 | 40.28 | 3.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 38.36 | 39.90 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 38.88 | 39.90 | -0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 38.88 | 39.90 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 39.17 | 39.80 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 39.44 | 40.52 | 1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 39.84 | 44.16 | 8.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 40.63 | 44.92 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 41.50 | 42.80 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 42.06 | 41.98 | -1.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 42.49 | 39.20 | -6.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 42.24 | 40.20 | 2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 41.29 | 40.20 | 2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 40.58 | 40.20 | 2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 40.09 | 37.48 | -6.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 39.15 | 40.88 | 9.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 39.44 | 40.02 | -2.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 39.69 | 40.02 | -2.10 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 39.75 | 40.58 | 2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 39.80 | 41.02 | 1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 40.42 | 39.60 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 40.18 | 39.00 | -1.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 39.84 | 39.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 39.72 | 39.08 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 39.44 | 38.08 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 38.97 | 38.56 | 1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 38.78 | 39.34 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 38.84 | 41.04 | 4.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 39.24 | 40.84 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 39.30 | 40.42 | 2.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 39.75 | 40.78 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 40.18 | 41.32 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 40.46 | 40.00 | -3.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 40.26 | 40.60 | 1.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 40.38 | 39.40 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 40.31 | 39.40 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 40.04 | 40.56 | 2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 39.76 | 40.56 | 2.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 39.87 | 40.12 | -1.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 39.90 | 39.80 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 39.85 | 39.58 | -0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 39.88 | 39.14 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 39.83 | 38.74 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 39.47 | 39.14 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 39.19 | 39.14 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 39.06 | 37.54 | -4.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 38.66 | 36.30 | -3.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 38.35 | 36.52 | 0.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 37.87 | 37.78 | 3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 37.67 | 38.24 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 38.01 | 42.48 | 4.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |