Toplam Tahmin
799
Doğru
457
Yanlış
342
Başarı Oranı
%57.20
KOTON - Koton
Tahmin ID: #128308 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 13.8700 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 13.8000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 13.8100 TL | %0.07 |
| 17.07.2026 | 13.8157 TL | %0.04 |
| 20.07.2026 | 13.8215 TL | %0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 13.8196 TL | %-0.01 |
| 22.07.2026 | 13.8059 TL | %-0.10 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %41.79 | %3.25 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %50.36 | %1.80 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %40.60 | %3.56 | 133 |
| 2 Gün | %45.26 | %2.50 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %46.32 | %2.96 | 136 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 17.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 16.00 | -5.88 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 16.80 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 16.60 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 16.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 15.00 | -6.25 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 15.19 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 14.79 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 14.82 | 15.11 | 7.93 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 14.81 | 14.94 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.74 | 14.40 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.66 | 14.40 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.74 | 14.40 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.07 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 15.07 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 14.58 | 15.07 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 14.64 | 14.70 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 14.70 | 14.94 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.10 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 14.94 | 15.27 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 14.95 | 15.11 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 14.99 | 15.07 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 15.06 | 14.81 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 15.03 | 14.75 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 14.96 | 14.48 | -1.83 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.83 | 14.14 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.71 | 14.14 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 14.14 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 14.54 | 14.14 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 14.14 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 14.14 | -2.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 14.42 | 14.35 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 14.39 | 14.62 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 14.41 | 14.64 | 0.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 14.44 | 14.70 | 0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 14.90 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 14.64 | 14.71 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 14.72 | 14.99 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 14.78 | 14.97 | -0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 14.85 | 15.34 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 14.98 | 15.15 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 15.06 | 15.15 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 15.15 | 15.32 | 1.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 15.23 | 15.59 | 1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 15.35 | 15.40 | -1.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 15.36 | 15.98 | 3.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 15.49 | 15.82 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 15.65 | 15.82 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 15.75 | 15.79 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 15.79 | 15.68 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 15.85 | 15.53 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 15.79 | 15.53 | -0.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 15.70 | 15.57 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 15.65 | 15.31 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 15.55 | 15.36 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 15.49 | 15.20 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 15.39 | 15.07 | -0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 15.33 | 15.07 | -0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 15.26 | 15.34 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 15.26 | 15.50 | 1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 15.22 | 15.50 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 15.22 | 15.50 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 15.28 | 15.68 | 1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 15.37 | 15.94 | 1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 15.49 | 16.18 | 1.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 15.70 | 15.75 | -2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 15.75 | 15.45 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 15.73 | 15.17 | -1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 15.64 | 14.97 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 15.46 | 14.48 | -3.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 15.22 | 14.48 | -3.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 15.12 | 14.48 | -3.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 14.94 | 14.10 | -2.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 14.71 | 14.51 | 2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 14.61 | 14.81 | 2.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 14.51 | 14.81 | 2.07 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 15.08 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 14.61 | 15.23 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 14.78 | 14.95 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 14.86 | 15.08 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 14.98 | 14.86 | -1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 14.97 | 14.70 | -1.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 14.90 | 14.58 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 14.83 | 14.47 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 14.74 | 14.62 | 1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 14.65 | 14.93 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 14.66 | 14.73 | -1.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 14.63 | 14.83 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 14.68 | 14.68 | -1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 14.72 | 14.82 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 14.76 | 14.78 | -0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 14.72 | 14.50 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 14.77 | 14.49 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 14.77 | 14.49 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 14.73 | 14.59 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 14.66 | 14.59 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 14.62 | 14.71 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 14.61 | 14.43 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 14.54 | 14.33 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 14.51 | 14.25 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 14.46 | 14.50 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 14.45 | 15.18 | 4.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.18 | 4.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 14.55 | 16.69 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 15.02 | 15.20 | -8.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 14.16 | -6.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 15.14 | 14.06 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 15.05 | 13.77 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |