Toplam Tahmin
793
Doğru
384
Yanlış
409
Başarı Oranı
%48.42
KONYA - Konya Çimento
Tahmin ID: #128305 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 3,800.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 3,885.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.14
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 3,886.8872 TL | %0.05 |
| 20.07.2026 | 3,888.6191 TL | %0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 3,891.4148 TL | %0.07 |
| 22.07.2026 | 3,891.8499 TL | %0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 3,890.4727 TL | %-0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %33.09 | %2.19 | 136 |
| 3 Gün | %38.97 | %2.73 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %45.26 | %1.63 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %34.59 | %3.82 | 133 |
| 4 Gün | %35.07 | %3.36 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4327.00 | 4502.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4327.00 | 4502.00 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4452.00 | 4502.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4514.50 | 4502.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4546.00 | 4577.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4615.00 | 4577.00 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4653.00 | 4600.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4616.00 | 4600.00 | 0.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4593.60 | 4575.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4577.20 | 4575.00 | 0.18 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4562.20 | 4550.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4578.20 | 4550.00 | -0.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4590.20 | 4532.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4587.60 | 4532.00 | -0.40 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4581.60 | 4515.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4574.20 | 4515.00 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4562.40 | 4532.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4554.60 | 4532.00 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4571.40 | 4437.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4591.60 | 4437.00 | -2.10 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4573.60 | 4590.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4560.00 | 4590.00 | 2.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4558.40 | 4437.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4532.20 | 4437.00 | -2.10 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4487.60 | 4560.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4481.20 | 4560.00 | 2.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4499.80 | 4562.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4506.40 | 4562.00 | 0.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4512.20 | 4520.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4536.40 | 4520.00 | -0.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4552.20 | 4497.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4543.00 | 4497.00 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4528.40 | 4595.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4514.60 | 4595.00 | 2.18 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4521.60 | 4610.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4537.00 | 4610.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4552.40 | 4610.00 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4573.20 | 4610.00 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4598.80 | 4525.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4603.60 | 4525.00 | -1.84 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4590.20 | 4447.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4576.20 | 4447.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4562.80 | 4447.00 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4544.00 | 4447.00 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4510.20 | 4450.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4494.60 | 4450.00 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4479.80 | 4447.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4464.40 | 4447.00 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4449.00 | 4440.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4448.60 | 4440.00 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4445.60 | 4435.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4442.40 | 4435.00 | -0.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4440.20 | 4530.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4438.60 | 4530.00 | 2.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4460.60 | 4597.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4485.20 | 4597.00 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4515.60 | 4715.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4545.00 | 4715.00 | 2.57 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4598.00 | 4695.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4627.40 | 4695.00 | -0.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4605.40 | 4482.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4577.60 | 4482.00 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4550.40 | 4440.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4499.60 | 4440.00 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4446.00 | 4390.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4443.80 | 4390.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4433.03 | 4390.00 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 4423.05 | 4397.00 | 0.16 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 4403.76 | 4350.00 | -1.07 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 4343.82 | 4132.00 | -5.01 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 4281.79 | 4130.00 | -0.05 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 4224.39 | 4107.50 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 4174.70 | 4150.00 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4125.01 | 4050.00 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4118.77 | 4050.00 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4102.59 | 4050.00 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4090.35 | 4130.00 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4069.00 | 4130.00 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4071.27 | 4130.00 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 4066.41 | 4035.00 | -1.10 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 4064.63 | 4012.50 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 4068.10 | 4017.50 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4062.39 | 4047.50 | 0.75 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4043.09 | 4005.00 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4027.32 | 3922.50 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4004.17 | 3920.00 | -0.06 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 3975.35 | 3902.50 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 3952.84 | 3862.50 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3921.04 | 3780.00 | -2.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3892.84 | 3780.00 | -2.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3880.95 | 3780.00 | -2.14 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3870.34 | 3780.00 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3862.58 | 3780.00 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 3863.17 | 3780.00 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 3846.36 | 3802.50 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 3834.70 | 3847.50 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 3830.72 | 3822.50 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 3821.73 | 3825.00 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 3811.39 | 3870.00 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 3830.19 | 3772.50 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 3823.15 | 3912.50 | 3.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 3834.90 | 3832.50 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 3836.94 | 3967.50 | 3.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 3868.62 | 3870.00 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 3888.27 | 3870.00 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 3908.58 | 3937.50 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 3915.50 | 4172.50 | 5.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 3983.62 | 4145.00 | -0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4017.96 | 4557.50 | 9.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4136.08 | 4500.00 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4273.70 | 4500.00 | -1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4385.15 | 4417.50 | -1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4433.82 | 4330.00 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4472.45 | 4310.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4427.51 | 4310.00 | -0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4377.67 | 4312.50 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4341.35 | 4190.00 | -2.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4297.76 | 4157.50 | -0.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4263.30 | 4180.00 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4232.85 | 4145.00 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4207.76 | 4145.00 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4181.96 | 4167.50 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4179.13 | 4285.00 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4181.85 | 4285.00 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4181.42 | 4285.00 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4205.79 | 4330.00 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4235.55 | 4305.00 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 4260.54 | 4325.00 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 4290.32 | 4155.00 | -3.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 4268.28 | 4097.50 | 0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4229.55 | 4057.50 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4172.67 | 3980.00 | -1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4107.78 | 3885.00 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4040.77 | 3885.00 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4021.97 | 3885.00 | -2.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3973.61 | 3687.50 | -5.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3901.38 | 3817.50 | 3.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3869.01 | 3860.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3834.02 | 3860.00 | 1.11 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3804.92 | 3805.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 3791.84 | 3897.50 | 2.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 3823.49 | 3835.00 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 3826.13 | 3860.00 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 3833.87 | 3815.00 | -1.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 3830.32 | 3770.00 | -1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3823.39 | 3685.00 | -2.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3791.23 | 3655.00 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3755.71 | 3675.00 | 0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3720.19 | 3760.00 | 2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 3709.43 | 3750.00 | -0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 3700.01 | 3852.50 | 3.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 3732.93 | 3825.00 | -0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 3766.23 | 3795.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3789.83 | 3760.00 | -0.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3789.54 | 3700.00 | -1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3796.99 | 3695.00 | -0.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3778.51 | 3695.00 | -0.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3752.86 | 3760.00 | 1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3732.82 | 3760.00 | 1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3732.63 | 3870.00 | 2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3754.63 | 3935.00 | 1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3789.61 | 4327.50 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3915.54 | 4130.00 | -4.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 4002.42 | 4255.00 | 3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4101.80 | 4057.50 | -4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4178.67 | 4057.50 | -4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 4203.23 | 4025.00 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 4143.03 | 3917.50 | -2.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 4121.47 | 3875.00 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 4046.10 | 3875.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3971.17 | 3785.00 | -2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3915.03 | 3885.00 | 2.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |