Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
448
Yanlış
355
Başarı Oranı
%55.79
KAYSE - Kayseri Şeker
Tahmin ID: #128283 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 4.0700 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 4.1500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.64
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 4.1459 TL | %-0.10 |
| 20.07.2026 | 4.1407 TL | %-0.13 |
| 21.07.2026 | 4.1388 TL | %-0.05 |
| 22.07.2026 | 4.1299 TL | %-0.22 |
| 23.07.2026 | 4.1233 TL | %-0.16 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %32.84 | %15.31 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %49.28 | %5.08 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %33.82 | %14.74 | 136 |
| 3 Gün | %48.18 | %11.65 | 137 |
| 2 Gün | %51.09 | %8.37 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 13.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 10.00 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 4.54 | 2.71 | -45.80 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 5.33 | 96.68 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 5.10 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 5.10 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 5.10 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.16 | 5.34 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.11 | 5.34 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.16 | 5.34 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 5.18 | 4.80 | -7.87 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 5.12 | 4.81 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 4.56 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4.92 | 4.60 | 0.88 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 4.55 | -1.09 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.44 | -2.42 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.55 | 4.36 | -1.80 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.30 | -1.38 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.26 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.39 | 4.34 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.34 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.30 | 4.34 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.28 | 4.34 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.27 | 4.34 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 4.27 | 4.34 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 4.29 | 4.33 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 4.30 | 4.45 | 2.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 4.34 | 4.42 | -0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.50 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 4.41 | 4.51 | 0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.37 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.52 | 3.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.52 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 4.49 | 4.66 | 3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 4.52 | 4.71 | 1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 4.55 | 4.71 | 1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.86 | 3.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 5.04 | 3.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 4.79 | 5.06 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4.87 | 5.10 | 0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.95 | 5.07 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 5.07 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 5.07 | 4.92 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 5.03 | 2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 5.04 | 4.94 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 4.94 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.93 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.97 | 4.73 | -4.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.93 | 4.69 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.73 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.73 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 4.73 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.72 | 4.76 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.72 | 5.12 | 7.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.73 | 5.12 | 7.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.73 | 5.12 | 7.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4.81 | 4.99 | -2.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.94 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 4.90 | 5.03 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.94 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.91 | 3.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4.92 | 4.78 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 4.71 | -1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.83 | 4.66 | -1.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 4.66 | -1.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.75 | 4.66 | -1.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 4.71 | 4.40 | -5.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.57 | 3.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 4.69 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 4.58 | 4.69 | 2.63 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 4.58 | 4.69 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 4.59 | 4.76 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 4.68 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 4.63 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 4.60 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 4.50 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.46 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.44 | -0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.49 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.57 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 4.49 | 4.53 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 4.49 | 4.51 | 0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.47 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.46 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.41 | -1.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.37 | -0.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.34 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.43 | 4.34 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.41 | 4.34 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.38 | 4.34 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.34 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.36 | 0.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.35 | -0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.37 | 0.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.37 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.32 | 59.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.32 | 59.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.37 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.20 | -3.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.16 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 4.31 | 4.16 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 4.26 | 4.13 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.15 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |