Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
468
Yanlış
335
Başarı Oranı
%58.28
KAPLM - Kaplamin
Tahmin ID: #128278 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 472.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 487.7500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 488.2890 TL | %0.11 |
| 20.07.2026 | 488.5001 TL | %0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 488.3402 TL | %-0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 487.8450 TL | %-0.10 |
| 23.07.2026 | 487.5320 TL | %-0.06 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %22.63 | %133.83 | 137 |
| 5 Gün | %17.16 | %34.90 | 134 |
| 1 Gün | %30.43 | %34.16 | 138 |
| 2 Gün | %21.90 | %6.55 | 137 |
| 4 Gün | %19.26 | %7.29 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 302.00 | 298.00 | -1.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 302.00 | 298.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 297.00 | 298.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 294.50 | 298.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 297.40 | 300.00 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 298.80 | 300.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 300.60 | 308.00 | 2.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 305.40 | 308.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 308.00 | 282.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 306.20 | 282.00 | -5.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 301.20 | 276.00 | -2.13 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 295.80 | 276.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 289.20 | 289.00 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 284.80 | 289.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 283.00 | 298.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 284.40 | 298.00 | 3.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 287.60 | 318.00 | 6.71 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 292.00 | 318.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 302.80 | 349.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 311.00 | 349.00 | 9.75 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 326.60 | 363.00 | -1.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 340.40 | 363.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 352.20 | 359.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 357.60 | 359.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 363.00 | 395.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 361.00 | 395.00 | 10.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 366.00 | 425.00 | 7.59 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 373.00 | 425.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 386.00 | 439.00 | 3.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 399.00 | 439.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 415.00 | 429.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 424.00 | 429.00 | -2.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 430.80 | 414.00 | -3.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 431.60 | 414.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 429.60 | 410.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 424.60 | 410.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 419.60 | 410.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 416.80 | 410.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 413.20 | 392.00 | -4.39 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 412.40 | 392.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 408.00 | 399.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 403.60 | 399.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 399.20 | 399.00 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 395.60 | 399.00 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 393.60 | 413.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 395.20 | 413.00 | 3.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 399.40 | 416.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 403.60 | 416.00 | 0.73 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 408.20 | 393.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 411.20 | 393.00 | -5.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 410.00 | 391.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 406.20 | 391.00 | -0.51 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 401.80 | 396.00 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 397.00 | 396.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 392.20 | 396.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 391.60 | 396.00 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 393.80 | 446.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 396.60 | 446.00 | 10.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 407.40 | 460.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 418.20 | 460.00 | 3.14 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 431.80 | 422.00 | -8.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 442.60 | 422.00 | -8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 442.00 | 419.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 433.40 | 419.00 | 4.23 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 428.40 | 410.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 420.60 | 410.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 408.38 | 398.00 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 409.98 | 398.00 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 411.58 | 398.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 405.16 | 388.00 | -2.51 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 393.97 | 364.00 | -6.19 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 382.40 | 340.00 | -6.59 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 370.22 | 349.00 | 2.65 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 358.42 | 351.00 | 0.57 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 350.58 | 348.75 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 344.72 | 334.75 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 344.80 | 334.75 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 343.09 | 334.75 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 339.82 | 368.00 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 337.01 | 368.00 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 343.64 | 368.00 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 353.10 | 388.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 362.41 | 405.25 | 4.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 379.52 | 413.00 | -1.55 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 395.06 | 410.75 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 404.14 | 412.25 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 409.05 | 430.00 | 4.31 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 417.73 | 458.00 | 6.51 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 425.37 | 445.00 | -2.84 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 431.89 | 443.50 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 437.88 | 461.50 | 4.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 444.03 | 461.50 | 4.06 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 446.58 | 461.50 | 4.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 443.48 | 461.50 | 4.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 443.08 | 461.50 | 4.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 443.11 | 461.50 | 4.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 446.84 | 451.50 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 448.43 | 445.75 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 449.10 | 470.75 | 5.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 454.71 | 508.00 | 7.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 467.64 | 496.00 | -2.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 474.60 | 510.50 | 2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 486.49 | 544.00 | 6.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 506.05 | 561.50 | 3.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 524.19 | 604.50 | 7.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 543.87 | 664.50 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 565.60 | 664.50 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 584.49 | 644.00 | -3.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 604.44 | 606.50 | -5.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 613.78 | 604.00 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 613.65 | 650.00 | 7.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 623.02 | 669.50 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 632.30 | 669.50 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 637.74 | 626.50 | -6.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 641.63 | 621.50 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 644.82 | 629.00 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 638.65 | 629.00 | 1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 634.18 | 640.00 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 628.03 | 618.00 | -3.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 626.03 | 640.00 | 3.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 629.73 | 629.50 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 631.31 | 672.00 | 6.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 631.37 | 672.00 | 6.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 629.16 | 738.50 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 631.47 | 17.53 | -97.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 629.51 | 17.53 | -97.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 651.30 | 17.53 | -97.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 528.94 | 645.00 | 3579.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 532.19 | 637.00 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 533.66 | 636.00 | -0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 535.13 | 620.50 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 507.51 | 638.00 | 5.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 631.41 | 635.00 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 629.63 | 610.00 | -3.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 624.02 | 597.00 | -2.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 618.76 | 597.00 | -2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 620.50 | 597.00 | -2.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 612.18 | 537.50 | -9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 592.17 | 569.00 | 5.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 584.58 | 595.00 | 4.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 575.97 | 595.00 | 4.57 | ❌ | 0.49 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 571.46 | 593.50 | 1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 571.03 | 600.50 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 583.50 | 587.50 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 586.82 | 576.00 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 588.31 | 574.00 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 585.89 | 517.00 | -9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 570.75 | 549.50 | 6.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 560.86 | 604.00 | 9.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 564.13 | 663.00 | 9.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 581.38 | 597.50 | -9.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 585.98 | 643.00 | 7.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 606.11 | 618.00 | -0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 619.62 | 602.00 | -2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 619.35 | 579.50 | -3.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 602.97 | 565.00 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 596.98 | 574.00 | 1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 586.48 | 545.00 | -5.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 576.18 | 545.00 | -5.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 564.81 | 538.50 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 558.02 | 538.50 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 552.50 | 545.50 | 1.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 548.67 | 536.00 | -1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 542.88 | 524.00 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 538.82 | 508.00 | -3.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 531.20 | 513.00 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 526.05 | 543.00 | 5.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 519.32 | 543.00 | 5.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 520.64 | 523.00 | -3.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 520.19 | 488.00 | -6.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 523.22 | 501.00 | 2.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 520.64 | 484.75 | -3.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 515.05 | 457.00 | -5.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 503.02 | 487.75 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |