Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
514
Yanlış
299
Başarı Oranı
%63.22
IZMDC - İzmir Demir Çelik
Tahmin ID: #128276 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 10.8700 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 10.5700 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.15
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 10.5520 TL | %-0.17 |
| 20.07.2026 | 10.5612 TL | %0.09 |
| 21.07.2026 | 10.5523 TL | %-0.08 |
| 22.07.2026 | 10.5484 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 10.5536 TL | %0.05 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %46.04 | %10.24 | 139 |
| 4 Gün | %41.18 | %12.27 | 136 |
| 2 Gün | %50.00 | %10.84 | 138 |
| 3 Gün | %52.90 | %11.31 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %33.33 | %13.15 | 135 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 6.20 | 6.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 6.00 | -14.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 6.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 6.20 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 16.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 6.20 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 6.60 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 6.80 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 6.80 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 6.60 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 7.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 6.20 | 7.00 | 16.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 6.20 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 6.40 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 6.60 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 6.80 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 7.20 | 8.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 7.40 | 8.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 7.60 | 8.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 7.80 | 8.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 8.00 | 8.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 7.80 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 7.60 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 7.40 | 7.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 7.20 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 6.81 | 6.00 | -14.29 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 6.79 | 6.92 | 15.33 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 6.81 | 7.09 | 2.46 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 6.77 | 6.52 | -3.98 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 6.73 | 6.52 | -3.98 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 6.83 | 6.52 | -3.98 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 6.75 | 6.97 | 6.90 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 6.64 | 6.97 | 6.90 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 6.67 | 6.97 | 6.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 6.63 | 6.49 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 6.62 | 6.45 | -0.62 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 6.64 | 6.48 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 6.64 | 6.37 | -1.70 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 6.54 | 6.79 | 6.59 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 6.58 | 6.65 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 6.61 | 6.58 | -1.05 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 6.60 | 6.20 | -5.78 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 6.54 | 6.15 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 6.47 | 6.19 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 6.34 | 6.19 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 6.24 | 6.19 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 6.16 | 6.19 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 6.15 | 6.19 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 6.15 | 6.19 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 6.16 | 6.30 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 6.19 | 6.50 | 3.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 6.26 | 6.46 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 6.32 | 6.46 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 19.14 | 6.40 | -90.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 19.16 | 6.63 | 3.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 19.19 | 6.65 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 19.22 | 6.71 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 19.28 | 6.65 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 6.63 | 6.65 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 6.82 | 6.78 | 1.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 6.85 | 6.84 | 0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 6.91 | 6.75 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 6.92 | 6.99 | 3.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 7.02 | 6.93 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 6.99 | 6.93 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 7.05 | 6.88 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 7.09 | 6.83 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 7.09 | 6.83 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 6.83 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 6.93 | 6.89 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 6.88 | 6.70 | -2.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 6.81 | 6.80 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 6.80 | 7.03 | 3.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 6.84 | 7.09 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 6.88 | 7.09 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 6.91 | 7.26 | 2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 7.02 | 7.34 | 1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 7.06 | 7.34 | 1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 7.06 | 7.34 | 1.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 7.13 | 8.07 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 7.34 | 8.87 | 9.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 7.66 | 8.73 | -1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 8.01 | 8.20 | -6.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 8.20 | 7.93 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 8.31 | 7.75 | -2.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 8.25 | 7.55 | -2.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 7.99 | 7.33 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 7.75 | 7.33 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 7.67 | 7.33 | -2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 7.55 | 7.01 | -4.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 7.39 | 7.51 | 7.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 7.39 | 7.51 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 7.39 | 7.51 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 7.38 | 8.21 | 9.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 7.56 | 7.84 | -4.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 7.69 | 8.05 | 4.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 7.80 | 8.24 | 2.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 7.95 | 8.24 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 8.09 | 7.93 | -3.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 8.04 | 7.87 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 8.07 | 7.82 | -0.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 8.03 | 7.92 | 1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 7.96 | 8.07 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 7.93 | 8.19 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 7.94 | 8.33 | 4.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 8.03 | 8.93 | 7.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 8.25 | 8.88 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 8.44 | 8.65 | -2.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 8.55 | 8.75 | 1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 8.68 | 8.51 | -2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 8.75 | 8.51 | -2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 8.67 | 8.40 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 8.59 | 8.40 | -1.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 8.54 | 8.95 | 6.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 8.61 | 8.69 | -2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 8.62 | 8.63 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 8.64 | 8.99 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 8.74 | 9.05 | 0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 8.87 | 9.30 | 2.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 8.88 | 9.30 | 2.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 9.00 | 9.10 | -2.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 9.13 | 9.64 | 5.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 9.26 | 9.67 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 9.38 | 9.62 | -0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 9.49 | 10.16 | 5.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 9.70 | 10.57 | 2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |