Toplam Tahmin
809
Doğru
430
Yanlış
379
Başarı Oranı
%53.15
IZFAS - İzmir Fırça
Tahmin ID: #128274 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 60.8000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 61.9500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 16.07.2026 | 61.9446 TL | %-0.01 |
| 17.07.2026 | 61.9368 TL | %-0.01 |
| 20.07.2026 | 61.9366 TL | %0.00 |
| 21.07.2026 | 61.9510 TL | %0.02 |
| 22.07.2026 | 61.9304 TL | %-0.03 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %37.96 | %28.36 | 137 |
| 1 Gün | %38.41 | %10.09 | 138 |
| 4 Gün | %32.59 | %16.39 | 135 |
| 2 Gün | %28.99 | %4.39 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %25.37 | %17.15 | 134 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | 1.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 55.80 | 56.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 55.60 | 56.00 | 5.66 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 56.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 55.80 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 56.00 | 53.00 | -3.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 55.60 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 59.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 59.00 | 11.32 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 55.80 | 59.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 56.20 | 59.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 56.60 | 59.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 57.80 | 59.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 59.00 | 60.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 59.00 | 60.00 | 1.69 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 59.00 | 60.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 59.00 | 60.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 59.20 | 59.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 59.40 | 59.00 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 59.40 | 55.00 | -5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 59.40 | 55.00 | -6.78 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 58.80 | 51.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 58.00 | 51.00 | -7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 57.20 | 51.00 | -7.27 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 56.60 | 51.00 | -7.27 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 54.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 54.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 53.20 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 52.80 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 53.40 | 54.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 55.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 55.00 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 54.00 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 54.60 | 56.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 56.00 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 55.00 | 55.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 55.20 | 55.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 55.00 | -1.79 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 55.40 | 55.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 54.80 | 52.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 54.20 | 52.00 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 53.60 | 53.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 53.00 | 53.00 | 1.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 52.40 | 52.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 52.20 | 52.00 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 51.60 | 51.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 51.20 | 51.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 51.40 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 51.60 | 53.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 51.80 | 51.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 52.40 | 51.00 | -3.77 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 52.59 | 51.00 | -3.77 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 52.18 | 51.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 51.38 | 49.00 | -3.92 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 50.37 | 48.00 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 49.97 | 51.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 50.26 | 52.45 | 2.84 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 50.63 | 52.85 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 51.41 | 52.95 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 52.38 | 52.95 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 52.77 | 52.95 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.56 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 52.86 | 52.20 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 52.88 | 52.20 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 52.74 | 52.20 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 43.68 | 50.75 | 425.91 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 43.75 | 52.35 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 43.62 | 56.00 | 6.97 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 43.60 | 53.30 | -4.82 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 43.57 | 52.35 | -1.78 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 52.07 | 53.00 | 1.24 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 51.81 | 53.05 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 51.90 | 53.10 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 51.99 | 51.70 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 52.35 | 51.70 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 52.42 | 51.70 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 52.50 | 51.70 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 52.44 | 51.70 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 52.48 | 51.70 | -2.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 52.15 | 51.80 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 51.75 | 51.85 | 0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 51.59 | 50.15 | -3.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 51.10 | 51.00 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 50.71 | 50.25 | -1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 50.57 | 50.00 | -0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 50.46 | 51.10 | 2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 50.36 | 51.60 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 50.73 | 51.45 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 50.96 | 51.20 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 51.28 | 51.20 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 51.55 | 55.30 | 8.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 52.41 | 60.80 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 54.27 | 66.85 | 9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 57.29 | 72.35 | 8.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 61.38 | 72.40 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 65.51 | 72.40 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 68.89 | 68.30 | -5.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 70.32 | 68.90 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 70.70 | 69.25 | 0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 69.94 | 69.25 | 0.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 69.43 | 67.40 | -2.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 68.47 | 65.25 | -3.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 67.89 | 63.10 | -3.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 66.79 | 68.55 | 8.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 66.86 | 68.60 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 66.75 | 68.60 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 66.97 | 66.40 | -3.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 56.60 | 60.70 | 475.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 55.08 | 61.75 | 1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 53.70 | 62.00 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 52.83 | 62.40 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 51.56 | 62.00 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 61.85 | 62.20 | 0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 62.08 | 64.75 | 4.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 62.72 | 63.00 | -2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 63.23 | 63.00 | -2.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 63.70 | 63.00 | -2.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 63.88 | 61.80 | -1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 63.81 | 63.90 | 3.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 63.57 | 65.20 | 2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 63.44 | 65.20 | 2.03 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 63.75 | 66.25 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 64.41 | 67.40 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 65.56 | 65.15 | -3.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 65.82 | 66.35 | 1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 66.31 | 67.85 | 2.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 66.63 | 64.00 | -5.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 66.20 | 62.15 | -2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 65.13 | 60.75 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 64.24 | 61.65 | 1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 63.29 | 61.90 | 0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 62.11 | 62.25 | 0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 61.84 | 63.40 | 1.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 62.07 | 63.40 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 62.59 | 63.50 | 0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 62.97 | 63.55 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 63.28 | 64.90 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 63.45 | 65.10 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 63.48 | 65.10 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 63.84 | 65.20 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 64.15 | 65.20 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 64.48 | 65.80 | 0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 64.80 | 67.65 | 2.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 65.62 | 68.35 | 1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 66.26 | 68.45 | 0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 66.92 | 66.95 | -2.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 67.28 | 63.50 | -5.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 67.65 | 63.50 | -5.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 66.82 | 63.20 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 65.85 | 60.40 | -4.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 64.25 | 61.20 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 63.11 | 62.00 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 62.13 | 61.70 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |