Toplam Tahmin
803
Doğru
439
Yanlış
364
Başarı Oranı
%54.67
ISFIN - İş Finansal Kiralama
Tahmin ID: #128266 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 19.6500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 19.8000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.13
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 19.8008 TL | %0.00 |
| 20.07.2026 | 19.7959 TL | %-0.02 |
| 21.07.2026 | 19.7898 TL | %-0.03 |
| 22.07.2026 | 19.7823 TL | %-0.04 |
| 23.07.2026 | 19.7747 TL | %-0.04 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %34.07 | %6.04 | 135 |
| 1 Gün | %44.20 | %5.03 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %31.34 | %7.19 | 134 |
| 2 Gün | %44.53 | %5.76 | 137 |
| 3 Gün | %39.42 | %8.28 | 137 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 19.00 | 18.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 19.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 18.67 | 16.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 18.50 | 16.00 | -11.11 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 18.40 | 16.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 18.20 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 17.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 17.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 17.00 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 17.40 | 17.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 17.60 | 18.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 18.00 | 5.88 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 17.00 | -5.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 18.00 | 19.00 | 5.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 18.20 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 18.60 | 19.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 19.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 10.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 19.00 | 21.00 | 10.53 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 19.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 20.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 20.20 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.60 | 21.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 20.80 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 21.01 | 21.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 20.81 | 20.00 | -4.76 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 20.62 | 20.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 20.44 | 20.08 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 20.26 | 20.10 | 0.10 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 20.03 | 19.60 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 19.99 | 19.60 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 19.91 | 19.60 | -1.01 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.82 | 20.06 | 2.35 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.72 | 20.06 | 2.35 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 19.77 | 20.06 | 2.35 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 19.76 | 19.23 | -2.63 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 19.67 | 18.80 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.67 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 24.30 | 19.50 | -54.42 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 24.27 | 19.86 | 1.85 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 24.15 | 19.84 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 24.17 | 19.64 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 24.25 | 19.87 | 1.17 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 19.69 | 19.73 | -0.70 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 19.73 | 19.27 | -2.33 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 19.69 | 19.25 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 19.57 | 19.25 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 19.50 | 19.25 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 19.37 | 19.25 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 19.28 | 19.25 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 19.27 | 19.25 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 19.29 | 19.19 | -0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 19.28 | 19.79 | 3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 19.40 | 19.78 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 19.52 | 19.60 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 24.13 | 19.45 | -54.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 24.13 | 19.73 | 1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 24.08 | 19.67 | -0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 20.06 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 24.08 | 20.06 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 19.67 | 20.06 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 19.92 | 20.30 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 20.06 | 20.40 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 20.28 | 20.48 | 0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 20.39 | 21.00 | 2.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 20.65 | 20.90 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 20.78 | 20.90 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 20.93 | 20.90 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 21.04 | 20.64 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 21.07 | 20.80 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 20.96 | 20.80 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 20.88 | 20.68 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 20.81 | 20.62 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 20.71 | 19.90 | -3.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 20.55 | 20.00 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 20.42 | 19.97 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 20.28 | 19.97 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 20.14 | 20.18 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 26.66 | 20.50 | -61.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 26.75 | 20.18 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 26.77 | 20.66 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 26.87 | 20.64 | -0.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 26.92 | 20.46 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 20.41 | 20.46 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 20.40 | 20.46 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 20.47 | 20.00 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 20.45 | 20.00 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 20.48 | 20.00 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 20.39 | 18.70 | -6.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 20.03 | 19.24 | 2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 19.77 | 19.87 | 3.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 19.52 | 19.87 | 3.27 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 19.38 | 19.83 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 19.35 | 20.16 | 1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 19.56 | 19.65 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 19.64 | 19.61 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 19.72 | 19.50 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 19.66 | 19.57 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 19.61 | 19.32 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 19.54 | 19.33 | 0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 19.47 | 19.70 | 1.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 19.49 | 20.16 | 2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 19.61 | 20.16 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 19.72 | 20.44 | 1.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 19.94 | 20.76 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 20.23 | 20.66 | -0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 20.42 | 20.40 | -1.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 20.47 | 20.20 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 20.52 | 20.18 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 20.52 | 20.18 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 20.41 | 20.16 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 20.31 | 20.16 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 20.26 | 19.90 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 20.17 | 19.90 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 20.07 | 19.65 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 19.96 | 19.66 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 19.86 | 19.63 | -0.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 19.76 | 19.64 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 19.70 | 19.64 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 19.65 | 19.53 | -0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 19.65 | 19.35 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 19.58 | 19.40 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 19.53 | 19.45 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 19.50 | 19.37 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 19.47 | 19.80 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |