Toplam Tahmin
813
Doğru
465
Yanlış
348
Başarı Oranı
%57.20
ISDMR - İskenderun Demir Çelik
Tahmin ID: #128265 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 17.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 56.2500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 58.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.04
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 17.07.2026 | 57.9877 TL | %-0.02 |
| 20.07.2026 | 57.9671 TL | %-0.04 |
| 21.07.2026 | 57.9915 TL | %0.04 |
| 22.07.2026 | 57.9951 TL | %0.01 |
| 23.07.2026 | 58.0258 TL | %0.05 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %31.88 | %5.36 | 138 |
| 2 Gün | %33.33 | %4.91 | 138 |
| 5 Gün | %26.67 | %6.92 | 135 |
| 4 Gün | %27.21 | %6.17 | 136 |
| 1 Gün | %38.13 | %4.17 | 139 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 35.00 | 34.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 35.00 | 34.00 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 34.67 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 34.50 | 35.00 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 34.60 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 34.60 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 34.60 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 34.80 | 35.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 35.40 | 36.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 35.80 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 36.00 | 36.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 36.20 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 36.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 37.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 36.40 | 37.00 | 2.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 38.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 36.60 | 38.00 | 2.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 36.80 | 37.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 37.20 | 37.00 | -2.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 38.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 38.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 38.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 38.00 | 2.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 38.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 38.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 37.60 | 39.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 37.80 | 39.00 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 38.20 | 40.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 38.40 | 40.00 | 2.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 38.80 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 39.20 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 39.60 | 41.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 39.80 | 41.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 40.20 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 40.60 | 42.00 | 2.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 42.00 | 2.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 40.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 41.40 | 40.00 | -4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 41.00 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 40.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 40.00 | 42.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 40.00 | 42.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 40.40 | 42.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 40.80 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 41.20 | 42.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 41.60 | 42.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 43.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 42.00 | 43.00 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 42.20 | 45.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 42.40 | 45.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 42.60 | 45.00 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 42.80 | 45.00 | 4.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 43.40 | 45.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 43.80 | 45.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 45.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 45.40 | 45.00 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 45.80 | 46.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 45.80 | 46.00 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 46.00 | 45.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 45.80 | 45.00 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 45.00 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 43.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 44.60 | 44.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 44.40 | 44.00 | -2.22 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 44.00 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 44.20 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 44.39 | 44.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 44.39 | 45.00 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 44.18 | 44.00 | -2.22 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 43.97 | 43.00 | -2.27 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 43.36 | 41.00 | -4.65 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 42.86 | 41.50 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 42.26 | 42.00 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 41.66 | 41.32 | 0.78 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 41.26 | 41.32 | 0.78 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 41.32 | 41.32 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 41.29 | 42.34 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 41.15 | 42.34 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 41.42 | 42.34 | 2.47 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 41.65 | 41.70 | -0.86 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 41.72 | 42.06 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 42.01 | 42.20 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 42.19 | 42.30 | 0.24 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 42.17 | 42.96 | 1.56 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 42.35 | 42.20 | -1.77 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 42.46 | 42.50 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 42.43 | 41.86 | -1.51 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 42.36 | 42.50 | 1.53 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 42.42 | 41.60 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 42.33 | 41.60 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 42.38 | 41.60 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 42.38 | 41.60 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 42.51 | 41.60 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 42.50 | 41.60 | -2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 42.33 | 41.72 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 42.17 | 42.20 | 1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 42.11 | 41.66 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 41.94 | 42.40 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 41.93 | 13.32 | -68.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 36.27 | 41.80 | 213.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 36.27 | 42.70 | 2.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 36.35 | 44.00 | 3.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 36.81 | 44.80 | 1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 37.29 | 43.90 | -2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 43.58 | 43.90 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 43.41 | 43.90 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 43.65 | 44.16 | 0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 43.56 | 43.70 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 43.20 | 46.60 | 6.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 43.38 | 45.74 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 44.36 | 45.74 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 44.74 | 45.28 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 45.07 | 45.04 | -0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 45.42 | 44.94 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 45.28 | 44.94 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 45.12 | 45.26 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 44.99 | 43.90 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 44.80 | 48.28 | 9.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 45.43 | 48.42 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 46.09 | 50.70 | 4.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 46.79 | 50.70 | 4.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 47.46 | 52.90 | 4.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 48.32 | 53.00 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 49.28 | 53.00 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 49.33 | 53.00 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 50.24 | 56.10 | 5.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 51.77 | 58.25 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 53.71 | 59.00 | 1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 54.98 | 57.65 | -2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 56.85 | 55.75 | -3.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 57.44 | 55.40 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 57.30 | 53.65 | -3.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 56.38 | 55.20 | 2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 55.24 | 55.20 | 2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 54.40 | 55.20 | 2.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 54.25 | 52.50 | -4.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 53.67 | 56.95 | 8.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 54.31 | 57.70 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 54.99 | 57.70 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 55.79 | 63.45 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 57.47 | 66.25 | 4.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 59.26 | 62.05 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 60.32 | 62.80 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 61.49 | 61.65 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 62.31 | 63.25 | 2.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 62.27 | 60.55 | -4.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 62.09 | 59.00 | -2.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 61.49 | 59.15 | 0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 60.77 | 59.75 | 1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 60.38 | 59.50 | -0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 59.37 | 60.85 | 4.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 59.44 | 62.15 | 2.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 60.06 | 63.25 | 1.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 60.87 | 61.10 | -3.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 61.13 | 59.90 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 61.70 | 58.75 | -1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 61.74 | 58.75 | -1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 61.06 | 59.35 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 60.16 | 59.35 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 59.82 | 57.70 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 59.49 | 56.25 | -2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 58.53 | 56.30 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 58.04 | 56.00 | -0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 57.50 | 56.20 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 56.86 | 56.75 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 56.23 | 56.75 | 0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 56.31 | 55.50 | -2.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 56.41 | 53.70 | -3.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 56.31 | 54.00 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 55.87 | 56.25 | 4.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 55.87 | 54.90 | -2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 55.64 | 58.00 | 4.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |